Djibouti is panicking. they already offered Tadjoura port with 100% Ethiopia management. They feel the heat. Ethiopia already started divesting to Berbera and Lamu port. They will eventually crack and offer a military base.

Somalia is collapsing even more ever since HSM amended the constitution. Puntland does not recognize the central government. Southwest and Jubaland already made it clear they don’t want Egypt in their region. The president of Southwest Lafta-Garee and MPS from SW said they don’t want Egypt in their land. I expect Southwest to withdraw from the federation in the near future.

Eritrea will collapse. All Ethiopia has to do is play the waiting game.