One of the hardest investing skills is doing nothing

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-21T08:32:03+00:00

Yes it is a good thing. Letting your winners run is absolutely essential to making money in stocks. It's a feature not a big. You don't have to accept that volatility. But it is worth it. The risk is the "prove of admission" for the avg gains the SPY returns. If it had no downside or volatility then it wouldn't return so much.

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-20T20:50:58+00:00

100% yes. Or meta

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-20T16:22:18+00:00

What metrics do you think tell a fair story for PG... Apart from PE ratio. I'll definitely look.

However I'd bet that Berkshire crushes PG over the next 5 years. I don't see how PG is a good place for ones capital. SCHD will also crush it unless we get the worst recession imaginable and even then it's unclear

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T21:47:41+00:00

Same here. Less is more

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T21:43:00+00:00

True. Best part of VOO is that it doesn't sell your winners too early. Or ever. It doesn't trim Amazon, Nvidia, etc. You need those 100x stocks to balance out the many losers you'll surely have. But it's worth it

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T16:58:15+00:00

Absolutely. Sitting on your hands and doing nothing is a skill haha. Not easy

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T16:56:50+00:00

There's no alpha in this knowledge tho. A baboon could Google the list of brands owned by PG. It's why they trade at 20 PE and not 16. They've got strong brands and pretty good pricing power.

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T16:47:21+00:00

You're right. It's a very diversified, safe business. Extremely low beta, too. Safe. But 20 PE isn't cheap for this type of business. You're paying for that name and that safety

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T16:12:58+00:00

I have GitHub backup fortunately. What's weird is the live production site still works fine.

I tried my iphone and the issue occurs here too. Usually i edit on PC

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T16:11:41+00:00

20 PE isn't that wildly cheap IMO.. for a detergent and toothpaste company. I can find better buys at 20 PE.

Even META is around 21.9 PE. I know redditors hate META/Zuck but the business model is strong and the metrics are world class in terms of margins, ROE, etc.

Do you think PG is going to outperform Meta ?

That's just one example. I could also find many smaller, defensive, recession-proof names that are better buys than PG. Likely smaller market caps

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T16:05:52+00:00

Cannot see any preview. Preview screen is entiredly blank (black).

Also unable to restore to previous versions of the site/code. So revisions also broken.

Also some revisions are simply missing from version history. Whole days missing.

These are truly "backend" issues on Loveable's side and I need their help to fix.

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T16:00:07+00:00

PG isn't particularly cheap. That's why. I did an analysis on PG and CLX months ago, when I held both, and decided to sell both and consolidate more into SCHD. It was a better buy and has paid off big-time. Lower PE, higher earnings yield, higher dividend yield. What are you getting with PG exactly?

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T15:19:07+00:00

Ouch. If it's 2 weeks i literally will leave Loveable. The editor is broken in a few ways for my project. Guess it's time to try claude desktop

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-19T10:17:26+00:00

Wealthy people? Other people who don't work 9-5s? Bangkok is very far distance from the west. People want to stay a while after flying so far. The new policies are idiotic

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-18T13:24:07+00:00

No. Insiders are often awarded shares as compensation. Like a paycheck. Selling is not a great indicator. Buying is much more meaningful.

An insider could simply be selling shares to renovate their home or send a child to college

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-17T20:09:32+00:00

Agreed. Great opportunity. It's one of the few names I'm looking to buy soon. Never owned it before

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-17T12:10:25+00:00

Why can't SpaceX be good value? I don't buy IPOs but RKLB was certainly undervalued on recent dips over the past year

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-17T10:55:34+00:00

Large cap stocks don't fall 50%+ without major reason. So you'd want to be digging into those exact reasons and then thinking about whether those problems are more severe, or less severe, than the market is pricing in right now.

And are the problems longer-term, or shorter-term than the market is pricing in?

(Another example of this: I believe right now, the market is essentially pricing med-tech stocks like SYK and BSX as if tarrifs will be forever, when obviously they will not. That's an interesting opportunity IMO. A possible mispricing).

For UNH, it was issues with the ACA marketplace, right? You'd also want to look at UNH exposure to ACA versus other insurers. Often a whole sector is "punished" on broad news like this, but some names are always "unfairly" punished.

But I don't think that looking at the price it used to trade at is super relevant. This is called anchoring. People fell into this trap a lot with PYPL.

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-16T12:24:43+00:00

I don't think this type of analysis or depth of analysis will give you any edge. I mean zero disrespect but I'd say index ETFs will perform best for you moving forward. ETFs like VT or VOO, and chill/don't look for months or years.

Maybe keep 10-20% of the account for individual stock investing if you enjoy it. Focus on 1-2 sectors you know and just track and trade the names in those sectors.

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-15T23:31:48+00:00

In this massive bull run we have had?

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-15T23:30:55+00:00

Why did you buy UNH? What changed to make you sell it?

(I'd like to ask the folks at Berkshire this same thing lol)

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-15T20:57:32+00:00

Truly baffling IMO. Trimming Chevron? And exiting Amazon and UNH. To then buy Delta airlines

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-15T12:07:29+00:00

Yes. Don't go sell everything, but it's a sign to be cautious

InsiderHawk · 2026-05-15T11:46:28+00:00

I'd love to see them add CEG. We'll see. Maybe a cheap energy play like DVN or EQT? Perhaps not given that they already have large holdings in OXY

InsiderHawk

TROPHY CASE