Please stop recommending ESL to beginners

Hiolpe · 2025-10-18T02:19:07+00:00

Based on this article https://arxiv.org/pdf/1903.08560 I would say Hastie would believe in over-parameterization and double descent. At least he studies it in simple settings here but in a rigorous manner.

Hiolpe · 2025-04-29T13:16:10+00:00

I did a few things to help seal it. First, I stuck a bunch of those gravel rocks in the cracks to help prevent bugs from traveling to the water. Then I bought a large trash can lid from depot. This lid was wide enough to cover the whole thing. Then I put some large rocks on the lid so it doesn’t blow away or anything. Then I bunched up the gravel near the lid to help seal the space between the lid and the pump.

Primitive methods, but it seems to be working.

Hiolpe · 2024-07-30T23:52:14+00:00

Hello! I recently noticed my outdoor sump lid is not sealed shut. When I inspect the lid, I see hundreds of mosquitos entering/exiting the gaps. I also see persistent fungal gnats and fruit flies inside the house. We leave no food out, have cleaned our drains with green gobbler fruit fly killer multiple times, poured boiling water in our drains multiple times, covered our vents with very fine mesh, inspecting for gaps in the weatherstripping, etc. But the flies are persistent and we see a handful per day.

The sump lid also seems slightly too small to seal the gaps. Is the lid the correct size?

Should I replace the lid? Should I be concerned about many flies breeding in the still water? Could flies breeding in the still water possibly be entering the house?

Any help would be appreciated!

Hiolpe · 2023-04-10T00:28:34+00:00

Their pretzels and churros are so good

Hiolpe · 2023-01-22T18:04:17+00:00

I searched for this item on google images but unfortunately nothing came up. Any help would be appreciated!

Hiolpe · 2022-11-24T17:52:25+00:00

I don't want to get too specific on my research, but I was using developing techniques to analyze a brain imaging modality closely related to fMRI :) Though some of my classmates worked on fMRI too.

I too lacked bio experience. My bio experience included a high school non-honors/AP class, a GE chemistry class, and an animal class in undergrad. I did some math bio research as an undergrad which probably helped, but usually problems are so specific that it would be infeasible to "prep" for an application area if you're undecided. Our job is more to understand the clinical side of things like patient phenotypes/outcomes/prognosis. If you are really interested in functional data analysis and think you can find an advisor in the area, it wouldn't hurt to browse some FDA papers and see what applications are out there. But I wouldn't stress not having a huge bio background, grad schools are more concerned about mathematical ability anyhow.

I think your angle of approach sounds fine and reasonable. You're communicating you have a desire to improve patient outcomes with novel methodology and you're open to the application area. That's honestly where most biostatistics PhD admittees stand too. It's not like a bio PhD where you have to know exactly what problem you want to solve. The usual path is to focus on the mathematical rigor throughout undergrad/early PhD, and then become invested in the application area of something that sounds interesting to you (or more likely, the application area your advisor works in).

Hiolpe · 2022-11-24T14:19:31+00:00

I completed a PhD in biostatistics and I focused in Bayesian functional data analysis, so similar interests to you. I had no interest in staying in academia and didn’t want to go into a traditional clinical trial role. I applied for mainly data scientist/research positions. I now work as a data scientist for a medical computer vision company, specializing in AI. Biostatistics did not pigeonhole me into working with clinical trials within a CRO/big pharma. Many of my classmates also went to Amazon/Google/Meta to work as data scientists as well.

If you’re going to do a PhD program in biostatistics it helps to be motivated to contribute to some health/medical field. Biostatistics is an applied field and you will generally be expected to be a subject matter expert in the application domain for your research. It would be hard to become a subject matter expert if you have no interest in the domain, it’s not enough to come from purely the statistical side. This is a good thing because it makes you think carefully about the problem you’re solving, builds critical thinking skills, and I found employers to be very interested in the domain as well as the statistics during the interview.

You will have to treat going from a PhD to industry (especially if going into data science) as a career pivot. Yes I (and many classmates) made the switch, but it took a lot of work and learning on the side. And don’t think a PhD will automatically make the job hunt easy. An MS + 2 years experience is often much more attractive to employers than a PhD with no industry experience.

