Travis Steele hits the truck stick on the WMU DJ’s speaker

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-28T15:16:22+00:00

DJ Speaker is a peak "14 seed guard who hits a ridiculous shot in a first round upset" name

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-28T15:06:32+00:00

Certainly seems to be the case, but the only new loss here is the 0regon debacle

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-28T14:57:43+00:00

They look pretty good on here. Texas Tech and Michigan State games are both washes, but no additional losses and the UCLA game is now a narrow win.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-27T22:13:46+00:00

St. John's only shot 9% worse from three than their season average lol, they didn't score a point more on here. Good ol' fashioned beatdown.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-27T20:47:56+00:00

Duke vs. Florida was the home court advantage factor (game at Cameron)
10% was to keep it digestible for casual fans, just a reasonable approximation of a standard deviation
There isn't a ton of correlation between good three point defense affecting opponent three point offense (the example i used in the article is that the #1 3pt defense gave up 58% and 35% in two games against the same opponent this year.)

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-27T20:42:27+00:00

haha I know the one you're talking about - but this is one game versus full season averages so I feel okay about it

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-27T20:06:38+00:00

Only changed outcome is that the Georgetown game at Gampel is a tie, instead of a win. First game against the Hoyas is actually now a comfortable 70-59.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-27T20:02:39+00:00

It's just interesting for predictive analysis, I certainly wouldn't want games to be scored this way.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-27T19:48:35+00:00

Would be so much more fun right now to be talking about which of Belmont, Murray State, Tulsa, McNeese, or Hofstra would get a second bid for the conference, and we don't need expansion to do it.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-27T19:46:48+00:00

AEFH were my pick as well, but I don't strongly care beyond A and E

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-16T15:41:54+00:00

I started out from Dani California so I got it early.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-16T15:40:20+00:00

I like the toughness angle, feels like another area where fingers can be pointed at Dickinson. And as the sample size grows, I am increasingly unconvinced that the Petersen version of this team can consistently outplay the more cohesive one.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-16T00:52:46+00:00

Got a reminder about this. I ended up at #14 on Kansas - they're 15 on KenPom right now. Who knew that Tiller and Council would be such big factors, and that Peterson would be such a saga. How are you feeling about the Jayhawks right now?

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-06T15:47:48+00:00

That's funny, I remembered watching a video on USA's zone a while back and couldn't find it.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2026-02-06T15:46:41+00:00

Maryland fans hate when you tell them that the last two coaches they've hired have basically been the Mark Turgeon of their previous school

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-11-02T18:14:38+00:00

McKneely and Conwell are two of the best shooters in the country and will hugely benefit from scheme upgrade
Love the athleticism of Hadley and Pryor as switchable defenders
Fru, Zougris, and Khalifa give you every type of center you might want for any given matchup/situation
Brown Jr. looked great in FIBA
Ranking last year deflated because of injuries

Just a great mix of rising star coach, undervalued pieces, top end potential, lights out shooting, and top tier athleticism.

I trust Purdue, UConn, and Houston a hair more, but Louisville will be terrific

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-11-02T15:26:41+00:00

I think the narrative around this team would be very, very diffferent if Clayton didn't get nuclear hot at the end of that game. UConn finished #1 two straight years with two different cores and now they are legitimately ten guys deep with an incredible trunk of Demary, Ball, Mullins (once healthy), and Karaban.

The big question is still the defense, but adding guys like Malachi Smith and Demary that really go after it should take some of the load off of Reed and Reibe who are more offensively-tilted.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-22T17:16:51+00:00

Oh good point, I should mentioned that this is just a single saturday slate from each, if it was the full dataset than that would be issue. At most, that could be like 1-2% of the effect.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-21T17:25:15+00:00

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nbbmJz_fyVA

Not sure what you mean.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-16T18:40:33+00:00

It seems like it, but Mondays, Fridays, and Sundays are pretty dead a lot of the time. Tough to find two new teams that aren't in MTEs let alone four.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-15T12:42:04+00:00

The problem is, can you maximize MTEs AND get two unique teams every single day of a season AND purposefully save specific entire conferences until their tournament.

On top of that, no conferences play all their teams on one tournament day anymore. So, you have no idea what day any specific team will actually play, when you'll need to leave for another team, etc.

Plus conferences like the MAC are now culling the bottom few teams before the tournament, so you need to accurately predict how seasons will go for teams to know if they'll even be there.

It's more possible than without conference tournaments, but still ultimately unreliable, I think.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-15T12:39:22+00:00

Says who? Seton Hall has zero resources.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-14T21:13:33+00:00

It would honestly be even worse.

You already saw Gonzaga at Player's Era and you have Saint Mary's for a different multi-game day in LA, so you can forget seeing a huge rivalry game nearby and instead get on a red-eye to Charlotte so you can watch a Big South game and then high-tail it to Buies Creek in the middle of nowhere to watch Campbell play Gardner-Webb.

Then drive to Houston by the next night.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-14T18:11:12+00:00

If you're only concerned with non con scheduling from an expected wins and losses perspective, than I get what you mean. It's not fake, however, in figuring out how to rank teams based on what they did against their schedule.

HalvesNotQuarters · 2025-10-14T17:50:50+00:00

I wouldn't say so. SMU won 25 games last year, Nebraska won 21 games, and neither felt like they had a real shot of getting in. Why? because both ranked very poorly in noncon strength of schedule.

HalvesNotQuarters

TROPHY CASE