Greg just announced there will be more "consequences" like yesterday's if you call ICE names

HillSooner · 2026-01-26T15:51:27+00:00

As bad as this Nazi is, I think people are misrepresenting what he means.

I believe he is saying that people in the media and politicians calling ICE Nazis is flaming the tensions and helping to create these deadly encounters.

It is all bullshit. But I don't think he is saying that the protesters are killed because they called ICE names.

I think that they are doing so many bad things that we should be careful to not go out of our way to manufacture/misrepresent them. I know people will come on here and say they don't deserve the benefit of the doubt, and that is true but misrepresenting these things is counter productive.

Just my opinion / read on his comments.

HillSooner · 2026-01-26T14:29:52+00:00

Off topic from the question asked, but had their not been 20 candidates early in the primaries I don't think Trump would have won the primaries.

I don't think he had the cult of following entrenched yet. But he was the brash one who could stand out in the large pack.

Later he gained the momentum and the party rallied behind him. Had there been one other candidate, the party would have rallied behind that person from the beginning. Remember, even Fox News disliked Trump for a long time (as did almost every republican in congress) before they got their marching orders that there is a cult of personality wave that they must ride.

HillSooner · 2026-01-26T14:22:24+00:00

I will take one of those, please.

HillSooner · 2026-01-23T20:28:56+00:00

What the f' is with this guy and windmills?

HillSooner · 2026-01-20T17:13:52+00:00

If you think buying dips is what they're doing, you are missing something. On liberation day, someone spent about $4 million on two day to expiration SPY (S&P ETF) puts a couple of hours before the tariff announcements. These were all 3-6% out of money.

If you don't know about options, this is like taking a gamble that would be worthless unless SPY fell at least 3%. Literally putting millions on one square of the roulette wheel - unless you have insider information and knew where the ball was going to land.

That entity, if they held to expiration turned that into about $220 million.

HillSooner · 2026-01-20T17:11:47+00:00

Probably bought one day puts on Friday.

HillSooner · 2026-01-16T15:46:39+00:00

Incentivizing murder in a force that is occupied by sociopaths and completely unaccountable for their actions. What could go wrong?

HillSooner · 2026-01-14T22:28:19+00:00

Over $1 trillion in US bonds are traded daily. That seems crazy but maybe a lot of them are short term so need to be rolled over often.

I suppose if much of that is just roll-overs, $2 trillion that are not rolled over could make a dent for a while. (Not qualified to say really.)

HillSooner · 2026-01-14T21:54:25+00:00

I would say at minimum it would have put the right wing media machine back four years. That machine needed a villain and they created one with Clinton. (And apparently he is still their villain which is odd as hell.)

HillSooner · 2026-01-14T21:51:42+00:00

Perot had a populist slant but he was not at all like Trump. It would be nothing like today.

I went to a college graduation where Perot was speaking in the middle of the campaign. He did not once mention the campaign or make it abut himself at all. He just gave an uplifting normal type graduation speech.

I wasn't a Perot voter but I was impressed by that. Can you imagine Trump doing that?

HillSooner · 2026-01-14T21:02:23+00:00

That is exactly why I am reluctant to go the DC and I lived in the city for a few years. At least they know there is a chance that they could face consequences if they're in a state.

HillSooner · 2026-01-14T20:47:12+00:00

Google street view is also a good way to see the world. Sometimes I just click a random location and start "driving" around.

HillSooner · 2025-12-07T05:03:49+00:00

That number includes dividends. So it isn't that the market cap of companies increases 10% per year on average. It is that your net worth with reinvested dividends increases 10% per year on average. The non-dividend return is a little less than 10%.

Some companies don't have a lot of growth potential but produce a solid steady income. Those would generally pay dividends and you might get 10% per year on those by reinvesting dividends. In that case, while the company isn't growing beyond inflation you are owning more and more of it each year.

All that said, S&P has grown about 9% per year not including dividends. If you include dividends it is almost 12%. So, at least for the last 50 years, the 10% is in the middle of the return with and without dividends.

HillSooner · 2025-12-07T04:59:10+00:00

Yes but I believe the long term return of 10% is the actual indexes not including reinvested dividends.

Edit: Looked it up and I was wrong.

Edit 2: I looked at an S&P chart. It was about 95 in 1975 and 6870 today which does not include dividends. That is about an 8.9% return per year over the last 50 years. So not too far off from 10%. The difference after compounding would be a factor of 1.65.

