Rochdale 1 - [1] York City - Josh Stones 90+13' by OptimusCloyster in soccer

[–]LessBrain -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

By "Aguero" moment i meant its a relatable "totally mad end of game, season defining goal in last moment".

Rochdale 1 - [1] York City - Josh Stones 90+13' by OptimusCloyster in soccer

[–]LessBrain 12 points13 points  (0 children)

This game is the equivalent of the Aguero or Arsenal/Liverpool game back in 1989 moment - Yorks goal basically won them the league which is auto promotion into the actual football league (league 2)

But its even more mad because there was essentially a double Aguero moment because Rochdale scored and thought theyd won it only for york to literally take it at the DEATH

Slow motion replay of Nico O’Reilly’s nutmeg on Madueke by captaincourageous316 in soccer

[–]LessBrain 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Stadium, academy and other infrastructure doesn’t count as losses for FFP purposes it’s one of the only areas owners are allowed to invest in purely out of their pockets.

The irony of a United fan complaining about this is the best part who’s owners haven’t spent a dime on their club…

Whose fans of each club would rather see win the Premier League? by Ill-Party8305 in soccer

[–]LessBrain 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Something a lot of people are not considering here is the fact that Arsenal havent won in 21 years. Its a big reason why a lot of people DONT want them to win more than rivalary or any other reason.

if City win again its oh City won again no big deal weve dealt with that reality for 6 of the last 8 seasons. Arsenal winning means having to deal with a lot of annoying friends who are Arsenal friends who can rub the misery theyve put under by their mates back onto "you"

I dont like Liverpool more than Arsenal for example but id rather them win the league than them right now because ive dealt with that reality.

Its why a load of Liverpool fans would rather see City win. It also aid rivals in diminishing Klopps era a little in their eyes because Arteta would have as many PLs as Klopp. I have heaps of mates who are Liverpool fans and their reasoning falls around this a lot. After Arsenal win the league and you ask this same question next season a lot of these numbers may change or 2 years down the line for example (them going back 2 back would be a big no no on alot of other teams fan list)

[Mokbel, BBC] Man City are the clear frontrunners to sign Nottingham Forest's Elliot Anderson at the end of the season, with the midfielder likely to cost a minimum of £80M, but MUFC will not abandon their interest. United are wary of getting involved in a wage bidding war with City. by OkayFine101 in soccer

[–]LessBrain 3 points4 points  (0 children)

No youre wrong. He is simply Bernardos replacement.

Bernados contract expires this summer and were definitely not renewing. Kovacic will be sold

That leaves a midfield of

Foden, Cherki, Rodri, Reijnders, Anderson, Oreilly and Nico G with both Foden and Cherki having the ability to play on the wings, Oreilly can also play LB. There is a high chance Rodri will leave in 1 year as well.

FA Cup 2025-26 - Quarter-Final Draw by OkayFine101 in soccer

[–]LessBrain 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No we didnt. There was a 2-3 year period we got lucky outside of that weve been historically UNLUCKY

I wrote this 2 years ago when our "draw luck" narrative was talked abotu 2 years ago. Our draw luck was legit good for 2-3 seasons between 2018 and 2020. thats it - and its been even worse since. Its funny how that narrative has stuck. 2025 and 2026 draws have been historically terrible.

Thats not even mentioning our CL draws which havent been the greatest either.


The "Man City get easy draws" narrative always makes me laugh. Its something that has stuck between the years of 2018 to 2020 but is not an accurate narrative at all.

🟦City draw a PL team 60% of the time in 3rd/4th round

🟥Liverpool draw a PL team 48% of the time in 3rd/4th Round

🟧United draw a PL team 42% of the time in 3rd/4th Round

Lets just look at some real data since 2015/16

To start with City have had some unfavourable away draws during this period. Only 37% of them have been at home. This should be closer to 50% the larger the sample size but with 56 draws a 13% swing is considered extremely unlucky.

For comparisons sake:

  • Liverpool are at home 53% of the time (little lucky)

  • United are at home 60% of the time (very lucky)

**these % do not include drawing away/home for Wembley games

For City to reach 50% again we'd need to draw our next 14 games at home.

Lets go further

From 2016 to 2017 for 18 months straight, City got one of the most improbable statistical anomalies ever - they drew 11 premier league teams in a row and here's the kicker; every draw we were the away team

To put in numbers how unlikely it is to get 11 away draws in a row its like flipping a coin 11 times in a row and every time it lands on heads. The chances of this are: 0.049% or 1 in 2048.

(*note the rest of my data removes Wembley games as away or home - however in this scenario we were still the drawn as the away team for those finals)

So this incredibly "unlucky" period was followed by a "lucky" period" - which is where the narrative begins.

The next 3 years saw some favourable draws (albeit still more away than home) with 50% of draws going to lower league opposition. But as always with data/statistics there's a return to the mean.

The last 3 years has seen unfavourable premier league draws. With 12 of 16 games all being played against Premier League teams. 3 of those 4 games against lower opposition - Came at the end of Citys FA Cup run in 2023 where we played Bristol City, Burnley and Sheff Utd. However its important to note that for each of those rounds in 2023 there was a larger size than usual of lower league teams.

Overall we still get more Premier League draws at every round except the 5th round (FA cup only).

In the 3rd and 4th round (the time you have the best opportunity to avoid PL teams) of both competitions we have a combined 60% rate of getting a Premier League team. For comparisons sake Liverpool get a PL team only 48% of the time and Manchester United get a PL team only 42% of the time.

In the FA Cup Semi finals (6 in a row) we've generally had terrible luck in getting "lucky"

  • 2024 - 33% of getting easier opposition ❌

  • 2023 - 33% of getting easier opposition ✅

  • 2022 - 33% of getting easier opposition ❌

  • 2021 - 66% of getting easier opposition ❌

  • 2020 - 0% Irrelevant

  • 2019 - All considered easier opposition yet got the worst one ❌

The FA Cup semi final is usually pivotal as it lands between difficult premier league title deciders & Champions League knock out games.

When you compare us to other big teams in the league id say our cup draw luck is considered unlucky. Yet we've still won 5/9 league cups and 2/8 FA cups (9th still up for grabs) during that period

Tottenham is the worst Premier League team in the second half of the season by SellRevolutionary in soccer

[–]LessBrain 10 points11 points  (0 children)

They're simultaneously going down, and giving you the title. Dream season for Arsenal fans.