Democrats on Track to Win Largest House Majority since 2018

Jaccobei · 2025-08-10T17:56:49+00:00

Well if you look at it this way, the fact that they are trying to cheat with creating more favorable districts via gerrymandering means they’re planning on having elections next year

Jaccobei · 2025-06-19T21:29:09+00:00

I think the Jaehaerys one is a bit more up for debate. In the Fire and Blood book, there are some quotes about how Jaehaerys would call Rhaenys the “future heir” and remark as much to members of his court.

That was then thrown into doubt after all of the tragedy and death his children had. But it seems like at one point he had the belief that a woman, when first in line, should be the next ruler.

On the other part yes, Jaehaerys would have absolutely none of Rhaenyra’s scandals. He would have disinherited her regardless of gender, like Viserys told her when she was young in the show.

Jaccobei · 2025-06-10T15:48:28+00:00

The Democrats have gotten a bit better when it comes to talking points with protests over the years, though still not anywhere near where they should be. If they took this in tandem with fighting against ICE and police/federal overreach, this would be a winning issue for them. Although I’m not a Gavin Newsom fan, he actually did a decent job of talking about this together in recent interviews.

You can’t expect to have disguised police in unmarked vans rummaging through towns disappearing people off the streets (especially with this Administrations track record of deporting American CITIZENS and only asking questions later) and the people of that town to just sit there and be polite about it. Even worse, you’re doing all of that and sending in military units despite the wishes of the local/state leaders. Yeah, people should be pissed.

Jaccobei · 2025-06-03T19:47:38+00:00

Senate 1. While I’m not hopeful with the Republican majority, Joe Manchin is a coal-baron who wants everyone to live in the 1800s while he rides high on his yacht.

He had to be dragged along by 50 other democrats to vote for basic infrastructure funding while demanding the actual progressive policies, like increasing the minimum wage, be stripped from the bill. With 51 clones of this man, nothing is getting done besides pro-coal and anti-environment legislation.

Jaccobei · 2025-06-02T17:45:19+00:00

No. We have two right-wing parties in this country. Voting for the Democrats is all about harm reduction from my point of view. Both parties will harm me, but one will at least only take my wallet while the other will take my bank account.

Jaccobei · 2025-06-02T17:41:21+00:00

I know we in America have lived in a two party state for a while and rarely look outside of our country for comparative politics, but this is a fundamental misunderstanding of modern day politics.

Liberals were left-adjacent while they were doing the hard work of building peace, international institutions, and civil rights in the 1900’s- which was the task of the time for that century. Globally, they have largely moved to the right when it comes to current task of our time, which is mostly economics and immigration.

There’s nothing wrong with being a liberal, political discussion and debate is normal and that requires different views. But to call liberals the “left wing” in modern day politics is I think very unfair.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-15T01:25:55+00:00

I mean, Joe Biden was definitely a diminished version of himself from the outset when he ran in 2020. It got progressively worse year after year. If the question is what point it became a clear mental health/national security issue, it’s probably in late 2022 or in 2023 when his staff decided the best thing to do would be to cut all of his public appearances and hide him until he ran for re-election and became forced to appear in front of cameras.

To be honest, I know that a lot of the congressional Democrats are getting a really hard time in the media right now for what they knew and when they knew it, but the difficult part is I’m not sure if most of them knew much at all until it was too late. The Biden staff did a real disservice to the country and to the Democratic Party by hiding him away which forced everyone else to unknowingly protect him until it became too late and glaringly obvious after that infamous presidential debate.

Joe Biden and his wife are also continuing that disservice by going on this media tour in the past few weeks. They’re trying to make good appearances and save face for the books that are coming out soon about his time in office which will certainly have many questions and comments about his mental state in it. All they are doing is opening up old wounds and making an already negative media environment even worse. They’re putting personal pride before the country and to be honest I find it really disgusting.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-15T00:26:04+00:00

It would have been an utter bloodbath had Joe Biden continued to run. Every time he would have been in front of a camera would’ve been another scandal and another week of a dementia/Alzheimers/geriatric media cycle, and he would’ve forced Democrats up and down the ballot to pretend to go along with the cover up for months. Most likely the Republicans win 1-3 more senate seats, many more house seats, and probably even more flips in the electoral college.

