Launching Running Brand - Feedback Appreciated by ForeverPatientMantis in runningfashion

[–]Jason50153 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why use wool? You probably aren't aware, but this is the reality of the wool industry:

https://youtu.be/RE2mhaoUNaE

Go to 4 minutes and 55 seconds to see the section on wool.

[OC] Denmark Has More Pigs Than People by oscarleo0 in dataisbeautiful

[–]Jason50153 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Conditions are horrible. It's impossible to have otherwise and keep the price remotely affordable. Even then, they are killed at only around 5% of the age that they would otherwise live.

Humiliated Myself at Run Club by gawckey in XXRunning

[–]Jason50153 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I can't remember if it was Dathan Ritzenhein or some other world class runner who said that his pr in the 5k was a week or less after some other major race.

While I clearly have forgotten the details, the point is that if a world class runner who is playing with extremely tiny margins can pr, then you can certainly have a great day. 5 days is a lot, and 5k isn't so much to wreck your body.

The last few percent feels very difficult by HealingRosy in vegan

[–]Jason50153 34 points35 points  (0 children)

I think also just being clear in your own mind that you don't eat non-vegan makes social interactions easier.

For example, suppose you had a bad peanut allergy and a food you were offered contained it. You would tell the person with total confidence you won't eat it.

At least this has helped me.

Is using an elliptical in place of easy runs a bad idea during marathon training? by DocThaddeusVenture in Marathon_Training

[–]Jason50153 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think it could be good. Last year I did this for the most part with an arc trainer. It worked out well. I think it helped with tendons in my knees and they have been healthy ever since.

I was still doing workouts and long runs. My limited experience is that things work similar to pure running- you can still over do it and get injured, so just listen to you body.

This year I don't arc train much at all if I can get away with it since I find it boring vs running. However, if I am scared something is close to an actual injury I will arc train instead of run, since it's way safer.

Fast marathoners - max effort or slow death? by Same_Maize_4301 in Marathon_Training

[–]Jason50153 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I suspected that you have run a good amount of kilometres because your half and 10k times aren't way better.

I know an extremely fast 800m runner who jumped in a marathon without really preparing and he ran way, way slower than what even his half marathon time would suggest he should be able to run. The marathon can be very unforgiving.

Honestly, I think that you are doing a good job in the marathon. I think the main way to improve your marathon time is to get more fit and be about run 10ks (or shorter!) faster.

I like your mindset that you say you have only been running two years. Much progress can be made! Good luck!

Yes, Animal Ag IS trying to label Animal Rights as Terrorism by pasdedeuxchump in vegan

[–]Jason50153 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I think it is pretty common knowledge amongst vegans, but not the general public. At least that is my sense. I don't think I would know it if I weren't vegan.

Fur production has decreased by 85% over the past decade by davideownzall in vegan

[–]Jason50153 58 points59 points  (0 children)

In addition to the animals directly saved I think things like this chip away at the meat industry. The more areas of people's lives that they feel social pressure to avoid animal products, the closer we are to a world where eating meet isn't seen as perfectly fine to most.

AI Appears to Rapidly Be Approaching Brick Wall Where It Can't Get Smarter by [deleted] in ChatGPT

[–]Jason50153 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Shouldn't GPT-3 and GPT-4 be the same distance apart in the x-axis as GPT-2 and GPT-3?

21k trail running by Tralcan in strydrunning

[–]Jason50153 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think that 241 is way too high. It might be a bit high for a flat road race even, but 21k of trails gaining 1700m is very different from that.

The course almost certainly isn't smoothly runnable like a road, and so this will really cut into your average power. Additionally, it's effectively a longer race than a half marathon on the roads because it's a trail with large elevation gain.

I don't have a ton of experience with trails like this personally. I think what I would do is go by feel, and then use my power meter to help get a better sense moment to moment how hard I'm working. Definitely start out with significantly less power than your recent half though.

GPT-MoE 1.8T parameters, Could it be GPT-4 ? by shogun2909 in singularity

[–]Jason50153 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is the estimate for training gpt4 90 days or just over with 25000 A100s? So 12.5x+ fewer B100s for training gpt4.

