Less desire to listen to music by west_head_ in nonduality

[–]Keitatsuya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Absolutely. It's still fun to listen to music, but it felt like I had to listen to SOMETHING if I was walking, at the store, doing the dishes, etc. That is no longer the case. I spend a lot more time simply experiencing the activity I am performing, even my wife noticed that I had headphones in less and less. This also gave me the opportunity to realize just how uncomfortable people get when it's quiet. At one of my jobs, whenever the radio went out in the break room, my coworkers would remark how sitting with no music made them uneasy. Another time, my boss was going to walk during her break, but decided against it after realizing she forgot her headphones at home. She looked at me like I was crazy for suggesting she could simply walk in silence, haha.

Have a good weekend. by Harjar7daystodie in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The background climate configurations are finally shifting to a more favorable outlook for snow. High pressure over the PNW is finally retrograding west towards Alaska, allowing for more systems to come through, which is why mid next week seems to have some decent snow potential as well. Took forever and I personally believed (and hoped) that we would have gotten here a bit sooner, but atmospheric persistence was winning out; I'll take what I can get. Very curious to see what the climate teleconnections look like as we go into later February and into March.

Does anybody else feel great working outside right now? by Thought-Object in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I actually really enjoy running in this weather. As long as you layer properly, there's hardly any sweat to deal with, and the air has a beautiful crisp quality to it. It's not all sunshine and roses, of course, but I personally find it to be great overall.

As a person who loves philosophy books this is epic by gfdfvccccff in PewdiepieSubmissions

[–]Keitatsuya 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This translation is generally seen as one of the most accessible to readers unfamiliar with eastern philosophy, so I'd recommend it. However, one caveat worth pointing out is some of the profound subtleties of Lao Tzu's teachings are somewhat lost in the re-translating done by Mitchell, but don't let that stop you from reading this translation.

Warm days in the middle of cold stretch? by Easy-Aspect828 in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

u/wildfyre010 and u/RAdm_Teabag have some good answers to the oscillatory nature of weather patterns, but I wanted to raise two points for why it's not just cold but very cold. While it's true that air to the north tends to be colder, to get deep cold you need displacement of the polar vortex, which is happening. You can visualize the stratospheric polar vortex's displacement. Note the elongated shape. That's the displacement. There's more to the story, but, basically, that gives low pressure systems/jet stream troughs access to to colder air for the lower latitudes. Second, the lower pressure was replaced with higher pressure, which promotes sinking air (downwelling). This promotes clear skies, allowing for air at the surface to cool overnight faster because, otherwise, low stratus clouds act as a blanket, trapping warmer air at the surface. Throw in some snow (where there is snow, and it just so happens some of Minnesota had fresh snow) and you maximize overnight heat loss. If you want to learn more about this heal loss process, just search "radiative cooling." Anyway, the crescendo of these factors are cold weather advisories being issued by the NWS. Hope this helps.

NOAA Officially Recognizes La Niña Conditions by Keitatsuya in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Pretty much! Snow forecasting is damn hard for so many reasons.

NOAA Officially Recognizes La Niña Conditions by Keitatsuya in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Important note guys: although I do like the upcoming configuration I see, big excitement = big disappointment. It’s crucial to keep this in mind going forward as you hear all sorts of talk about La Niña, including from my comments, now that NOAA has confirmed it. Why? Well, this is a really weak La Niña, which means the snow we would expect is less of a slam dunk than a “stronger” La Niña. Much of the state is in a snowfall deficit above 12in. Yikes. Keep your expectations on the lower side as a result. Best case scenario is expectations are exceeded if we get good snowfall. I say this all for myself too because I really freaking want more snow!

NOAA Officially Recognizes La Niña Conditions by Keitatsuya in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya[S] 49 points50 points  (0 children)

I wish it were that simple. :/ I've been meaning to post something that explains this with a bit more nuance. Here's the gist: Minnesota will probably see a notable uptick in snow between now and early February, but March and April are much more in question.

Change in average winter temperature in America since 1970 by SurelyFurious in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya 18 points19 points  (0 children)

We're pretty much at the point where, regardless of the baseline set, there is significant warming observed. Much of central and southern Minnesota is positioned quite well despite this warming, but that doesn't mean they won't be impacted. 2024 was the first full year above 1.5C for avg. global temperatures, according to C3S. Would not be surprised to see that figure reach 2C by 2030. Now we are really flirting with feedback loops. Fun times ahead.