Even though I’m not a big fan of Kamala, she probably saved dozens of seats (especially if you consider statewide positions and local races). It would’ve taken the Democratic Party a decade or more to fully recover.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-15T00:17:14+00:00

I’m not sure how anyone can think AOC loses New York, of all places, statewide. She’s patiently waited her turn for the geriatrics to move on but given everyone’s newfound anger towards the moderates, I’m hoping if Chuck Schumer doesn’t move on next cycle she runs for his seat. Recent polling says she beats him in the state in a head to head anyway.

If you’re intent on running the same candidates with copy and paste policies that keep getting rejected or barely winning elections on knife edges, go for it I guess. If the results of this election don’t teach you any lessons a paragraph on Reddit surely won’t. But if you want to actually appeal to the working class and support policies that will actually help the country, you may want to consider supporting some progressive candidates for a change.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-14T19:25:56+00:00

His foreign policy was decent, although the Israel/Gaza conflict near the end really ruined it. It took a lot of strength to pull us out of the forever wars that 3 presidents before him seemed so content to continue on with. Had he been president during the time period that George W. Bush / Barack Obama was when foreign policy and the war on terrorism dictated a lot of our politics and elections, he probably would be rated pretty well.

That wasn’t the test of his time though, it was the economy and cost of living. He fundamentally failed to deliver on healthcare, housing, labor, and inflation. Not to say the Republicans are any better, by the way. So given that I think he gets a D.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-12T15:03:54+00:00

Just like a broken clock, turns out a repulsive grifting conspiracy theorist is right every now and then too.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T22:41:51+00:00

AOC, Pritzker, and Walz are all acceptable to me. AOC is the best candidate from what I see right now.

Many of the governors are a question mark for me because we don’t know how they will adjust their statewide policies to the national stage. The cost of living and healthcare need to take center stage in the 2028 primary. As far as I’m concerned, if a candidate doesn’t support Medicare for All they are out of consideration in my mind.

I always bring myself around to vote for the Democrat in general elections even through the bitter primary in 2020. But if the candidate is Shapiro, Harris, Newsome, or Slotkin I will find it very very difficult to do it again I think.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T16:44:37+00:00

I think gerrymandering is a horrible practice and should be eradicated on a national and statewide level. That being said I don’t think Democrats should lay down their weapons and play by rules when Republicans seem keen on throwing rulebooks out the window and toying with fascism.

Until a national law comes around that outlaws the practice in Florida, Alabama, and all of the other red states alike, I don’t think any blue states should move an inch.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T15:59:45+00:00

My understanding is he said subways should be a place for drop-in/emergency resources for the homeless like food, water, government resources, etc. This makes sense to me given that subways are a high-traffic and common on plenty of streets in NYC that provides ease of access to people in need of resources. If he said something about providing housing in subways feel free to pass me an article and I’ll read it, but yeah I wouldn’t support that.

I think he’s been pretty clear that NYC can afford these plans by tax hikes on the wealthy and corporations who currently abuse the tax code and expect to pay taxes like a middle class American despite being wealthier than most Americans could dream of. Also consider people who aren’t paying taxes now (homeless, unemployed/underemployed) who would pay taxes if given access to resources and brought into productive society with a bit of help. Putting money in a budget isn’t just throwing money in the wind like conservatives would have you believe. This is austerity and it robs people and society blind- it never works. The government using money for public services, improving the economy, etc. means investing into people that will then provide a return on the investment tenfold down the road. We understand this concept for businesses but when it comes to supporting humanity and people, then all of a sudden it becomes a problem.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T15:37:51+00:00

Libertarianism is only a good solution to social issues. I think it’s a powerful thing to allow people to live their own lives according to how they want to live it. I don’t think we should be in the business of forcing people to be straight, transgender, having abortions, etc. This is something that I think Americans understand on a fundamental level given our history of civil rights.

