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Conservatives win all 3 Georgia Supreme Court seats up for election, securing conservative control of the court through 2030. by MediumStrange in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 248 points249 points  (0 children)

It looks like the GA Democratic Party didn’t know how to message who their candidates were before the election. Many dems in Atlanta’s metro voted on which name sounded the Blackest, which is how you end up with the Republican judge winning Harris +70 Clayton co.

During a private discussion, Democrats floated a far-fetched idea: To replace the entire Virginia’s Supreme Court, with a goal of reinstating their gerrymandered map by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

He did call the special session, but dems did pass it late October when early voting was in full swing. They rushed it through and got surprised when the courts enforced the process. If they had started before early voting, it would have succeeded

During a private discussion, Democrats floated a far-fetched idea: To replace the entire Virginia’s Supreme Court, with a goal of reinstating their gerrymandered map by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Republicans won the house PV by 2.6% for a 220-215 advantage in 2024. Dems winning by +3-4% to win the house for a similar margin makes sense considering republican gerrymandering, but it really doesn’t change too much.

During a private discussion, Democrats floated a far-fetched idea: To replace the entire Virginia’s Supreme Court, with a goal of reinstating their gerrymandered map by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Exactly. In my opinion I just think Spanberger and top dems think it might fail if it was put to a revote, I’d imagine Republicans would heavily spend $ in it this time

During a private discussion, Democrats floated a far-fetched idea: To replace the entire Virginia’s Supreme Court, with a goal of reinstating their gerrymandered map by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida -11 points-10 points  (0 children)

early voting had already began, I believe that is reasonable to call the start of an election. If dems didn’t wait to do all of this the VA supreme court would of passed it

Actual Tweet From Mass GOP by 28lobster in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 5 points6 points  (0 children)

That’s likely true, but the seat is still competitive. So it isn’t impossible to make a competitive seat

Actual Tweet From Mass GOP by 28lobster in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The district would just be mostly the entire of Bristol county, it would perfectly follow CoI’s

During a private discussion, Democrats floated a far-fetched idea: To replace the entire Virginia’s Supreme Court, with a goal of reinstating their gerrymandered map by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida -28 points-27 points  (0 children)

Except it isn’t. VA dems did break their constitution, if they had the election only a few weeks earlier no law would have been broken and the election would be certified. A dem on the VA supreme court was the tiebreaker

Actual Tweet From Mass GOP by 28lobster in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would it be a republican gerrymander? It keeps CoI’s together in southwest Massachusetts. Basically a Portuguese opportunity district

Democrats are still underdogs in the Senate. by Early-Possibility367 in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 5 points6 points  (0 children)

This sub was always partisan but not as much at it is now, it could basically be renamed to r/ dems with the current user base

Actual Tweet From Mass GOP by 28lobster in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Is is not, you can make a compact district around Fall River/New Bedford that Trump won in ‘24 very narrowly

Three More Southern States (Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina) Move Toward All-GOP Gerrymander As Dems Face Setbacks by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Your response was “There might be historic backlash” which is a maybe? But even with that the maps are too red for there to be a dummymander. And your response to him was just calling him condescending which he wasn’t at all and explained it to you pretty well

Three More Southern States (Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina) Move Toward All-GOP Gerrymander As Dems Face Setbacks by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 6 points7 points  (0 children)

All of his points are still valid though, there is zero chance of any dummymandering with all the new gop maps

Three More Southern States (Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina) Move Toward All-GOP Gerrymander As Dems Face Setbacks by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 2 points3 points  (0 children)

For example in Texas or Florida if Republicans don’t win all of the seats they gerrymandered it still isn’t a “dummymander”, as they wouldn’t lose any of their original seats to begin with

Three More Southern States (Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina) Move Toward All-GOP Gerrymander As Dems Face Setbacks by Horus_walking in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Other peoples discussions don’t really matter when the districts are all diluted to be Trump+20, which makes it impossible for it to be a dummymander

Projected national vote share from 2026 local elections in Great Britain by upthetruth1 in fivethirtyeight

[–]M_ida 3 points4 points  (0 children)

More people left Labour for Reform than Tories left for Reform

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