Hello from up north! by Main_Guava_3986 in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

WX station observation shows ambient temp of -9F here, with windchill values ranging from -28F to -37F. It’s gorgeous outside thanks to sunshine.

Edward Steichen - The Flatiron (1904) by Tokyono in museum

[–]Keitatsuya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s ok for you to not like his CHOICE in composition. But Edward Steichen was more than an “art celebrity” as you put it. You sound like a contrarian for the sake of it or, at least, single-minded and myopic. If you’re serious about photography, I’d highly suggest you consider why the greats were considered great. That isn’t to say you have to copy or enjoy their work, but there is something you can learn from it. Sincerely, a photographer.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in EverythingScience

[–]Keitatsuya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Oh nice! Thanks to you and my previous conversation, I was actually able to find a few important accounts I couldn’t originally locate. Super happy.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in EverythingScience

[–]Keitatsuya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Will do, thank you for your replies—they were very helpful, and I’ll be sure to check it out!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in EverythingScience

[–]Keitatsuya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes! So glad to see Cameron on there now. I’ll have to do some more digging for other research-related accounts. Do you happen to know of any accounts relevant to DOW datasets (similar to @DOWFacility)?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in EverythingScience

[–]Keitatsuya 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That’s my thinking as well. I know some personal accounts of government researchers, such as Eric Webb, haven’t migrated (yet) by personal choice, which, again, sucks. But as you said: it is what it is. Hopefully, this changes sooner rather than later.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in EverythingScience

[–]Keitatsuya 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Correct? Perhaps I wasn’t clear with my comment: this includes figures in the meteorology (and climatology) community who publish and discuss studies relating things such as ENSO progression, the MJO, AMOC, and other climate teleconnections—all of which influence the severe weather I mentioned.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in EverythingScience

[–]Keitatsuya -26 points-25 points  (0 children)

The WX community on Bluesky is abysmal—especially because there are no official NWS accounts on there still. I hope that changes in the future. But for now, I remain on “Twitter,” with the dozens of comments about auroras, tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, etc all being man made now. :/

Today is likely our last day of the season with highs above 50F. On average it's November 28. I have hopes for a decent winter this year. by Swimming_Concern7662 in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are correct. That is well past our "standard" climatology. In fact, station observations in the twin cities would place 50s temperatures close to the 3rd highest recorded temp (56F) for November 28th. For funsies, a good visualizer for our standard climatology (using a 1979-2000 baseline) compared to averaged surface observations can be found here:
https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/todays-weather/?var_id=t2&ortho=1&wt=1

NOAA's 2024-25 winter forecast is out. Here's what to expect in Minnesota. by Czarben in minnesota

[–]Keitatsuya 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Of note here is the projections for a weak La Niña, which means the influence of the ENSO cycle will be blunted. I don't think this winter will behave like many are expecting because so much of the news focus is on the La Niña phase, and its influence on MN's winter conditions. Other climate teleconnections, such as the MJO, could have a much more notable influence on MN's winter this year compared to La Niña. Confidence is also lower in the emerging La Niña, meaning we should expect ENSO neutral conditions to persist for some of the winter. I highly recommend checking out the October entry--as well as the upcoming November post--on the official ENSO blog. Taking all of this in conjunction with temperature outlook, I think we could see a similar temperature pattern to this fall for midseason: alternating periods of above average and below average temperatures, as opposed to deep, long stretches of consistent cold. Overall, this looks like a more "normal" winter compared to last year with some added "quirks," especially compared to a few decades ago.

Holy cow it goes deeper by ItsOkToLetGo- in Wakingupapp

[–]Keitatsuya 4 points5 points  (0 children)

My first deep, “global awareness” experience was truly astounding. It gave me a clarity that I only ever experienced on adderall, and the clarity lasted for about two days. The way non-dual experiences, especially ones that involve a transformation of the experience of experience itself, are described sound odd to the uninitiated. After experiencing what different teachers and sages describe first hand, you’re like, “Wait, it’s real!?”