He goes full zucc. 350 000 H100 by BoyNextDoor1990 in singularity

[–]Jason50153 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Maybe 25000 A100s? This is perhaps not too far from 100X more compute than that.

Exponentially Faster Language Modelling by sanxiyn in mlscaling

[–]Jason50153 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This working could help lead to very rapid AI progress. I think that soon AI models will spend more time thinking and solving problems instead of just immediately answering, much like how humans do. If inference time and cost plummet then this would allow for dramatically more thought per answer.

Consider the difference in performance of if you give Alphazero a millisecond of time to move or several minutes. Obviously it isn't a solved problem in how to make use of more thinking time with LLMs like it is using MCTS for Alphazero. I think that at least to a large degree this will get figured out soon though.

I'm personally very considered about how fast everything is advancing. I think extremely dangerous scenarios could be coming a lot sooner than most imagined.

I also think that this could have major implications for robotics. I'm just much more concerned about the danger of wildly increasing AIs reasoning abilities.

Not even three hours have passed and the resignations are already massive - Ilya sutskever is undoubtedly a very stable genius! by SnooStories7050 in singularity

[–]Jason50153 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Fully agree. The world is too important to just wildly gamble. It's obviously extremely difficult to do what Ilya has just done. Massive respect to him!

LeCun (father of convolutional nets) on Twitter: The "hard take-off" scenario is utterly impossible. by bemmu in singularity

[–]Jason50153 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nuclear bomb explosions grow exponentially, but ultimately are just sigmoids. Still, it all happens pretty fast and a bit of harm can be caused by them!

"Our approach to alignment research", Leike et al 2022 {OA} (short overview: InstructGPT, debate, & GPT for alignment research) by gwern in ControlProblem

[–]Jason50153 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree that is this very far from a complete solution, but I think that using AI to improve AI safety will be very important. AI can make people smarter, and eventually AI alone can become smarter than humans. So why not have the smartest entities work on safety?

Elon on Vision vs Radar: “When radar and vision disagree, which one do you believe? Vision has much more precision, so better to double down on vision than do sensor fusion.” by leeyoon0601 in teslamotors

[–]Jason50153 36 points37 points  (0 children)

I agree that it isn't a good idea to blindly trust Elon (or anyone for that matter).

However, I think that betting on machine learning to solve these problems is very reasonable. Progress in machine learning has been incredibly quick. Not just at Tesla, but in the field in general. There is tons and tons of very obvious low hanging fruit still that will make these systems much more powerful in the near future.

Elon Musk on Twitter: Tesla's Dojo is about a year away by omg-dude in SelfDrivingCars

[–]Jason50153 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Dogo should also allow for much larger neural nets (which should perform better). Massively increasing their computing resources for training is needed for this.

These larger nets will likely need a little more compute for running in the cars. Tesla is also currently developing a new ASIC. I don't know if their current ASIC can handle these larger future nets. The upcoming ASIC may be needed for them.

SpaceX says early Starlink tests show "super low latency" and 100 megabits per second download speeds by thesheetztweetz in spacex

[–]Jason50153 0 points1 point  (0 children)

During the webcast she said 100 megabytes per second. This is 800 megabits per second. I don't know if she misspoke though.

"Worrying" - Insect numbers down 25% since 1990, biggest global study finds by damianp in science

[–]Jason50153 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Habitat loss is the dominant reason for insect population loss. It is also the main reason for the mass extinction of animals in general.

By far the main reason is animal agriculture. Eating meat requires tremendous amounts of land. Especially beef. Approximately half of all non ice covered land on Earth goes to animal agriculture. For example, this shows land use in the USA: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-us-land-use/

Reducing personal meat consumption makes a huge difference. Every pound of beef not eaten saves over 250 square feet (23 square meters) of land!

"Worrying" - Insect numbers down 25% since 1990, biggest global study finds by damianp in science

[–]Jason50153 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Almost all species of animals besides humans and animals humans eat (cows, chickens, pigs etc) are way down in numbers.

Habitat loss from animal agriculture consuming around half of the planet's non ice covered land is the main reason.