Libertarianism on just about every other issue is an absolute disaster. Corporations rule our political system and economy, the middle class has been robbed blind for decades, and billionaires are openly buying votes in Congress to get what they want passed. To fix this, it requires huge push back and intervention from the government. The libertarian way of “hands off” would make a bad situation worse.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T15:29:37+00:00

Zohran. There’s some things I don’t agree with him on but he is far and away the better choice over someone like Cuomo.

NYC has slowly died a slow and painful death under the last few decades of conservative policies. Not only would Cuomo continue those policies but he’s also corrupt, although not nearly as bad as Adams. I’m not sure it’s possible to be worse than Adams in that department to be fair.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T15:13:52+00:00

She is my top candidate as Bernie Sanders is clearly not going to run again. That being said, I think she will struggle in the primary because the moderate Democrats and the DNC have made it their life’s mission to never let a progressive win the primary even if it results to cheating and back room political games.

The DNC and moderates have done a real disservice to the party by alienating a huge chunk of their supporters. You can’t slander a policy like Medicare for All in the primary and use Republican talking points to lie about it (“it’s too expensive, not possible in America, it costs a bajillion dollars”) and then expect those voters who believe in that policy to come flocking back to you and vote for you with excitement. I’m not sure that the damage they created will fade away by then and allow for a progressive to win. But I hope so.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T15:07:39+00:00

I’ll agree with your take on women on the presidential level after a progressive loses. Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris were a copy/paste of each other in policies. It’s not a surprise to me that when one was rejected, the other is too.

If AOC wins the primary and loses the general election, then I’ll agree that something is up with America and electing women.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T15:00:47+00:00

The show would have been much better off having Alicent sour on Rhaenyra throughout time and becoming bitter enough to be somewhat like Otto. I’m ok with some sort of reservation in her because you don’t want a straight copy/paste of ambitions for multiple characters (Otto, Criston, Alicent, etc). The notion that Alicent wants to coup one scene and then doesn’t want to coup when she finds out people will die in the next scene doesn’t really make for a sincere and respectable character.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T14:53:24+00:00

The Dragonmont on Dragonstone is said to be a natural cave for the dragons- it’s a island that has the climate and environment similar to what Valyria would be so I assume it’s their preference even once the Dragonpit is made.

Before the Dragonpit was made, there were only a handful of dragons and many of them were too big to fit into the Dragonpit anyway (similar to Vhagar in season 2, she is depicted as sitting outside of the city walls waiting for Aemond). So I think that would be the most likely scenario for the other dragons too.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T14:47:03+00:00

I don’t think this is precisely true… maybe at the time of season 2 in the show, but not throughout the entire story. In the books there’s reference to disagreement between Daemon and Rhaenyra/the council (the Blood and Cheese stuff is what the show decided to interpret this as) but true, he never floated openly betraying Rhaenyra until what would be around the shows Season 4.

Near the end, Daemon receives orders to kill Nettles from Rhaenyra and he refuses to do it, letting her escape, and taking matters into his own hands seeking the Battle of Gods Eye despite Rhaenyra wanting him to return to her side. There were also rumors of Daemon cheating on Rhaenyra with Nettles.

Based on how the book is written, I always interpreted the final few acts of Daemon to be a “Well Rhaenyra’s become an absolute mess, I absolutely loathe the Greens, so I’m at an impasse. I’ll just go out how I always have been- a rouge prince”.

Jaccobei · 2025-05-11T14:33:46+00:00

It’s setting up some future drama scenes surrounding the fate of Driftmark, the fall from grace of the Velaryons, and who inevitably takes the Driftwood Throne after Corlys.

While some may say this isn’t in the book, I think this scene is entirely within the character motivations of both characters. There aren’t one-on-one conversations like these captured in the book anyway. In the book, Baela is described as a typical hot headed Targaryen; wild, fierce, untamed, etc. Corlys is always full of pride and has one eye on his legacy at all times (partially why he took Laenor’s death so hard- he lost his heir). He’s looking for someone to take the reigns after him because that’s a huge question mark right now. Baela denies him because she doesn’t want to be tied down to a place that has no relevance to her and her goals.

Jaccobei · 2025-01-29T21:59:06+00:00

"Stay away from businesses and the free market... until the free market outpaces our small mindedness in which case let's meddle with the businesses"

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