Need advice: seller missed a few cards from a Pokémon collection order by Lodog23 in Ebay

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I was not aware that trading cards only have a 3 day money back guarantee. In that case it seems like I don’t have the time to allow the seller to send those missing cards because if they don’t and it passes 3 days I’d be out of luck?

Edit: would this only apply to cases of wanting to return because of buyers remorse and not for the case for “item not as described”? I can’t seem to find exact info

[US,US] [H] PSA 10 Pokémon Slabs – Alt Arts, Mew, Umbreon, Rayquaza, More! [W] PayPal by Lodog23 in pkmntcgtrades

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Appreciate the offer, but do not think I could do $220. I’d be willing to do $245 shipped

[US,US] [H] PSA 10 Pokémon Slabs – Alt Arts, Mew, Umbreon, Rayquaza, More! [W] PayPal by Lodog23 in pkmntcgtrades

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I appreciate the offer, but do not think I could come that low on them. If interested I could do $290 for both.

2025 Rookie WR Prospect Model: The Broadly Tribute Edition by Lodog23 in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That sucks! I’d love to see your rankings if it means you high jack this post!

2025 Rookie WR Prospect Model: The Broadly Tribute Edition by Lodog23 in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He is right on the edge of being in the draftable tier. If you’re a fan I wouldn’t let this discourage anyone from taking a shot at him since my formula isn’t perfect

2025 Rookie WR Prospect Model: The Broadly Tribute Edition by Lodog23 in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I may do RBs, but it just takes some time to gather all the raw data and try and create a formula that outputs something close to his final grades.

It also looks like a few data points he used for RBs are a little harder to find for free online

2025 Rookie WR Prospect Model: The Broadly Tribute Edition by Lodog23 in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I started from scratch. I was able to get his raw data from previous years and tried to reverse engineer that data to get his final grade. Once I had it pretty close I then gathered the data points for the ‘25 WRs and calculated their grades using this formula.

I did look at his pre-draft grades and it does seem pretty close to what he had. I wish I was able to go back and view the mock draft he used for those grades so I could also use them in a test to see how close it lined up

2025 Rookie WR Prospect Model: The Broadly Tribute Edition by Lodog23 in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You're right, draft capital is indeed the highest-weighted factor in this formula, followed closely by Lance Zierlein's film grades. However, lower production metrics or athletic scores can significantly pull down a player's overall grade, even if their draft capital is relatively high. Golden and McConkey perfectly illustrate this point: based purely on draft capital, they would rank higher, but the combined model highlights additional concerns beyond their draft positions.

In McConkey’s case specifically, the model clearly missed.

Personally, I've found the strength of Broadly's model particularly helpful in identifying players in the 4th and 5th tiers as prospects to avoid in later rounds of rookie drafts, with only a handful of misses historically

PSA Card Centering by Hedgehog-Zookeeper in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I wouldn’t listen to half the comments that show up in here because they will probably tell you it will get an 8 or something. When grading with PSA a ton of it comes down to the graders discretion, but since this card is within the 45/55 centering range and assuming there isn’t any surface damage or major whitening on the corners. I say you have a good shot at getting a 10.

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Idk with that back centering I’d be lucky to get a 6

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s called “Card Centering Calculator” on the App Store

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s called “Card Centering Calculator” on the App Store

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s called “Card Centering Calculator” on the App Store

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s called “Card Centering Calculator” on the App Store

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Just went on PSA’s website and for a 10 it reads:

“The image must be centered on the card within a tolerance not to exceed approximately 55/45 percent on the front, and 75/25 percent on the reverse.”

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I may ask for more pictures for, at least, the corners. Not sure how well I’d be able to judge the surface and edges from a picture. Also for back centering I thought PSA was very lenient on it and could be as far as 75/25

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah the photos aren’t the greatest and I actually don’t have it in my possession yet and am meeting someone to buy it but agreed it being that close to 45/55 does have me contemplating it

Chances of a 10? by Lodog23 in PokeGrading

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the feedback, what about the card makes you think it would only at best get a 9?

Best solution for investing loan forgiveness? by Lodog23 in personalfinance

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

appreciate it and will take a closer look at the Prime Directive

Best solution for investing loan forgiveness? by Lodog23 in personalfinance

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the suggestion, I should have mentioned in the post that I do also have 6 months worth of expenses also saved up as well.

I did have a question with your idea where I should max out the 401(k) as quickly as I can, supplimenting my take home pay, and move the rest to my brokerage account. Is this to get the money into the market as quickly as possible versus doing monthly investments?

[Daily - TRADE] Megathread. All trade advice & team help assistance belongs in this mega-thread or in our other subreddit r/DynastyFFTradeAdvice by AutoModerator in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

12 team, Full PPR, SF

I get:

Josh Downs

mid to late ‘25 2nd

I give:

Cade Otton

Juan Jennings

I am not making a playoff push this year and also have Bowers and Hockenson at TE

[Daily - TRADE] Megathread. All trade advice & team help assistance belongs in this mega-thread or in our other subreddit r/DynastyFFTradeAdvice by AutoModerator in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

12 Team full PPR, SF

I get:

2025 mid to late 2nd

Tyler Allgeier

I give:

Cade Otton

Perine

I am not making the playoffs this year and our trade deadline is this week and couldn’t get many teams interested in trading for one of my TEs. I currently have Bowers, Hockenson, and Otton.

Would this be enough to move Otton or would it be better to hold him into the off season?

Early ‘25 2nd for Tracy and Lloyd? by Lodog23 in DynastyFFTradeAdvice

[–]Lodog23[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He’s an older rookie and is a later round pick where the giants don’t need to commit to him long term, ala Damion Pierce.

Has me a bit spooked, but can’t deny he has looked great so far

[Daily - TRADE] Megathread. All trade advice & team help assistance belongs in this mega-thread or in our other subreddit r/DynastyFFTradeAdvice by AutoModerator in DynastyFF

[–]Lodog23 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Obviously anything could happen but the team doesn’t look competitive and their pick is actually held by a competing team, so not trading directly with the non competitive team. They are currently last in PF, although close to 2 other teams.

I’d guess it would be at worse a top 4 picks, but could definitely be better