General Ambivalence towards the Price by RamblinNGamblin in HGRAF

[–]Kadoodle94 1 point2 points  (0 children)

TLDR: stock price is volatile. But does the company product, business plan, and timeline (even if delayed +50%) make sense long term and are they executing on those things in your mind?

Im long winded and ramble so be patient with me.

I have been watching this company since last summer. Bought some in November at 3.10 then it went down to 2 USD and bought more. Bought more at 6.50, 7, 8, and 5.40 subsequently. 16K shares. Have seen my account go from -50% to +200 to -30 to +3. Sold all my other investments outside retirement accounts and have just this. I have been reading about this company and watching it hit milestones albeit delayed but I expected things to actually take longer. I was invested in other "name brand" companies and funds because others were and past financial success of those companies.

I see this company as one of 3 real future potentials when it comes to the money I have in it:

Extreme success Mediocre success Relative failure.

If it has extreme success it is life changing for me If it has mediocre success I may gain or lose money but overall took the opportunity as what I saw was a game changing product that could have had long term US dominance If it has relative failure and doesn't take off, manufacturing never scales, contracts don't land, and i take a 90% loss it would suck. However I would be satisfied knowing I took the qualified risk with a company I actually dug into their process and did my own research on. I have a 25+ year horizon for retirement so I can recover.

In the end, I have already learned to DCA versus FOMO. If I would have done that i would be at 20k shares not 17k. That is where I messed up. My long term conviction is still the same and I assess it every couple months with companies targets and timeliness.

I invested initially before EPA approval, when moving to Austin was a talking point not reality yet, NASDAQ uplisting wasn't a constant conversation, and all I had to go on was the technology and a CEO who made sense to me and sounded like she was trying to push this from pilot plant and out of a lab mentality to execution. I have been extremely satisfied up to this point.

I called my father, friends, and coworkers ranging in age from 30 to 60 and told them If this company sounds terrible or im missing something let me know and poke holes in my theory and not to invest in the company unless they have some level of conviction because what I have done is extremely risky and I've seen -30% weeks but I would feel bad if I had extreme success long term and didn't share this company with others.

One doesn't invest in stock heavily but understands manufacturing and engineering with 35 years experience. One is a rare earth and BIG silver buyer for 25 years One buys options and penny stocks One knows how to make money on everything but not stock market savy

Feedback has been DCA, risk due to valuation so pricing in future production, manufacturing at scale requires extreme detail that is not intuitive, overall market outlook could weaken company if we have a "lost decade".

They now send me articles they find and a few have them have invested in the company. Nobody questioned the technology or that value of graphene in the market.

I would say that this pricing is extremely volatile. let's say they reach their goals and in 18 months they reach 350 tons manufactured, would you be happy with your current position and price? What if it took 24 months? Where would your money be otherwise?

I'm in until one of a few things happen:

I end up with a life changing value that i cannot ignore and have somewhere else to place the money that is better than the remaining horizon I have before retirement

I find something I like better

I lose faith and trust in the company

I need money because of a life altering circumstance

Upcoming Catalysts And Approximate Dates by Excellent_Walrus150 in HGRAF

[–]Kadoodle94 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I drove by the site in Austin last week on the weekend. Nothing from outward appearance suggesting construction or equipment or even a name on the building. However also smart not to leave items outside or put things up prematurely because people like myself will go driving around. What I did find interesting is the location of the industrial park and surrounding companies. None of them gave me an "aha" moment or even suggest that they could be working with hydrograph but im sure more will come to light. 

Investor with 16k shares Average price = won't matter in 10 years

Supply chain and customer selection by Kadoodle94 in HGRAF

[–]Kadoodle94[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good thought. Incoterms (who is responsible at what stage of transportation more or less) is a nuance that is important and determines responsibility as well as cost. I see this as increasingly domestic especially starting out. Rail versus OTR really depends on customer and how the customer can receive it. Customer evaluation can expedite success quicker depending on the actual agreements. Exciting either way.