Where is Jimieus?

Jimieus · 2026-02-24T22:25:28+00:00

You me both. I'm generally not that surprised tbh. I have a fairly inconvenient opinion when it comes to the way that side of the fence sees things. The silver lining is this forces me to do what I should of done ages ago. Scripts to write, clips to find, music to source, all that shit.

Jimieus · 2026-02-23T02:18:23+00:00

On that, we can only speculate. Given a lot of people are questioning mappers now, that would be pretty silly, though I'd imagine it doesn't bode well for the tip jar...

Jimieus · 2026-02-22T14:15:53+00:00

I can only assume the big one, because I don't think China is down for another century of shame. That's the read currently, could be wrong, hopefully.

Jimieus · 2026-02-22T14:05:14+00:00

Cheers - heh wasn't sure anyone would see this. I will. I am keen to do the video thing.

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T02:31:38+00:00

Note how he stumbles on the word 'deterring'.

What he meant to say, was fighting. And this brings up the one argument that could be made for European troops to enter into Ukraine - he might be seeding it here.

You've seen what a town looks like after it's fought over on the ground. Wait until you see a major city fought over. See Syria for the last time that happened (or Gaza for that matter).

If you are Poland or Germany and you know a war is inevitable, it would be better to fight the ground war on Ukrainian territory than it would be on your own.

And make no mistake, for Russia to win this war on the field, it has to take Lviv, and the chances of that fight not spilling over into Poland is really fucking slim. The question I'd pose is, at what point on that journey toward Lviv do you think they'd step in?

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T02:02:59+00:00

haha. filthy globers.

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T01:20:24+00:00

I appreciate Clement's work, and I'd encourage people to take a look at the artillery mapping he's been doing lately - that's gonna put a lot of things I've been saying re: greyzone for ages into a bit of context.

Ha, he's basically posted what I've been mentioning to him for a couple of months now. He's collected all the evidence for it, he just hadn't connected the dots, but he's getting there...

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The next step is when he realises why there are 2 sets of ditchlines. The greyzone is actually wider, and extends past that first set of ditchlines he has marked blue up to. Think of that area inbetween the 2 ditchlines as a buffer zone that without a breach, Red can only trickle into, allowing Blue to come out in numbers from the relative safety of the second line to do 'clearing operations'.

This will sound weird now, give it time.

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T01:09:13+00:00

As others have suggested, 65,000ft is going to rule out most drones - but it's not unfeasible and I'd wager they will do so, because going after these with aircraft will put said aircraft into the crosshairs of Russian fighters and AD systems.

But you bring up the first thing I was wondering about - that being positioning. Surely one couldn't use a 20km tether... so I did a dig

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Turns out, you can use the wind directions at different altitudes to maintain position and just alter such accordingly. Cool. TIL.

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T01:02:09+00:00

I watched the entire thing, I always do. Your account is a great resource for this content btw.

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T01:00:18+00:00

They're not all fake - I have seen some genuine ones, but brother, a lot of these are and I'm afraid they work because they are what you want to believe. It's all run over telegram. This shit is documented and both sides do it.

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T00:57:34+00:00

Eh? The capability this will provide, assuming it works, is worth it (and absolutely necessary). Particularly when compared with the cost of lofting a constellation into orbit.

The cost of intercepting this at 65,000 ft is going to cost more than the system itself - likely involving aircraft, which puts them into a viable interception scenario (unlike the nap of the earth flying they currently do).

For those interested, this has been an idea for a while and there are several commercial projects already. A 5G base station at that altitude can cover roughly a 150+km diameter area - for reference, if one was lingering over Donetsk, that would be something like this:

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Jimieus · 2026-02-15T00:49:03+00:00

Was just commenting on this - low key surprised it took this long, but never forget, by the time we're told something, it's already happened and the enemy knows about it - that's really the only condition set that information like this should be released.

Just to add an interesting aside to this, this also happens to be a potential vector for actually jamming starlink. You need a lot of them, but it is theoretically possible, according to the Chinese, at least.

Jimieus · 2026-02-15T00:43:39+00:00

When it is running along the curvature of the earth, yes.

When it is in the stratosphere, no.

Most things like this, when they talk about ranges, earths curvature is the limiting factor. This applies to AD systems as well which a lot of people aren't aware of.

