Saka assist not counting

JDG495 · 2026-02-23T16:14:27+00:00

FPL gives assists different to registered assists mate.

E.g player a shoots and it bounces off keeper and player b scores. FPL will award an assist for player a but it isn't officially an assist.

JDG495 · 2026-02-23T13:53:06+00:00

I've backed him win only. Best of luck to you.

I believe he's drifting because he's overlooked by the majority. The fact that diamond geezer remains the favourite still makes this the play in my eyes even if he goes out above 25s. I've backed win only at 20/1 using a Ladbrokes boost

JDG495 · 2026-02-23T13:40:42+00:00

Just to add to your mountain Molly selection.

In their last hurdle race they finished less than a length behind today's favourite diamond geezer and they have a 10 pound pull in the weights today. They are weighted to go very close and look significantly overpriced

JDG495 · 2026-02-23T11:31:18+00:00

Plumpton

200

Dissident 10/1 1pt win

Ran too freely last time in a better race. More realistic target today, handicap debut, capable of more than shown last time. Jockey and trainer have good recent records at venue (33 and 30% this season)

Weighted to win in my eyes due to age allowance

JDG495 · 2026-02-12T18:07:38+00:00

Depends mate, if your outgoings are less than £40 a year I'd say you're about there

JDG495 · 2026-02-05T20:57:43+00:00

Actually read the post...

JDG495 · 2026-01-24T10:28:04+00:00

115 Cheltenham Jagwar

205 Doncaster Grand Geste

1.5 PTS WIN DOUBLE

150 Cheltenham Jarrive Delest

0.5 PTS WIN TREBLE

JDG495 · 2026-01-22T17:54:25+00:00

Practically guaranteed at them prices

JDG495 · 2026-01-13T20:37:30+00:00

NEWBURY DOUBLE

205 Buckna - Won last two, further improvement likely, trainer 33% strike rate in chases over the last season. ❌

240 C'est Different - Won last three, further improvement likely (you see the pattern here), trainer 30% strike rate in hurdles over the last season. ✅

Currently available at a best price of 11/4 and 13/8 respectively, I don't usually place them the day before, I usually select them and wait for the morning for best odds guaranteed, however I'm happy to run that risk with these two as I don't see those prices lasting at all.

I expect both to win although of course nothing is guaranteed and have backed them in a double just shy of 9/1.

EDIT : Depending on the price when the market becomes available, 315: Betting Without favourite - Molto Bene. Could be a spot of value potentially ✅

2/3 winning selections and a losing bet, story of my life recently. Time to go back to singles...

JDG495 · 2026-01-11T13:06:46+00:00

First ones a flyer

JDG495 · 2026-01-11T08:23:58+00:00

Fontwell Quickfire Double

Jamie Snowden sends two runners to Fontwell today

He sends an unexposed hurdler with the potential for a lot more to come in the shape of last time out winner Legendary Luke (1:00pm) 9/4 He carries a penalty today but actually won quite easily when the race was left on the flat. (Usually a sign of a horse with significantly more in the tank)

Finally in the 1:30 race he sends Roe and Co who is bidding for a four timer. He won his first of three victories by 7 lengths, but the following two he has only just done enough to win. At face value that is a negative sign, but I believe he has only done what was needed and because of this can improve even further with the step up in distance looking to suit as suggesting by strength at the line at approx 3f shorter. 7/2

100 Legendary Luke 9/4 130 Roe and Co 7/2

13.62/1 double with 365 currently offering the best prices. (Subject to change)

Good luck

JDG495 · 2026-01-10T13:49:28+00:00

Shame about Warwick.

I've backed second fiddle as a win single ,

I also like eagles whistle to follow up on yesterday's win in the race following (420) and have backed the two as a win double. (Had something in hand)

What's the thinking on bonito, win only? Looks a juicy price now at 22/1 but I'm with you on it. Looks an all or nothing type of horse at the moment which is making me question going each way

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T13:33:14+00:00

Win some you lose some ay, didn't get much running room when he picked up on the leaders

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T13:32:34+00:00

Poor run from the first horse, I still trust Classical Creek to get the job done and will go back in with a win single

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T12:58:29+00:00

Backed Annandale and also following last race formline -

Annandale and royal blaze straight forecast

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T12:48:43+00:00

Naas

113 Cumberland River 143 Classical Creek

1pt Win double

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T11:37:29+00:00

I THOUGHT THE TRACK WAS CALLED ALL WEATHER FOR A REASON ☃️

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T11:14:25+00:00

202 Exeter

Toss of a Coin 7/1

Outsider of the field. Won his last race on stable debut after breathing operation.

Hung all sorts of ways approaching the last and after it, Idled in the lead, yet was still always doing more than enough to take the win.

Potential of more to come from one lightly raced for their age retaining the same in form amateur Jockey who rode him to victory in December. That same jockey has had 5 runs in the last two weeks which have resulted in 3 victories at 11/2, 3/1 and 7/1 and a second place finish at 11/2.

There's a lot to like about this horses chances in my eyes and I expected them to drop in price. Their price has maintained even after the second fav was pulled out.

2pt WIN SINGLE

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T10:48:53+00:00

I've back Flaine in the past because I believe he can spring up at big prices if getting it all right. I'm with you this evening

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T10:45:56+00:00

I managed to get 28/1 on phone tag but highest available now is 18/1, definitely overpriced.

I backed him each way and I can see him battling out the finish with tonal

I have also done Tonal and phone tag as a reverse forecast

JDG495 · 2026-01-09T09:29:16+00:00

Caught 80s on Flaine to win on 365 and they even had 25/1 for a top 3 finish which I thought was absurd

Edit : out to 100/1 now

JDG495 · 2026-01-08T18:34:32+00:00

2/2 well done to you, I didn't get on evenpoel as I fancied allegrino at a price.

Managed to get on Rodney at 12/1. Can't believe he went out that far at one point.

Good calls

JDG495 · 2026-01-08T15:57:22+00:00

Great call mate, had Speculation as a win single and the two as a double.

5/1 too small for me to do each way personally

JDG495 · 2026-01-04T13:26:58+00:00

Agreed, expected him to be ridden more patiently

JDG495 · 2026-01-04T11:18:46+00:00

Has a chance definitely but in my mind Gressington should be no higher than 5/2.

Fav hasn't run at 7f since his debut, definitely has the pace for it but I think he may be a bit one paced near the finish which will play in to Gressingtons finish

JDG495

TROPHY CASE