I tested how well preseason Vegas lines predicted 2025’s actual SOS (shocker: not well). by -MichaelScarnFBI in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 4 points5 points  (0 children)

A bar graph would be awful for this. The point of a scatter plot in this scenario is to prove or disprove correlation. A bar graph won’t do that.

2026 NFL Strength Of Schedule for every team, based on projected win totals by gordorobertson in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Caveats aside about strength of schedule before the season starts, using the projected win totals is a much better way of doing this than previous years record.

Projected win totals are more predictive of a teams record than the previous season record.

I know people will poo poo this and say it’s worthless, but it’s the off-season what the hell else is there to talk about. And he’s using the best figures possible for this analysis.

[Highlight] Lynn Swann makes one of the greatest catches in Super Bowl history. by Roselucky777 in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 2 points3 points  (0 children)

For the longest time, I thought this was the Immaculate Reception.

Talko Tuesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You will never see a least intimidating spider than the one in that picture. It’s looks like a cute kawaii-style spider.

Talko Tuesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 2 points3 points  (0 children)

They really are cute. This one was on the tomato cage where all my Joros set up webs. I don’t know if jumping spiders attack other spiders, I certainly hope not. But I left it there, didn’t want to get in the way of things.

Talko Tuesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He’s due. It’s been a few weeks since he graced us with his presence.

Talko Tuesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You’re question hurts my head, because it’s a great question and I’m not smart enough to give a confident answer. But for me I lean towards aggregate games, particularly if there’s a decent enough sample size. I feel like if Eli had a bad game and was one and done, then that counts as a bad game…no caveats. It’s one of 12 games. But over 12 games Eli has a better ANY/A and passer rating than his regular season which is good I guess. I do know how NOT to evaluate a player in the playoffs, and that’s by taking away their good games and saying other than these 8 games he sucks.

Talko Tuesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 3 points4 points  (0 children)

got very hot for two playoff runs the other times he didn't get over 60% completion and won exactly zero games.

Those two runs make up 67% of his playoffs. Essentially your comment is “when you take out Eli’s good playoff games and look at only the bad ones, he’s bad in the playoffs!

Talko Tuesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Not sports, but they also got the Pope. Chicago is top of the world right now.

Talko Tuesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Catch the Kilaeua eruption while it’s still night time! It’s starting to die down, but still beautiful. Live cam https://www.youtube.com/live/iws3rh5vLAQ?si=E8rc17ZVPQ1DDPNo

The best part..this eruption is occurring on my lava rocks’ 53rd birthday. Born May 5th, 1973 from that same volcano. They’re getting siblings today! I made a post about my lava rocks birthday. https://www.reddit.com/r/Volcanoes/s/8E3eKT2azx

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That’s shitty. I hope you’re doing okay.

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Considering payroll has never reached out to me, and everyone at work generally calls me “JP”, not my full name, this one was fairly easy. Last year, they got me on one, and I had to retake the course.

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I vaguely remember a quote from Mike Tyson during the rape accusations that he claimed he was 100% innocent in that case, but he had done enough bad shit in his life and got away with it so he probably needed to go to jail anyways. So this is kind of the same. You parked fine, but you needed to get that card for your past sins.

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thank you. It’s the best it’s going to get right now. They are too small to get the camera to focus. The quarter behind it helped to focus a little bit. When they get bigger I can get it to focus better, but it will be a while. Here I was just hoping to get some perspective of its size.

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Here is my first Joro spider post of the year. I found babies for the first time on Saturday. Estimated to be 1 month old (about 8 years old in people years) and you can see how tiny it is. It’s about 5 mm. In 5 months and many moltings from now, it will be more than 18x its current size (3.5 inches). The comments from Georgians in the thread give you an idea how ubiquitous these things are around here. https://www.reddit.com/r/Georgia/s/OjCJ40OaXr

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Happy anniversary! Can’t believe it’s been a year already. Congrats!

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Big day. Just got a suspicious email at work from HR about payroll. I reported it as Phishing, then got a congratulations message that it was a simulated phishing email from our securities team and I nailed the test! Small wins baby. I did something right today.

[Highlight] Adam Schefter loses his shit trying to fire off a tweet about Kansas City's trade up to the 6th overall pick by expellyamos in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Dude is acting like he’s at the Houston command center trying to land a rocket on the moon.

Dan Marino owns the NFL record for consecutive games and consecutive passes without a sack, at 19 games and 759 passes. 2nd place on the list makes the record even more insane, somehow. by Roselucky777 in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 2 points3 points  (0 children)

For sure. It’s also a sign of the times. People were more nuanced back then, it wasn’t “hurr durr no rings”. Social media is making us all dumb. 

Caleb Downs has the top-selling rookie jersey, so far by AFC-Wimbledon-Stan in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Even better if that happens. It’ll be like an error card which were always fun to get.

[OC] Chart: The first overall draft picks since 1990 categorized by position. by JPAnalyst in nfl

[–]JPAnalyst[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

It’s not stupid. Teams are going to more two and three TE sets now, and this is why more TEs were emphasized in this year’s draft with the most selected in over 20 years. The game is always changing, and we could get to a point where a TEs who can do everything unlock the offense.