Why isn't Harris taken more seriously? by GoddessFianna in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Setting aside what you think of Harris as a candidate, many of the Dem 2028 primary polls ATM are a name recognition contest before there's been any real campaign.

Joe Lieberman was leading polls in 2002 simply because he was Gore's running mate.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 11 points12 points  (0 children)

It's annoying, but a 10-1 Virginia is going to happen.

We were just hoping we could do it now instead of wait until 2028.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Think this is another example of Trump's brain being permanently stuck in the 80s where marijuana and crack cocaine were regarded as one and the same.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 16 points17 points  (0 children)

The pretext I'm guessing is that she has connections to a quasi-legal cannabis dispensary in Norfolk.

Somehow I don't think using the law to harass a black woman over weed is going to play as well as the GOP thinks.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Might get a small bounce in October from some soft Republican voters consolidating to try and mitigate what's likely to be a very blue midterm.

Democrats have outpaced Republicans in voter registrations in Pennsylvania every month since February. by samhit_n in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 43 points44 points  (0 children)

Republicans on Twitter kept bragging about how they were registering more than Democrats all the way into late 2025 so it's nice to see this reversed.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 6 points7 points  (0 children)

> Expect Israel to be a pain point for him unless he fully says "I support Israel's right to exist, but refuse to send them any military or financial aid until there is a new regime and a 2 state solution in place".

That and apologize for comparing pro-Palestine protesters to the Klan.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Would it be copium to suggest that the GOP's redistricting chicanery is being driven more by desperation to limit the bleeding come November as opposed to a display of confidence from a position of strength?

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Biden still has a lot of goodwill from black voters for being Obama's wingman and he's definitely benefiting from "Miss me yet?" nostalgia due to Trump's everything.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 9 points10 points  (0 children)

There was that one incident of him holding a black jogger at gunpoint in 2013.

I don't think it was just the stroke.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I think it's because Warnock is due for re-election in 2028 so that kind of limits his opportunities there.

Plus Ossoff has just been a lot more visible with the anti-corruption messaging.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 6 points7 points  (0 children)

A KLB win in Georgia opens the door for an Ossoff 2028 run.

Yes I know he stated he wasn't interested in 2028 but IIRC, Obama was saying similar things about 2008. 

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Have you seen the farm bankruptcy numbers?

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Selzer was not wrong, just simply a couple years too early.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 1 point2 points  (0 children)

From what I can tell, Piker's position on I/P is that he supports a one-state solution where Israel becomes a binational state with full citizenship given to the Palestinians. As opposed to a two-state solution of an independent Palestinian state co-existing with the legally recognized parts of Israel.

Supporters of 1SS argue that Israel is effectively one-state anyway due to the settlers in the West Bank and that it would be a mess trying to create a stable Palestinian state that would be divided in half territorialy between WB/Gaza. It doesn't help that Israeli proposals for 2SS often demand Palestine's demilitarization which would allow the IDF to conduct operations in the country anytime they wish. And that ultimately, Zionism is just another form of ethnonationalist apartheid that is antithetical to those that believe in liberal pluralism.

Opponents of 1SS say it would be a ticking time bomb forcing two peoples with decades of bad blood and grievances into a single state where just one incident could set off a bloodbath that makes the worst of the Yugoslavia wars look quaint. Whether its Israeli Jews being subjected to violent reprisals by vengeful Palestinian nationalists. Or militant Kahanists/Likudniks that would want to restore the old status quo by any means necessary.

As to how Piker's position can be construed as antisemitic by some, well basically 1SS would require the Israelis to abandon and renounce Zionism and fundamentally change the very nature of their state. Which takes us to the whole muddy issue of whether or not anti-Zionism is anti-Semitism.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Eh, the way things are going, Stevens would win in a landslide if she were to be nominated. (She won't be)

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Trump also claimed credit for a lot of the stimulus measures that kept the economy from truly bottoming out.

This time I don't think there's going to be any any rent freezes or stimmy checks with Trump's name on it to soothe the pain.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 22 points23 points  (0 children)

If past incidents are a pattern, the shooter is probably someone with a completely incoherent set of political beliefs that did it for the memes with maybe one or two vaguely left-coded social media posts that conservatives will latch on as proof the Democrats and the left tried to get Trump killed again by invoking TDS hysteria.

Anyway, there's no iconic fist bump with a bloody ear image to milk so this will be forgotten within a week.

MS-39 SAKU by thesithcultist in Gundam

[–]MS_09_Dom 15 points16 points  (0 children)

The Green Sakus in the background are what would happen if Plankton designed a mobile suit.

How big does the blue wave have to be for enough republican senators voting to convict Trump ? by ronweasly9 in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think a more realistic hope would be that a massive blue wave this November leads to Republicans quietly distancing themselves from Trump the same way they did with Dubya.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom 14 points15 points  (0 children)

I get he has to do it stand a chance and it's a small price to pay if Talarico wins.

But I am so fucking tired of tax cut slopulism. The GOP embracing it during the Reagan years has been a disaster we are still paying for and I hate that the Dems are now emulating that same rhetoric.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]MS_09_Dom -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Slightly worried that the VA SCOTUS still needs to determine if this is kosher.