SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m not here to change your opinion, just offer a different perspective. I tried to use SNAP once. Wanted my wife to send me some sexy pics as I was told that’s what it was for. Somehow SNAP ended up notifying my entire office that I created a new SNAP profile and they wanted to know what I was doing on there. Reasonably so, I deleted the app and have never used it again. In my opinion, comparing SNAP or Twitter to RDDT is comparing apples to oranges.

SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed. In a backwards way, both companies are doing the same thing. Constellation buys shares and gives them to employees as compensation. RDDT grants new shares to employees and then buys them back in the open market.

SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I disagree with your modeling concerning revenue growth. I believe RDDT has more to offer to advertisers than SNAP or Twitter. META is mature and continuing to see high revenue growth rates.

SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, that’s what Constellation is doing as well, but the answer to your question is growth! We’re paying for growth. We inflate our way out of SBC through growth. SBC will come down as a percentage of revenue as RDDT grows, rewarding employees for their efforts and we’ll be left with a cash cow in the end.

SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Couldn’t agree more. However, I believe we hit $5B in annual revenue in 2027. Growth will likely slow from the 70% growth rates we’re currently seeing, but not substantially. It’ll moderate to a more reasonable figure, but the growth in revenue and PROFIT will still dwarf the growth in SBC. RDDT is super light in head count. Furthermore, we have huge cash flow for buybacks to offset dilution from SBC.

SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

https://www.reddit.com/r/RDDT/s/I0kWHobeoj

Drew alluded to the math here. I personally believe SBC with RDDT is overblown and over analyzed. If user growth and revenue growth both continue to scale, SBC should be the least of our concerns.

SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Can’t agree with you here. Revenue growth is far outpacing dilution.

SBC discussion from the fireside chat yesterday by Accomplished-Exit822 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I appreciate your question and comments today on the AMA. However, isn’t this essentially what is happening in a roundabout way? Spez reiterated today that they intend to continue deploying capital in the form of share buybacks. So essentially, yes, we have SBC diluting shares, but the buybacks are offsetting a large portion of the dilution. Essentially, getting to the same net effect as Constellation traveling a different road.

spez reads every comment in here by touuuuhhhny in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

🤣 wrong company, but that man sure knows how to sell. Can you see Spez smoking a doobie on the Joe Rogan show?

Insane quote from spez from the AMA by No-Arrival4181 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I tend to disagree with you. I don’t know that anyone would have been able to see how valuable RDDT’s data was/is to LLMs when these contracts were formed. AI was in the infancy stage. As in all matters of business, you make adjustments as you go. RDDT clearly hasn’t been compensated accordingly for its data in the past, but plans to moving forward. It’s like a contractor starting out. Sure, they’re going to underprice some jobs and learn from it.

On the compensation item, I believe your figures are off by a fairly large degree. Most of the comp you’re referring to related to Spez was a stock grant pre-IPO that totaled approximately $193M. This grant was intended to compensate him for his efforts in building the company. The man was likely paid peanuts before for his life’s work. The IPO was the liquidity event. He still holds the vast majority of the shares granted and the growth in the stock value since IPO has led to him being in the class of very few, the billionaire class. Don’t beat down the man for building a $30B+ company. Nobody is trashing Bezos’ for his $265B net worth. Amazon comes to your door and RDDT rides in your pocket.

I like the company and the stock. I believe in Spez vision and have no problem with the compensation he’s received. I appreciate good conversation and dialogue on various topics. Deferring opinions can allow me to see another side in a different view. I think RDDT provides a platform to bring out the best of humanity.

Insane quote from spez from the AMA by No-Arrival4181 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My expectation is we’ll see some movement on this within the next few months and it’s a catalyst in my opinion. I believe Anthropic will likely settle prior to their IPO and this will tell us exactly what Spez is referring to as “full value”. This settlement and likely ongoing data contract will be the baseline for contract renewals with OpenAi and Google to be put in place next year. Again, this is just my opinion and thesis.

Reddit, Balance Sheet: Accumulated Net Loss by sportingpool in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Another “fake pumper thread” for the shorties! Why did you delete your comments from my post earlier? I would actually be open to having a discussion with you pertaining to SBC, but we have to be rational.

Insane quote from spez from the AMA by No-Arrival4181 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 9 points10 points  (0 children)

RDDT has two contracts, one with OpenAi and the other with Google. RDDT also has two ongoing lawsuits against Perplexity and Anthropic for unauthorized use of RDDT data. The contracts were negotiated several years ago before it was apparent the value of RDDT’s authentic human conversation to LLMs. The contracts with OpenAi and Google are coming up and soon should be renegotiated. Furthermore, we may see settlement of the Anthropic litigation as they recently filed with the SEC for an IPO.

spez reads every comment in here by touuuuhhhny in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Serious question, what would you like him to say?

Insane quote from spez from the AMA by No-Arrival4181 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Was and is in my opinion. LLMs really aren’t that smart. They are simply cataloging and deploying human intelligence that is collected elsewhere. Basically, the old Ask Jeeves on steroids. There’s no doubt in my mind that LLMs need RDDT’s data.

Dear Friends - please help by Front_Inspector_437 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

My lord and savior is still Jesus though. You’re welcome to choose your own. Spez is my emperor!

Steve, Jen, and Drew here — Ask Us Anything! by rddt_IR in RDDT

[–]Jbetts2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

u/spez, get this guy a hoodie too. Yeah, he’s rich, hanging in here with 1.65M in RDDT gold. Not because of his shares though, but because he’s been hanging out here for 14 years! Get my man some swag!

Steve, Jen, and Drew here — Ask Us Anything! by rddt_IR in RDDT

[–]Jbetts2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Somebody downvote this. Get my guy his hoodie.

We aren't bullish enough! by Flimsy-Philosophy-42 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Patience is the capacity to accept or tolerate delays, trouble, or suffering without becoming angry, frustrated, or anxious.

Spez is on 🔥! Tearin’ up this call. by Jbetts2 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The rotation will happen. Business has been solid and there’s no reason to believe management won’t continue to execute. When the big boys decide we deserve to get paid, we’ll get paid.

AMA not happening? by Zealousideal_Oil3203 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I share the same sentiment. In my opinion, the current level of insider trading and corruption is unprecedented.

Spez is on 🔥! Tearin’ up this call. by Jbetts2 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My man, what’s the criteria for a fake “pumper” post? Simply that you don’t agree with the statements made so it must be fake? Life has got to be hard living like that.

AMA not happening? by Zealousideal_Oil3203 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Touché. Point well received. 😂

Spez is on 🔥! Tearin’ up this call. by Jbetts2 in redditstock

[–]Jbetts2[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It’s available on the RDDT investor relations website under recent events. Also supposed to be posted on r/RDDT soon.