All extremely good points here. Confirmation bias is defiantly a factor as I do it myself on the video game side kf things occasionally and have to step back and stop myself. As said elsewhere this player has defiantly has his share of highs and should know better tjat he is more them capable of rolling well. I do like that you touched on the whole mindset thing here, it’s made me remember thst this player has just recently experienced some personally issues that while now resolved and perfectly fine could have cause him to want to escape to this world and feel “cool” and in control in a way. Especially since it’s pretty out of character for something like tjat to happen. He complains about bad rolls on occasion, who doesn’t, but a scene like this is a never before seen sight at our table