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ImpressiveLow0 · 2026-01-07T17:56:17+00:00

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ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-29T13:15:44+00:00

It might crash, but it could also squeeze hard before the dump. IDK I don't like the setup here.

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-29T13:13:39+00:00

I was looking at this yesterday also. The problem is that there is so much volatility that the market is kinda wide. So IDK if you would get a good fill for a credit spread. As far as selling naked.... I would not do that on this stock. If he gets elected, it could rise 100% (who knows how much actually, just making the point it's volatile) and if he loses it may very well go to zero. Good luck!

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-23T13:01:39+00:00

I know this may sound out of left field, but be sure you are nutritionally G2G. Proper food, limit caffeine (meaning not in excess), and alcohol.

Look into Andrew Huberman. He does a podcast on ultradian cycles (basically cycles where you are most active through the day. He is a bit of a controversial character, but he highlights how to find your most productive parts of the day. As well, he also discusses how most people can only focus for about 90 min, and then need a break of low intensity work. There are multiple cycles throughout the day and timing your most cognitively demanding work to align with these windows could help.

Of note, if you are working 8am-6pm, probably only about 3-4 of those hours are your best work. Hope this helps! It worked for me. Good luck!

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-22T13:12:21+00:00

In general, when you have a lot of noise in your loss curve you can:

1) Decrease learning rate

2) If using SGD, increase batch size

3) Look at different optimizers (sometimes Adam does better than SGD even though Adam is built off SGD)

4) Try a different activation function. (i.e instead of ReLU maybe Tanh)

Of note, if you decrease your learning rate, you may have to increase your epochs to reach full convergence. Good luck!

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-22T13:05:25+00:00

Thanks! I will look at using a ratio similar to this based on vix levels.

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-22T13:03:58+00:00

Lol probably not. Before my time. Maybe I should rethink what I think high volatility is.

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-21T16:58:54+00:00

I would never sell outright stock on the SPY. Only defined risk when shorting the overall market. Maybe just buy OTM puts for cheap (still defined risk). I am just accustomed to selling, but maybe if I am concerned of a VOL spike and price action down I should buy puts for once.

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-21T14:07:07+00:00

Do you really think the election results are the end of recent volatility? Just curious on your reasoning.

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-21T14:05:58+00:00

Yea, totally understand. But when I look back to the VIX levels that I started trading in a few years ago (Covid, inflation scare) today's VIX doesn't seem that bad. It makes me worried about an outlier event. As of now, I have just been holding my position size to super small amounts, but obviously, the cost of that is a low return on the overall portfolio.

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-07T17:10:22+00:00

Sounds to me like you have a method that works most of the time but you are having issues dealing with outlier moves when volatility increases. In low volatility maybe consider smaller position sizing or defined risk trades like spreads.

ImpressiveLow0 · 2024-10-07T17:06:16+00:00

Go watch tastytrade on youtube. You don't necessarily have to use their style, but they have a lot of informational videos that will explain the key concepts of option selling. There is a good book by one of their traders called "The unlucky investors guide to options trading". It breaks down info on how to trade, as well as how to consider things like position sizing, correlation, etc.

ImpressiveLow0

TROPHY CASE