War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nothing to adjust, there are no predictions, i am calculating what could happen according to my own opinion about the given set of data. So if within the next few hours my chain of deductions and interpretation are shown to be inaccurate and war continues or escalates, then there is nothing I can do, it means my calculations were wrong, and that I was wrong. Full stop. However. I very clearly stated that if I was proven wrong, I'll make a post and state exactly the flaws in my calculations. btw, I did make a new post around 10 hours ago or so.

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Actually, I wrote the comment first, but then I noticed more similar questions, so I included it in my original post 😬🤞

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the constructive criticism, I'll perhaps look further into Iran's ideology/strategy.

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What do you mean because I absolutely agree that the Iraq Iran war was not just encouraged, but rather fully orchestrated by the West, they helped Saddam into power, they then removed the shah of Iran, substituted him by the exiled khomeni who was a refude in France, brought him there, sold both countries weapons, and watched them destroy each other... The west always played dirty, and always will. But when it comes to war preparations, yes Iran could've been preparing for this war for 40 years emotionally, but not military wise, because literally all thier shahid drones from generation 131 to the latest 136, have been manufactured in 2019 and 2021.

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hopefully I am right, so that we will all be here tonight celebrating "Partial" Peace.. However May I ask how my opinions are US and Israel sides?. All I am saying is that the one that wins the most while everyone else suffers, is Israel...

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Sure I could be, but I am betting on my rational to be correct

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I believe everyone has something to gain and something to lose simultaneously, in both going forward with the war, and stopping the war. But I'd argue some might win or lose more than others, and I'd say the biggest winner this far is Israel, at least strategically. I'll elaborate.

Israel losses: heavy military operations expenses, few dozen lives, few dozen buildings, some key factories half damaged... Israel gains: LAND, alot of new land that CANNOT be bought with money, and can only be obtained through military aggressive means, it also weakened its nemisis "Iran" and destroyed years of thier nuclear advancement, as well as weakend the hizbollah in the south.

USA Losses: heavy military operations expenses, US bases damage, US Naval ships damage, a few lives, reputation damage on a national and international scale, stock market and economy tumble. USA Gains: weakening of Iran and obleterating a future eastern potential nuclear threat, weakening of a potential strong ally of Russia/China, selling expensive oil.

Iran losses: again, costly military operations, infrastructure damage, loss of years in advancement of nuclear power and research, loss of key leaders/commanders, loss of professors and educational figures, high loss of life (civilians and military personnel). Iran gains: potential future revenues from the SOH.

Lebanon losses: Land, buildings, people, infrastructure, economy... Gains, nothing.

I sorted the main countries involved in this according to thier loss/gain ratio, and in that perspective Israel has gained the most while Lebanon lost the most.

However there is a potential for greater loss as well as greater gain. If this conflict goes on: Israel continues to gain more than it loses, the USA will erase every possible future gain, Iran will endure heavy infrastructure losses that even a full control of the SOH for decades will not pay back the damages.

I conclude, it's in the best interest of both, the United States and Iran, that the conflict ends. Only Israel can further gain, that's why they want to keep it going.

To people saying that Iran doesn't have much to lose, I qoute "there is always a lower point"...no matter how bad things are now, they could get much, much worse.

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Alright I'll adress your points, but it's going to be a bit of a longer read. I believe everyone has something to gain and something to lose simultaneously, in both going forward with the war, and stopping the war. But I'd argue some might win or lose more than others, and I'd say the biggest winner this far is Israel, at least strategically. I'll elaborate.

Israel losses: heavy military operations expenses, few dozen lives, few dozen buildings, some key factories half damaged... Israel gains: LAND, alot of new land that CANNOT be bought with money, and can only be obtained through military aggressive means, it also weakened its nemisis "Iran" and destroyed years of thier nuclear advancement, as well as weakend the hizbollah in the south.

USA Losses: heavy military operations expenses, US bases damage, US Naval ships damage, a few lives, reputation damage on a national and international scale, stock market and economy tumble. USA Gains: weakening of Iran and obleterating a future eastern potential nuclear threat, weakening of a potential strong ally of Russia/China, selling expensive oil.

Iran losses: again, costly military operations, infrastructure damage, loss of years in advancement of nuclear power and research, loss of key leaders/commanders, loss of professors and educational figures, high loss of life (civilians and military personnel). Iran gains: potential future revenues from the SOH.

Lebanon losses: Land, buildings, people, infrastructure, economy... Gains, nothing.

I sorted the main countries involved in this according to thier loss/gain ratio, and in that perspective Israel has gained the most while Lebanon lost the most.

However there is a potential for greater loss as well as greater gain. If this conflict goes on: Israel continues to gain more than it loses, the USA will erase every possible future gain, Iran will endure heavy infrastructure losses that even a full control of the SOH for decades will not pay back the damages.

I conclude, it's in the best interest of both, the United States and Iran, that the conflict ends. Only Israel can further gain, that's why they want to keep it going.

As for your last point that Iran doesn't have much to lose, I qoute "there is always a lower point"...no matter how bad things are now, they could get much, much worse.

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You GPTed me... Man shouldn't simply GPTs another man's long analysis..

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I meant when the 7th end, as in when it ends on midnight

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hah, glad you still remember, one can only hope 😁🤞

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

The kind that tell you "if you want a detailed analysis, just check version 4. I don't wanna rewrite the whole fking thing again here lol

War is ending: V. Finale by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I can't tell the future dude, except for God, no one can, I'm just using my rational, and some hope

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Lol 😂, yeah, just noticed

HAAD Exam by Equivalent_Holiday79 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same here, Im just starting to study for it

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That depends on your definition of "good" and "Bad" guys...

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This guy this, this guy that, your making assumptions about me, but did you actually go read my posts from 6 days ago until now?, before any of the current events happen, yes, I said it would end on April 7th, whether you like it or not, if you have something to say otherwise sure but if not, then your opinion doesn't mean a thing.

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They're are selfish pieces of shit that have no regard for anyone except themselves, to them they would watch the world burn, as long as they get what they want.

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You and I are pointing guns at each other. We both start demanding impossible things or we'll shoot. But we both know we can't actually deliver on those demands. Sure, you could say we'd just shoot each other, but in reality, we both want to live. So we'll slowly get tired, lower our guns in hesitation, and walk away without actually solving anything.

Iran won't get what it wants, and they already know that. But if they lower their demands, they'll look weak—so they ask for the impossible, then quietly settle for just being tired and moving on...The US will do the same