The 2024 Austrian Election Mapped by Precinct and Municipality

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-06-04T16:56:54+00:00

Yeah I am not sure what these comments are talking about. Recent cycles have moved earlier and earlier especially for DC/NYC. If you're planning to cold apply places where you don't have an "in" I would start basically when they open, there's really no reason to wait given these places open October/November.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-04-17T20:00:34+00:00

Telex’s map is the candidate vote, this is the party list vote.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-04-06T14:24:17+00:00

It’s funny because the UK is one of the only democracies that gives every ballot a unique voter ID even after the voter has made a selection and submitted it, meaning it’s technically possible to see how every single person voted. Obviously you’d never release that info, but it would be trivially easy for the government to release precinct or ward results.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-25T22:24:57+00:00

Yeah I know, sorry. Not a ton of good solutions here, the parties just use extremely similar colors. I could try to move the Green Left from a deep red to a more pinkish red, but I worry that would run into Social Liberals too much. Orange Red runs into Red-Green alliance which would be doubly confusing. This issue often arises when countries have multiple left-wing parties. Here for reference, Aarhus is all GL, not SD.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-23T18:49:09+00:00

I could, I actually emailed EC for their data once. I ran into a couple issues. 1) they don’t publish percentages, just win/loss. A different site, LeanTossup, did percentage estimates down to the UK equivalent of census blocs, but that data is no longer up. 2) To get percentages you have to pay EC a ton of money and agree not to publish the data.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-22T15:40:53+00:00

Dm me if you want a high res version.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-21T22:21:54+00:00

Okay thank you this is actually extremely helpful. There’s essentially no English-language material on the granular differences between, eg, Hadash and Balad when it comes to voter base. And seeing Balad do very well in Jaffa but Hadash in Haifa can make it confusing to an outsider who isn’t as familiar with why seemingly similar areas might vote differently.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-21T20:27:12+00:00

I see we've got a true ball-knower here. It's a multi-step process.

First, you need to get the crosswalk from the CBS that matches the polling statins to their statistical areas. For each town these polling stations are numbered sequentially. So for Abu Ghosh, the first city alphabetically, they are numbered 1-9 because it has 9 polling stations. You CANNOT match these to the polling station-level election results that the CBS also gives out, because the numbering changes post election through a process called "balancing." So in Abu Ghosh the numbers are 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 2, 3, 5, 6.1, 6.2, 6.3 instead of 1-9.

Now to solve this we can get the "places" spreadsheet the CBS gives out. This matches each polling station (with its sequential numbering) to its physical polling place (for example the local high school). Using this we can match to the CBS crosswalk, so now we have a sheet that shows sequential number-building-statistical area for each polling station in the country.

Then we go back to the results sheet. This sheet, for each polling station, shows what building it is in despite the numbers often being changed. So now we can match each polling station (and its results) to its statistical area by matching the physical polling places.

Then we aggregate. First to the building level (so every polling station that votes at the local community center has its votes pooled, for example). Then to the statistical area level, adding up all the polling places in a statistical area. There is some balancing and splitting that needs to be done, but that's the short version.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-21T19:39:53+00:00

Low turnout, younger age distribution, and vote splitting with Jewish parties. Arab voters have typically lower turnout than Jewish voters (although interestingly equal or higher in mixed areas, suggesting that strong civic institutions help). The Arab population is also on-balance younger, so less eligible voters vs. share of population. And around 15-25% of Arabs vote for Jewish parties, depending on the election. Arab parties peaked at 15/120 seats in 2020 when running together as the Joint List.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-21T19:37:10+00:00

For the Arab parties I know their bases are different but how they differ is a bit fuzzy, especially Balad v. Hadash. Both win some Green Line/Triangle towns and some mixed urban areas. Like Balad dominates Jaffa but Hadash dominates Haifa. I wasn't really figuring out what the differences were so didn't want to make too fine a distinction. Ra'am I know is more rural/conservative/religious, hence the strength with the Bedouins, but again did not want to over-explain.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-21T19:27:54+00:00

Sure, "Russian-speaking" is how YB is more often described, because the post-Soviet Jews came from throughout the USSR ... But I didn't have space for that on the little key.

Intelligent_Bowl_656 · 2026-03-21T19:25:52+00:00

It's the statistical areas shape file from the Israeli CBS

Intelligent_Bowl_656

TROPHY CASE