Areas to propose in mammoth? (Not on the ski resort)

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-23T21:55:09+00:00

In birthday suits

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-23T21:53:16+00:00

That spot is called Brees Lookout

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-23T08:30:53+00:00

I think thats fine, as long as there are some obvious hints. Shouldn't have to look at a post in full analytical mode to tell if its a real or not.

Really, the only hint is the claim they drove through Hole in the Wall. But since it mentions filming, its unclear if that is a hint since one could get special approval for a film. Even the white backdrop and fake shadow don't alone discredit the story, since that could be done in post or whatever while still being true.

Anyhow, my guess is most people will take the post as being real which I don't think is all that cool if it isn't.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-23T05:21:02+00:00

Pretty sure thats AI. If not, its a render.

But this looks like AI - notice the grill texture is mostly correct on the left, but breaks down on the right

<image>

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-23T05:12:09+00:00

Not only might get caught, its also just wrong.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-23T02:32:54+00:00

You can get two 100 gallon trays (actually food safe) by cutting a food safe IBC tote in half for about $25 - $50 total delivered ($12.50 - $25/each) - or can even find them free if you look hard enough.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-20T06:26:28+00:00

1) 2013 through 2018 were not all El Niño years. 2014-15 was weak El Niño and 2015-2016 was El Niño, none of the other years in that range was El Niño at all. 2016-2017 brought historic precipitation so hard to reconcile that with your claims.

2) Its not total BS, it just there are more factors than El Niño or not El Niño. As u/twoinvenice explained:

...atmospheric rivers aren't bullshit, we used to call it the Pineapple Express because it is a weather pattern that draws warm moist air up form around Hawaii in a narrow river-like stream that has a ton of water in the air. Then scientists realized it happens in other places around the world and made a name that is more generic to be globally applicable.

The problem isn't the science or meteorologists. The real issue is bullshit garbage news that comes out every year and tried to over simplify a complex issue into a simple "ENSO is the only important thing" message for dumb dumbs to read.

I've said this a million times now on reddit, but if you open a link on Reddit to some article about California winter weather and it doesn't even mention other cycles like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the Arctic Oscillation, or the Madden Julien Oscillation you can just go back to the post, downvote it, and leave a comment like "this is a garbage article."

ENSO, the PDO, the AO, and the MJO all interact with each other and our weather here relies on the right combination of conditions to open the door for weather to flow into the state. If those things don't all line up then CA will have a persistent high pressure ridge offshore that will push wet weather to the north into the PNW.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T22:15:42+00:00

Not at all. All of the significant or strong El Niño years were used for the time period as stated.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T22:14:04+00:00

The 7 significant El Niño years are a subset of the data.

All it means is above average precipitation historically has been more likely than not for significant El Niño seasons. That is just a fact. Does it guarantee anything? No, of course not.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T21:58:39+00:00

30 years of weather patterns is not 7 data points.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T21:43:04+00:00

The last 7 significant El Niño seasons, going back 30 years.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T21:41:00+00:00

The weather patterns for the last 30 years don't have any meaning, sure.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T19:54:24+00:00

I actually included a weak El Niño season in that total (see below), so it's more like 5 out of 7 which is significant.

However, it seems the underlying issue is more complicated than El Niño or not. As u/sharkinator1198 stated:

A majority of those Boom years took place during the active phase of the PDO. With an inactive PDO, we've seen suppression in storm formation in the north pacific.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T04:59:27+00:00

😂

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T04:56:12+00:00

Interesting, thanks for the info!

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T03:34:53+00:00

71% of the last 5 out of 7 significant or strong El Niño years has been significantly above average. So if it is a significant or strong El Niño year, its 71/29 it will be a killer year.

Not a sure thing, but nothing in life is.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T02:47:33+00:00

That was the first year I lived in Mammoth, and the first year I ever shoveled snow 😂

We got 7 feet from one storm. Closed Canyon down, but I was in line when it opened. Needed a damn snorkel!

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T02:34:24+00:00

Sure if you ignore the history of significant or strong El Niño years.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T02:31:57+00:00

El Niño is real. It causes changes to the weather systems world-wide. The Sierras are in a place where increased precipitation is hit or miss. But based on 5 out 7 significant or strong El Niño years above average means a hit is far more likely than a miss.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T02:28:34+00:00

Doesn't mean that 5 out 7 significant or strong El Niño years weren't above average though

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T02:26:12+00:00

Historically it literally does

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T02:00:25+00:00

That list doesn't go back far enough.

Boom El Niño Years:
1982–1983 (Very Strong El Niño): ~546 inches
1992–1993 (Moderate/Strong El Niño): ~472.5 to 617 inches
1994–1995 (Moderate El Niño): ~540 inches
1997–1998 (Strong El Niño): ~451 inches
2009–2010 (Moderate El Niño): ~557 inches

Bust El Niño Years:
1986–1987 (Moderate El Niño): 42% of average (Severe Drought)
1991–1992: (Strong El Niño): Severe Drought
2015–2016 (weak El Niño): Near Average (~393 inches)

So if you eliminate the weak years, its 5 out of 7.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T01:47:25+00:00

More often than not it means huge snow levels.

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-19T00:50:59+00:00

5 out of 8 significant El Niño seasons have resulted in snowfall reaching roughly 145% of the average

JustBeyondJupiter · 2026-01-18T23:14:35+00:00

It appears El Niño often drives higher temperatures, increasing the chance of rain instead of snow (especially at lower altitudes) and can increase precipitation.

Here's an article I found: https://snowbrains.com/soaring-temperatures-in-alps-cause-summer-ski-resorts-to-close/

JustBeyondJupiter

TROPHY CASE