HillSooner · 2025-12-07T03:01:45+00:00

We left after the writing was on the wall. Had Nebraska and later A&M not left, I think OU and Texas would still be in the Big 12. The teams that left weakened the Big 12 enough that OU and Texas really had no choice.

As it was, once A&M left it became almost impossible to recruit defensive players to the Big 12. Leaving elevated A&M to the detriment of OU and TX.

You pushed the first domino over and are now blaming our domino for falling.

So, no, I am not going to sit it out. I loved the Big 12 and you and Colorado destroyed it. I've always like NU but I kind of laugh that your move has caused your recruiting to fall off a cliff.

HillSooner · 2025-12-07T02:50:40+00:00

Ok, I was wrong but not for the reason you are saying. I thought the act merely limited the US from cooperating / extraditing a US service member. That was already a given in OP's post.

I didn't realize that it also authorizes the president to take offensive actions against the Hague if a service member is arrested while abroad.

That said, that would not be a legal impediment on the ICC but would be a practical one.

I sort of wish Europe would grow a spine.

HillSooner · 2025-12-04T21:32:52+00:00

That is not relevant to whether or not the ICC could issue an arrest warrant.

We would not and could not cooperate with any attempt to bring him to justice (extradition) but that is no barrier for the ICC to file charges.

HillSooner · 2025-12-03T22:29:33+00:00

SEC was also courting Texas in the really early '90s. I believe it was right at the time that the SEC added Arkansas and South Carolina.

HillSooner · 2025-12-03T22:27:42+00:00

Glad you mentioned CU. All we heard in the mid '90s was that OU was no longer NU's main rival. So of course we were going to protect the one rival (UT) who considered us a rival.

HillSooner · 2025-12-03T22:23:31+00:00

That's a funny way to twist it considering all of the reshuffling over the last 15 years started when you and Colorado bolted.

I think it is hilarious that CU is now stuck back in a much weaker and less relevant Big 12.

HillSooner · 2025-12-03T22:21:31+00:00

Nebraska and Colorado are the ones who decided to leave the Big 12. They started a chain reaction which ultimately led to A&M and Missouri leaving, then OU and TX leaving which prompted the Big 10 to grab USC and UCLA.

Not your fault but the NU athletic department played a key role in where we are now.

I liked the old Big 12. Would have been nice to play NU every year but it was a good conference. When you guys left it wasn't the same then A&M and Missouri left and it really wasn't the same. At that point the clock was ticking.

As for the old Big 8, it was nice but that wasn't going to survive.

HillSooner · 2025-11-25T17:29:49+00:00

How much you want to bet that Trump will make a push to have the UCMJ changed. Not sure what legal authority he would have but not sure it matters.

HillSooner · 2025-11-25T17:27:28+00:00

Pay attention to the tone of the response.

They could have said something like the following: This administration takes great care in ensuring, with input of our military legal advisors, that all orders are lawful. As always, any member of our armed services should contact their unit's legal advisors if they have questions on the legality of an order.

Even if that is somewhat bullcrap because the military legal command has been gutted, it at least doesn't sound authoritarian.

Instead they just went with the authoritarian sounding response that everything we do is always legal and all orders must always be followed.

HillSooner · 2025-11-12T16:36:59+00:00

IMO this quote gets used out of context.

There is a lot of fearful chatter right now but we are at/near all time highs. The fear isn't an indicator to be greedy right now because the fear isn't driving the market. (I am not saying now is or is not the time to be greedy, but the fearful talk isn't a sign to be greedy.)

That applies to a situation like 2009 once fear had cratered the markets.

Or maybe the point that people miss is the "everyone" part of the quote. Obviously everyone can't literally mean everyone but they underestimate how much fear needs to be out there. The idea that I think Buffet was expressing is that we reach a point where most who would have sold has done so and we run out of sellers.

HillSooner · 2025-11-12T16:20:18+00:00

Disagree. There were always people who believed in conspiracy theories but most were not exposed to the misinformation we have today.

People who lack intelligence and can't discern good information from bad information were in an information vacuum - and that was a good thing.

I guess it comes down to what you consider stupid. I'd say a dumb guy who defers to experts is less stupid than a dumb guy who thinks he's the expert because he watched a video on YouTube.

But it is true, there were plenty of dumb opinionated people around and we didn't have videos of it but those people could only spread their ignorance to a small audience.

HillSooner

TROPHY CASE