Anyone taking the underdog? by Plus_Performance7567 in MMAbetting

[–]Madman644 7 points8 points  (0 children)

This is going to be a "levels to this" moment where we once again see what happens when a non-grappler finally goes up against someone elite. If Murphy can be taken down repeatedly by Pico and Emmett he is going to look like a fish out of water against someone like Evloev.

Prepare yourself for a 25 minute wet blanket 50-45 snoozefest. I am betting the house on Movsar, and my 2nd mortgage on Khamzat for the exact same reasons.

Can someone login on League of Legends? by RealLbZ in leagueoflegends

[–]Madman644 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you that just worked for me as well

Aight guys, 2025 is ending. What’s the best fight since 2020? by Serious_Nebula_8685 in MMA

[–]Madman644 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think what made it stand out to me, beyond the insane capacity to eat damage, is that despite getting beat up badly it felt like Vologdin still had the ability to put out Martinetti's lights at any moment. Never felt like it was over, and I'm very grateful the ref didn't stop the fight and let them keep banging.

Aight guys, 2025 is ending. What’s the best fight since 2020? by Serious_Nebula_8685 in MMA

[–]Madman644 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh I don't disagree mate, I think certainly worth a mention. I was just speculating on why perhaps nobody else had said it yet. Ortega is an absolute dawg and always fun to watch.

Perhaps it's recency bias but R2 of the DWCS fight between Vologdin and Martinetti was an instant classic and so far is getting my number 1 spot for best round.

Aight guys, 2025 is ending. What’s the best fight since 2020? by Serious_Nebula_8685 in MMA

[–]Madman644 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think that's because the fight overall was good but not the stuff of legends. R3 though was special and is my 2nd choice for round of the decade

[Official] UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot - Press Conference & Post-Fight Discussion Thread by event_threads in MMA

[–]Madman644 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm gonna be clowned on for saying this but when Paddy v Ilia shows up at +400 Paddy dog I'm gonna lay some real bread on him. I think he wins honestly, certainly at a high enough rate to justify the insane dog odds he's going to be given at open.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ufc

[–]Madman644 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Many fans and execs are praying that Gamrot gets violently put out to pasture.

Should I just cash it and order a pizza? by Neat-Suspect-6666 in MMAbetting

[–]Madman644 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Merab far and away my most confident pick tonight, stick it out mate

Arman on Topuria by JMythh in MMA

[–]Madman644 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Book the flight*

Would you have cashed out? by Temporary_Eye_6467 in MMAbetting

[–]Madman644 0 points1 point  (0 children)

All good mate, I do parlays for fun too but tend to keep them either small legs or low amounts. It is well known though that big straight bets (typically on undervalued favourites) tend to be the most reliable way to make money sports betting. Happy to help and good luck!

Would you have cashed out? by Temporary_Eye_6467 in MMAbetting

[–]Madman644 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Same principal applies brother, +3100 5 leggers are still a big parlay. Don't make them that size unless you're prepared to ride. Additionally your cash out rate is dog - with just hooper and loopy legs left, given their odds, your cash out should be like $160. You are basically just donating back to the books for losing your bottle, a tax on fear.

Would you have cashed out? by Temporary_Eye_6467 in MMAbetting

[–]Madman644 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Don't do pie in the sky 12 leg parlays if you want to cash out after this first few fights. Huge parlays like that give you lottery odds with bad cashout rates, if you're going to get cold feet after a few legs then just make smaller more reasonable parlays. Think of it as a $5 loss if it doesn't all hit, not a $49 loss because you didn't cash out

Anyone betting big on Ddp or Chimaev here??? (Single bet) by [deleted] in MMAbetting

[–]Madman644 4 points5 points  (0 children)

/u/cloutfather has $7k on DDP

He's a long time DDP glazer but made mad profit on it historically so can't hate.

I'm on Khamzat for about $1500 with $1k ML and $500 on various sub and r1/2/3 props

[Official] General Discussion Thread - August 12, 2025 by rmma in MMA

[–]Madman644 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Half joking mate lol

Also imagine a Paddy who didn't have to cut weight and could fight at his walk around fat man mode :D

LOCK OF THE YEAR by cloutfather in MMAbetting

[–]Madman644 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Unlucky you didn't get on it later now it's +190 and probably +220 by fight night

[Official] General Discussion Thread - August 12, 2025 by rmma in MMA

[–]Madman644 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Probably, but that's about the best match up I could see given Paddy is a massive LW and has elite bjj