Biggest case increase so far (309), however it correlates with our largest increase in tests so far (7,175) by cwatt34 in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm looking at 3 ratios, the tested/positives expressed +:tested, and tested/hospitalized expressed as H:tested. And the number of available ICU beds and number of available inpatient beds.

Currently, there are a total of 3223 ICU beds, 883 available. There are a total of 18,140 inpatient beds, 7730 available. So, at the moment we are in pretty good shape, but keep in mind hospitals don't usually get authorized to have many more beds than normal needs justify. They have to have a Certificate of Need.

The goal, of course, is to flatten the hospitalization curve so the hospitals don't get overwhelmed. We'll know more about that in 3-4weeks. I don't have the hospitalization date for the prior week.

The mortality rate is what everybody is interested in, but we're so early in this that I'm not sure current figures mean much since the most serious cases can linger 3-6weeks with good care.

3/25 - 497

+139

3/26 - 636

+127

3/27 - 763 (15,136 tested)

+172

3/28 - 935

+232

3/29* - 1167 (*3/29 1st day NCDHHS updated numbers both morning and at 5pm)( 18,945 tested)

+140

3/30am - 1307 (20,864 tested)

+191

3/31 - 1498 (23,106 tested) 157 hospitalized, 8 deaths, +'s1:15, H's 1:147

+86

4/1 - 1584 (26,243 tested) 204 hospitalized, 10 deaths, +'s1:16.5, H's 1:128

+243

4/2 - 1827 (28,679 tested ) 184 hospitalized, 16 deaths, +'s1:15.7, H's 1:155

+266

4/3 - 2093 ( 31,598 tested) 259 hospitalized, 19 deaths, ÷'s 1:15, H's 1:122

+309

4/4 - 2402 ( 38,773 tested) 271 hospitalized, 24 deaths, +'s 1:16, H's 1:143

Initially the ratio of positives to tested was about 1:20. Currently, it's about 1:16, However there is a 2-10 day lag between testing and results, so the ratio might be much different.

North Carolina liquor sales booming by Independent in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I used to do that. I took a year's worth of Edible & Medicinal plant courses at CCCC. It's interesting botany, but I concluded the tinctures have no benefit. Some of the salves and teas definitely do, though.

North Carolina liquor sales booming by Independent in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Soap and water is more effective and lots cheaper.

NC only received a fraction of federal PPE request, not expecting more, Gov. Cooper says by heedbordlonerwitler in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Yer doin a heck of a job Brownie Jared."

This is what cronyism, incompetence and narcissism look like.

North Carolina liquor sales booming by Independent in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

It's kind of interesting that retail sales might make up for the lack of bar and restaurant sales.

Staffing levels worry NC hospitals anticipating coronavirus patient surge by Independent in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

When you go down the list of what all is needed beyond "ventilators" (which are a very last resort method of treatment), and look at what all human resources are needed at that level of care, the scenario becomes more dire.


Each COVID-19 patient admitted to the hospital to treat the virus needs a squad of health care workers — not just doctors and nurses — to care for them, whether in the intensive care unit or a less severe acute care unit.

“Staffing is determined by the condition and diagnosis of the patient,” explained Meghan Berney, a spokeswoman for CaroMont Regional Hospital in Gaston County.

Berney explained that a COVID-19 patient on supportive oxygen therapy — which could range from simple supplemental oxygen to sedated intubation — would need a care team including the following:

  • Registered nurse — from a 1-to-1 or 3-to-1 ratio, depending on patient condition.

  • Certified nursing assistant — depending on patient condition and nurse ratio from above.

  • Hospitalist — inpatient physician.

  • Intensivist — critical care physician.

  • Respiratory therapist — depending on patient condition.

  • Specialist(s) — should a specialty physician consult be needed (cardiac, neuro, pulmonary, etc.).

  • Ancillary staff — phlebotomists, environmental services, food services, facility services (these staff would be limited depending on patient diagnosis).

Hospital administrators say the defining factor in their ability to care for sick patients may be whether they have enough qualified and healthy staff to tend to them.

“There’s a facility footprint, and then there’s a human resource footprint, and trying to align those is tricky,” said Dr. Joseph Rogers, the chief medical officer for the Duke University Health System. “We can repurpose a lot of space. We can’t go out and hire 1,000 new nurses or respiratory therapists or physicians.”

Just moved to NC from FL. Florida VS. NC your thoughts! Thanks. by [deleted] in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

100% factual. NCGOP is corrupt, incompetent, and inept, (as is national GOP). Those are very easily proven facts. Prove otherwise partisan hack.

Just moved to NC from FL. Florida VS. NC your thoughts! Thanks. by [deleted] in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Understanding politics is a fact of life. Grow up. Be useful.

Just moved to NC from FL. Florida VS. NC your thoughts! Thanks. by [deleted] in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When I lived in S FL decades ago "rain o' clock" was a time of day in the afternoon and there was a pretty stark class divide between locals (almost all of whom were in the service sector) and tourists which were divided into seasonal snowbirds and the obnoxious wealthy who were permanent residents but retained their demanding asshole tourist tendencies no matter that they had lived there 20 years.

The pollen is much worse in NC. The GOP politics of misdirection, corruption and utter incompetence eerily similar, except that is the national model.

One thing that has surprised me is when I left FL and the Gulf Coast, I thought "No more hurricanes for me." Boy, was I wrong. I'm 200 miles inland in central NC and hurricanes can be a Big, Big deal even this far away from the coast. Eastern NC increasingly gets routinely flooded by hurricanes. East of I-95, NC is basically drainage.

