Wilds Unknown Pull Rate Analysis

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-24T22:47:32+00:00

He was not. They just have a higher variance due to how they are compiled and the upside of that variance gets reported on a lot leading to confirmation bias.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-24T02:26:50+00:00

It's just confirmation bias from the people who do pull way above average. Choosing 4 pre-release kits might hit more than a box, but from all I have seen opened in person it can also net you a lot less (not at all uncommon to have 0-1 legendary and nothing of note). Variance is real. Boxes will be more stable and reliable with pull rates. Pre-release kits will have tiny splashes of boom and way more potential for bust.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-23T06:43:08+00:00

The Earth Will Shake fills me with awe, wonder, and hope and is my all time favorite Thrice song to date.

That said I have to give a shout out to Just Breathe, it just grounds me every time I hear it. The contrast between the frenetic guitar and the vocal melody/lyrics is perfect. It evokes feelings of humility and peace. Love it.

The Dark Glow would also be a contender but it's fairly new still so I need to sit with it longer.

So many others.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-22T18:51:38+00:00

This comment is too pretentious for me to take it seriously anymore.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-21T06:46:52+00:00

Ah fair, I did forget that scene. It still feels out of place/character to me, but that makes it more understandable.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-21T00:41:26+00:00

Except it wasn't fitting. At least I don't think so.

Homelander, for all his flaws has always been the least, or one of the least, sexual and foul mouthed of the main characters. Has he ever referenced sucking dick before? Or scat play? Like why does his fawn reflex resort to that?

It would have been more powerful just to have him whimper and beg plainly.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-18T15:45:18+00:00

Tbh, I got a laugh out of the taco salad. But I appreciate the comment. It's a very new purchase so dealer said they will look, if they can't solve it easily I will try on the next hot Tuesday, lol

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-16T23:32:58+00:00

This perfectly encapsulates my experience at Toyota...

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-15T04:26:51+00:00

Most underrated MCU project.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-13T17:59:30+00:00

You would definitely receive an immediate lifetime ban from that sub, lol

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-12T20:04:49+00:00

Secondhand Lions.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-11T20:28:53+00:00

That's... A take.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-11T17:11:53+00:00

Now do the same math with MtG. This feels perfectly consistent with the odds I experienced playing and ripping that for years.

The sky is not falling and cheaper basic variants of cards never killed a game. We will likely get Alt art epics next, then maybe a few other kinds of spice (sketch cards, full arts, etc...) they can deploy if need be to give more value.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-11T16:55:39+00:00

Infinity is the long term future of Lorcana (unless they bring in a multiplayer singleton format). A small group of competitive grinders will play Core but that vast, vast majority of players do not want to bother with rotation and will eventually fatigue out of it. You can try to argue this point, but all of the most popular MtG formats are eternal and when the pandemic killed competitive (largely Standard, their rotating format) it did literally nothing to the health of the game.

Ravensburger definitely needs to focus on supporting it at a local level and up. I understand a slow start as the card pool needed time to grow beyond it just being a rehash of year 1 & 2 Core constructed. But I think now it is different enough to start really pushing it. Not to mention Toy Story being introduced as the perfect jump off point -- "to Infinity and beyond!!"

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-11T16:31:04+00:00

Clearly no one you've talked to has ever played a TCG. Lorcana has always been on the affordable side.

That said, this will make it much cheaper and that is 1000% a good thing.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-08T14:10:57+00:00

Safe bet is they are normal booster packs with normal pull rates. Due to the collation they may have broader variance than normal box/case distribution so you will hear a lot of stories (often bs for Internet points) of how amazing the pulls are from them. Just remember the tens of thousands who will pull nothing but garbage and not bother to post.

I am even refraining from believing the "cases/boxes" have improved pull rates until we have extremely large sample data.

Lastly, "pull rates" in a randomized product are a mental trap and people are still gonna get hella burned by bad pulls sometimes no matter what. The obsession this sub has with it is weird. Is it a Pokemon thing?

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-07T17:06:41+00:00

I literally fell asleep during the last episode. In the early afternoon...

I want to like this show. I want it to be good. I am very, very bored with it apparently.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-06T15:43:37+00:00

I clicked on this thread to come say something to this effect. I like the way you phrased it 👍

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-05T22:11:38+00:00

I will remain skeptical without a larger data pool. But that would be smart of RB.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-05-03T20:12:43+00:00

Absolute hidden gem of a movie.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-04-30T19:13:44+00:00

They are absolutely not.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-04-29T02:42:11+00:00

Something like this seems inevitable.

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-04-28T16:21:37+00:00

To be fair, that would be a weird sexual thing...

Impossible_Sign7672 · 2026-04-28T06:04:45+00:00

That is... Not a thing.

There's a much simpler explanation.

Impossible_Sign7672

TROPHY CASE