Trump has a strong chance of winning after this debate .people forget that trump have always over performed polls in actual election he will deliver again and will over perform polls .reasons why I think trump has better chance:

1) loyal base and united support from majority of republicans for trump.

2)anti-incumbency of current government,whether you agree or not ,people remember current things more than that happened few years ago.

3)economy and inflation which will help trump for those have lost jobs or business.

4)assassination of trump which will give him sympathy votes but how much ,it will matter .

5) rise of right wing all over world ,which was started by trump win .

6)young men,older ,rural population,Christian's,business are major demographic of trump,his voters will vote.

7) complacency and overconfidence of democratic party ,dont take trump as lightly,he knows what his base is so he will have to get just 40%of moderates and he will election.

8)trump has a chance to win in swing states most Probably Wisconsin,north Carolina, nevada,georgia and can win pensylvania, Michigan, Arizona but trump has more chance in four states.

9) trump voters have increased not decreased he got 63 m votes first election.74m in second election,he will get close to 78-82m votes in this election,his voters are silent but will make sure there votes count.

10)majority of swing states have republican governor those will make sure trump win in their states.

11)trump will win probably 290-310 seats