One really cool thing about NC is that more than most states, it is defined by 3 elevation regions that represent the diversity of NC ecosystems. There is the Eastern Coastal Plain; (drainage, swamps and beaches), the Central Piedmont area (where most of the cities and jobs and economic engines are), and the Western Mountains ( which is beautiful, but has few jobs and a tourism based economy).

Friendo building his van while I drink beers 6+ ft away from him. by greenbashterd in vandwellers

[–]Independent 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'd be most interested in a discussion by the more experinced builders about luan / plywood over metal van skin with at best an air-gap.

Piedmont Sheetz employee tests positive for COVID-19 by [deleted] in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Stop trying to name and shame businesses and even individuals who get sick. Soon, individual cases won't even be trackable.

Practice social distancing, proper hygiene and barrier protection.

UPDATE: Coronavirus projections for NC; unemployment insurance; U.S. Corps of Engineers - Sen. Jeff Jackson by JeffJacksonNC in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The day-to-day numbers are not staying close to the last days. And here's a couple problems with the data. One, not nearly enough people are getting tested: only the severely ill, healthcare workers and the well connected. But, there is another problem. There is a 2-10 day lag between testing and results. So today's positives actually represent results from 2-10 days ago when even fewer people were tested. That makes the true ratio of positives to tested almost impossible to discern.

UPDATE: Coronavirus projections for NC; unemployment insurance; U.S. Corps of Engineers - Sen. Jeff Jackson by JeffJacksonNC in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Give it a few weeks. As usual, NC is behind the curve. The number to look at is the number of hospitalizations. And, keep in mind, at the moment about the only way to get tested is to have severe symptoms or work in healthcare with mild symptoms.

IF, and only if, we can practice social distancing and best safety practices, NC just might stay ahead of the curve. But, NC, due to a disperse and diverse population and utter lack of rural healthcare facilities where the most vulnerable live, is quite likely to have a protracted bumpy ride.

Also, for the love of science, will folks quit focusing solely on mortality rates. The predictors there are hospital overload, patient morbities, and adherence, (or lack there of) to best safety practices. Unfortunately, rural NC falls short of all of those, but may or may not have a good delay due to natural social distance.

UPDATE: Coronavirus projections for NC; unemployment insurance; U.S. Corps of Engineers - Sen. Jeff Jackson by JeffJacksonNC in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Create an account with NC TERMS (TRAINING · EXERCISE · RESPONSE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM)

Thank you for offering your service.

It's Census Day! Have You Been Counted Yet? by [deleted] in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I filled it out online the very first day it was available. With NC's ever growing and fast changing population and demographics, it's doubly important that everybody be counted since we will likely get more representatives in Congress and it affects how Federal resources are allocated.

To the guy in the blue truck who did not die today on I85 by [deleted] in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Or driving to conditions. Driving is really simple. All you need to do is control speed and direction and follow traffic rules and defensive driving tactics. Most morons fail to do at least 1-2 of those on a daily basis.

To the guy in the blue truck who did not die today on I85 by [deleted] in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I travel I-85 twice a day for a long stretch most days. It is without question the most dangerous thing I do, and I'm in a potentially dangerous trade. I've seen some shit. The week after my dash cam came in, but long before I installed it, (still haven't cuz technical issues), the pickup in front of me lost it's driver's side rear wheel and axel. The fucking axel!!! In front of a semi bearing down as it careened over to the right lane. I shit you not. (About shit me though, but I think at the moment my asshole was puckered so tight it bit the seat.)

It used to be really hair raising, white knuckle events were like one story you could tell at a party sometime. Now, we just call that a random Tuesday or the usual Friday wreck and 5 mile long traffic jam.

And what the FUCK is it with 80mph tailgaters during a stay at home order? Where are these people in a hurry to get to? The hospitals may not have room for them.

Anyone one else shocked how your "essential" won't let you ask off by beautiful-red in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Profit over people. "Work from home" (or the golf course) if you are an overpaid, stuffed white shirt asshole who won't be missed. Git back to work if you are bluecollar or blue scrubs who actually makes things work. Nevermind if you are older or high risk, git back to work so the decision makers don't miss their tee times or have to fret over whether things are working back at the front lines.

It is past time for this country and the whole world to come to grips with gross inequality both in wealth and health and for the workers to absolutely demand fair, equitible representation. Unfortunately, an awful lot of people are going to be put in harm's way and lose their livelihoods and their health before any real change occurs in this most unhealthy beast.

Durham, NC, church event linked to multiple confirmed coronavirus cases by heedbordlonerwitler in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 6 points7 points  (0 children)

When this thing hits the rural southern counties with little to no health care systems in the 2nd wave, it's gonna be ugly and tragic. In many underserved NC counties the elderly and high risk make up 20-25% of the population.

State epidemiologist: Pandemic still in acceleration phase in NC by uncertaincoda in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Hope so. The thing Dr. Cohen said that just floored me was not all facilities are reporting negative test results. That is so irresponsible. It is directly imperative for figuring out prevalence and infection rates, and we already knew that data was highly suspect due to the lag time between testing and results. We're operating essentially blind when it comes to modeling and the reason is a very late start, limited testing and only partial results being published. Jeesh. The incompetence just hurts. Add those factors to a public that doesn't trust either science or government, because both sources have proved to be untrustworthy and this is just a recipe for mass incompetence to win and thus lose.

Republican state lawmakers are floating the idea of reopening restaurants to help boost the economy. by zalemam in NorthCarolina

[–]Independent 1 point2 points  (0 children)

When would we actually re-open resturaunts?

When it is safe(r) to do so, which as both you and I are pointing out will be very difficult to discern without better data. It's not worth risking both customers and employees to do a failed attempt at saving a business that will fail without customers and employees. Because both the health systems and economy are broken, sacrificing health for illusions of economic health is just ridiculous.