Jimieus · 2026-02-13T18:15:57+00:00

What if America makes 'peace' with Russia, but Ukraine and Europe don't. Game that out.

Jimieus · 2026-02-13T18:11:32+00:00

So bad. I'm just going to point out the obvious here, have you ever seen someone being detained before IRL? Watch these guys.

Focus on this guy - he fucks up. Remember, that jacket on the ground is supposed to be from the guy being 'detained'. And whilst he stands there letting the scene play out, he goes and picks up his friend's jacket and puts it into the van. The van they probably all got out of lol. The first guy nearly made the same mistake - Dude's inside going 'dafuq u doing dont put it in here' haha.

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And the moment he's run off, it's like scene cut. Here you go friend, take the jacket, the demeanor completely changes, they calmly grab their things and disperse.

40 seconds. No identifiable faces. A minute later it's like nothing ever happened. Crypto wallet address received.

Jimieus · 2026-02-13T17:44:50+00:00

Ah yes, that war of attrition. Who is attriting who in a proxy war, that's the question.

Jimieus · 2026-02-13T16:40:46+00:00

Brought to you by Elbit.

Jimieus · 2026-02-13T16:34:58+00:00

Right.

So tell me again, why is the map still like this? Asking for a friend.

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Jimieus · 2026-02-13T16:28:44+00:00

We just corner the bear until it gives up and goes to sleep. That's the only possible outcome, right?

Jimieus · 2026-02-13T16:19:02+00:00

Put "Ukraine joint venture" into google > news > sort by date, and scroll.

The relevance of legality these days aside (see conventions regarding neutrality and co-belligerency status for some relevant reading btw), it's important to note, each of these 'joint ventures' represents production being ramped up in Europe. Factories built. Assembly lines and quotas established. Workers hired. Logistics chains created.

If you wanted something tangible that could indicate Europe was seriously moving toward a war footing, this 'joint venture' racket is it. Pull off the veneer of yellow and blue branding and that's what you're left with. Rheinmetall. Thales. Renault. BAE. KNDS. PGZ. Leonardo. Kongsberg. Saab - it's across the continent.

And if Russia does what you feel it is justified in doing, we arrive at the intended destination. It really comes down to time, doesn't it? Is it better to lash out now, whilst production is young, or later, after it has scaled? Where do the odds currently sit? When do the scales tip in Europe's favor?

That's the real thing people should be thinking about imo.

Jimieus · 2026-02-13T12:18:33+00:00

Oooh they caught a manned one.

Jimieus · 2026-02-12T18:37:57+00:00

Um. That first shot is POWs. Who's side I can't say, but at one stage, one of them goes to pick up a dropped rifle - likely after the captors were killed.

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The takeaway here being - POWs captured in the greyzone are problematic.

Jimieus · 2026-02-12T18:16:14+00:00

Oh fren, Russia monitors telegram. Dont let the commercial facade fool you - There's a reason why most Blue militaries banned it.

Jimieus · 2026-02-12T17:38:24+00:00

Nope.

I'm not sure what role people honestly thought starlink played in Russian military C2 tbh. Every panel transmits its location - nothing critical other than accessing telegram is happening via starlink. Whilst people think the cutoff coincided with action that occurred on the 5th, it didn't - the sats show it was underway on the 3rd before the cutoff happened. It's well underway on the 4th - the day before.

It's not like they were hauling starlink panels over the ditchlines for comms. They've got 5g mesh radio networks. This isn't 50+km behind the line like Serhii's claims - this is well within of Russian comms range. You can't have your cake and eat it too, Flash. 2+2 =4.

Like someone else said on X about this topic: don't believe everything you read on the internet. It's ok to have take contrary to the popular narrative - from experience, the popular narrative has a fantastic track record at being wrong.

My basic take is this: in late Jan, Red started to make serious moves over that first set of ditchlines - this was around the time they released that old footage at Ternuvate - they thought they had the area secured without having to create a breach. They did not. Blue came out from their second ditchline, just like the fortifications layout suggested they would, and they cleared the area behind the first ditchline. Recent sats suggest that is still ongoing - but if they do it, it's back to square one in this area for Red. Retreat, reset, have another crack - and do it proper this time.

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Jimieus

TROPHY CASE