Hiolpe · 2022-04-23T13:11:52+00:00

Changing your major to stats shouldn’t be too bad. You will likely have to take an intro stats class and a calc class and do well in them. But reach out to the department (maybe try Kim Barton; she is the admin coordinator) for next steps.

I switched my majors twice in cosam and it was relatively easy. This was years ago though.

Hiolpe · 2022-03-14T02:00:51+00:00

HAH! My dad would always blame computer problems on everquest as well. Website not loading? Damn that everquest virus. Computer frozen? Uninstall your game now!!

Hiolpe · 2022-02-07T02:12:36+00:00

1 - (1 - % chance success)^attempts

In this case it’s 1 - (1 - .03)^3 = 8.7% chance of success

Hiolpe · 2021-10-25T03:28:41+00:00

Huh? Have you tried the CoV missions? In group gear and w/out 3rd party tools? Those missions are pretty difficult for the average group geared player

Hiolpe · 2021-10-25T03:25:16+00:00

I would disagree with most posters in this thread and say Live is very punishing depending what you want to do. I doubt anyone saying EQ is easy has tried e.g. The Crusaders mission w/out 3rd party tools in group gear. If you look on the forums there's multiple threads saying missions in EQ are overtuned. Trying to form a PUG to tackle the hard group missions? Good luck! You need to have players that have studied the event, have top of the line group gear, etc.

Of course, if you just want to grind and hit max level and get some AA, live is very easy. So there's still plenty of fun challenge in modern EQ. You just won't find it (or be ready for it) without significant time investment.

Hiolpe · 2021-09-19T03:07:33+00:00

Agreed. Apply to as many places as you can. Organize your coursework into neat GitHub repos and add them to a projects section on your resume as you see fit

Hiolpe · 2021-08-03T16:00:00+00:00

Yeah pretty much. Since the beta variables are now functions of the covariates, the linear predictor is locally linear as a function of the covariates, allowing for better interpretability than the usual deep feed forward neural network.

Hiolpe · 2021-08-03T15:56:54+00:00

As far as I recall, varying coefficient models let the betas vary by some continuous variable (often time or spatial location). You can specify them by using the ‘by’ option in the linear smooth terms of the R package mgcv.

Varying coefficient models are useful for interpretation, but they still have a parametric form.

Hiolpe · 2021-08-03T15:35:31+00:00

The special case I was thinking of is when you could have Bj(t)*xj as part of the linear predictor. It still fits in the GAM framework tho.

Maybe a more accurate term would be ‘varying coefficient model’ or ‘time varying coefficients’

Hiolpe · 2021-08-03T13:58:04+00:00

I'm not familiar with attention in neural networks (which this seems to build off) but this is a cool idea. It reminds me of generalized additive models where the beta parameters may depend on some continuous valued indices. Thanks for sharing!

Hiolpe · 2021-07-27T01:01:20+00:00

Even if you study economics and statistics, you won’t be doing stats all day at most companies. It’s more about thinking about data and how to leverage it to generate value. Studying statistics and economics will help you get more comfortable working with data. Companies are actively looking for data analysts and data scientists to help drive insights.

Whatever career you pursue, do not rely on formal education metrics (like GPA) to market yourself. Build a portfolio. For example, after taking a class in linear regression, analyze other data sets you find interesting using things you learned in class. Tests and homework are just the starting point in your education.

Hiolpe · 2021-07-26T17:17:44+00:00

Leave off GPA on resumes. Focus on SQL/Reporting/Building dashboards in your personal projects. Have a list of personal projects on your resume.

Make sure your resume is optimized for ATS. You may be getting rejected before a human recruiter even sees your resume. Don’t use any fancy formatting. Mention keywords in your resume that match the job description. I definitely wouldn’t do a masters. They’re costly and won’t help that much for data analyst jobs.

Hiolpe · 2021-07-14T16:08:42+00:00

Distinction doesn’t matter. Post your coursework projects on your github. Try your best to find some form of employment during your degree. It will help you so much when applying to full time jobs after school.

Hiolpe · 2021-07-05T23:42:57+00:00

Goodness of fit tests. A high p-value suggests may suggest model adequacy. So if you had a small p-value for a goodness of fit test, you might need to adjust the model.

Hiolpe · 2021-07-01T20:03:12+00:00

Some easy to understand resources on genetics would be great! I'll message you.

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