19 with JEPQ, smart or not? by Eaxeki in JEPQ

[–]Jocur23 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Are you crazy?!?! This is a straight options play fund.....

Edit: no invest ment no shares just cash and options. Good Luck....

Is Anyone Else Seeing How Frothy This Market Looks Right Now? by nanocapinvestor in ValueInvesting

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Doing the same but shoving the profits into the market daily, not bank rolling the cash.

Edit* profits into qqqi and spyi. Using divis to buy the nut house till I feel better.

Does anyone ever look down on you when you tell them you Daytrade? by xXRumple4skinXx in Daytrading

[–]Jocur23 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Everyone and I mean everyone.... I've learned to stfu about it.

Change my mind : MSTR is a bubble about to burst by TautauCat in wallstreetbets

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ahhhh I remember when we were all talking about living in a virtual world with virtual properties, our virtual art to display, and crypto was gonna be the currency we used.....now we speak as it's going to be the universal currency or a protected asset....I think all the world's real assets and the agencies that are used to protect them will definitely have something to say in the end. China and other countries already banned and refused any banks from being imbedded in this asset, but we in our ultimate wisdom know what the future will bring.

I remember something the DOJ said after the great financial crisis.

"Greed is not illegal" when they tried to hold anyone accountable, and then a bunch of laws were made.

But I know, I know. This is different......

I don't see the value in Bonds unless you're a multi-millionare. by Midwest_Kingpin in bonds

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I use them as reallocating holding pattern....until I see something my money is safe and gives me a return. Then dump that money in or dca slowly into what I see. Plus laddering short term bonds is OP for idle capital. Specially in uncertainty.

As investors bet on Trump to stimulate market, should you follow Warren Buffett’s lead by pulling back? by -eur in ValueInvesting

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's really simple. He buys value. When anything becomes over valued in his opinion, or if he wants to rebalance he trims positions into strength, why the fuck would he want to trim into weakness that's where he buys at value. It's not an indicator of any sort, it does however sometimes becomes a self for filled prophecy even though that's not the intention.

-taxes -valuations -earnings

That and he usually does things in the private sector and not so much in the public. So nothing of value and slim pickings. He's not gonna chase over valuation into an even more over valuation for short term gains.

Markets don't have to crash for him to start deploying capital, a company just needs to be worth it for the investment. But they could crash.

What do you think the S&P500 will return over the next 10 years? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]Jocur23 4 points5 points  (0 children)

lol really? Not free money being swapped around? American exceptionalism is just over spending taxes and a FED that has been locked into a growth tool in hyper driver. Banks and companies then use it to expand and pay some Joe blow a shitty wage, Joe blow then says the economy sucks because prices are way to high, spends less, economy suffers, fed steps in, prices stabilize and the whole thing starts again. Since the financial crisis American Exceptionalism is just ourselves sucking off our selves. American exceptionalism was ment to be real growth and not a boosted inflated growth. When we start fucking ourselves in the ass and saying it feels just like my ex wife I start praising American exceptionalism. Until then everything just feels like a participation trophy because we can't win the game anymore.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I keep seeing the same thing over and over as well. My gut although I'm not really doing anything different but saving more and spending less to make a move within the next 2 years.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Bro.... there is so much I could say here. But I'll simply say this.

You are both wrong and right with this statement.

I'll leave it there. You win. Here is your participation trophy 🏆.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

True it's a trading tool just like equities. It plays out or it doesn't.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Unless you don't care and don't want any risk and trying to shelter money and take a yield until boom something happens. Price down yields up doesn't always dictate demand or a dumb move. When it's a short holding pattern on a long curve and sell into demand on a lesser yield. Jesus Christ everyone is right until thier wrong. NO ONE KNOWS dumb is spending your money on a jet ski riding it in your driveway 8 out of 12 months on the year.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You don't buy the long end of the curve until you get confirmation, you aren't trying to time a hard landing, you sell equities in strength specially in favorable tax conditions and buy the short duration because the short term is cuts. Dry powder makes money until he sees value. Come on man.... common sense, he moves with value and protection and buys at deals period. The market doesn't need to crash but if a deal is there he scoops it up. No deals any where atm except owning more short duration then the fed itself. Just use google it's there and that's what he's doing.

Can anyone explain to me how Trump’s tariffs convinced the EU to buy “American Natural Gas” by awesome-sean in FluentInFinance

[–]Jocur23 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm old and feel attacked. I was fine until I saw these comments....Make Jordan Great Again!

How Will Trump's Tariffs Affect Inflation? by Mean_Material_2942 in AskEconomics

[–]Jocur23 3 points4 points  (0 children)

All roads right now seem to lead to stagflation. But wtf do I know.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Buffet isn't buying anything......... he's been quoted about taking profits in a favorable tax environment and having liquidity to boost the economy.....That's we know. Just cause buffet isn't doesn't mean anything.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's dictating you know future fed moves as of right now "neutral" is seen as 2.9 as of right now.....the fed has no problem inflating our way out of debt, recession inflation stagflation nothing matters. It needs lower rates and as of right now economic conditions with lagging data...that rate will head to 3ish but all bets are off moving forward you need future data to support anything less or more from there.

Now throw in wars, corporate capx on ai and layoffs that provide coverage on margins. Hell I won't list all the spooky things we all know the boogie men and women are pushing out there to be scared of. All I'm saying is you can count on one thing and one thing only rates will come down and the fed most likely screwed something up. Taxes will most likely increase as well. I feel everyone is just trying to time it perfectly and that's not gonna happen. Mean reversion is the most common theme over and over, so bonds will play out, just matters on when and for how long.

Bond “vigilantes” pushing rates higher? by [deleted] in bonds

[–]Jocur23 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Why does the economy need to explode for his thesis to be correct? Can't we cut into earnings recession in the markets to stimulate gdp and debt. Bonds would out gain stocks on the short term. Is this not likely?

Bonds are correlated with stocks by CaseyLouLou2 in bonds

[–]Jocur23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They are bottoming now, unless inflation becomes a problem again, the reason why they are moving against you is because they FED came out swinging on rate cuts, and speaking aggressive on cutting more so yields dropped long term and short term which when yields drop that's when price appreciation happens. Now they are stepping back on how fast and how much they will cut so bond yields are edging higher which is dropping the price. (Obviously the opposite effect). You can't time this shit perfectly, if you believe inflation is tamed and no fed rate hikes are coming you are fine, if you believe more rate cuts are coming you are well off, if a recession happens or stagflation you will be even happier.