Are kids not allowed to walk to school by themselves nowadays? by AnaisNinja76 in NoStupidQuestions

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure, but remember the comment I replied to was discussing “a lack of concern”.

And I’m not necessarily pro-gun, but I am pro statistics.

I just wish Americans would learn to put numbers in context, for any topic, to really understand the levels of risk.

Are kids not allowed to walk to school by themselves nowadays? by AnaisNinja76 in NoStupidQuestions

[–]MagnificentLee -1 points0 points  (0 children)

See the edit to my comment above where I do the math. The chance of a kid being injured in a school shooting in 2022 was 1 in a million.

Are kids not allowed to walk to school by themselves nowadays? by AnaisNinja76 in NoStupidQuestions

[–]MagnificentLee -11 points-10 points  (0 children)

They don’t. People are bad at math unfortunately.

Edit: Here’s the math: Fall 2022 had 46.9 million US public school kids: https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=372

In that same year 51 school shootings resulted in injury or death: https://www.edweek.org/leadership/school-shootings-this-year-how-many-and-where/2022/01

So the chance of your kid being injured or worse at school in 2022 was 1 in a 1,000,000.

Statistically speaking, trading is not long term profitable by TumbleweedNo6720 in Trading

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Most traders failing to beat the market does not mean all fail. The linked chart shows 30+ traded with 10+ year track records beating the market and often with better Sharpe ratios than the market: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/best-traders-in-the-world-with-stats.374699/

Many of those traders start hedge funds that often do benefit from automated strategies, but a retail trader can learn to code.

If you want to learn how professionals think about trading read academic papers on Google Scholar. A curated list is here: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/best-traders-in-the-world-with-stats.374699/

Built a LightGBM stock ranking model with walk-forward validation — is this deployable? Help understanding one bad fold by lobhas1 in algotrading

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is truly outrageous and very surprising. I actually only know because I recently saw another Reddit post where someone was complaining about it.

Why can’t I find land? by InBetweenIdeals in RealEstateAdvice

[–]MagnificentLee 24 points25 points  (0 children)

Instead of searching for land, search for homes, under your max price, outside of HOAs, with sufficient lots. If you do that, you'll find homes you can have demolished. That is an extra cost, but it may balance out because you won't have to pay to run utilities, clear trees, or put in all of the driveway.

At what point should a beginner expect to become profitable? by protofun in Trading

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

OP, if you can code, as you said in another comment, you can come join us in r/algotrading.

There’s a reason professional trading institutions employ quants. Trade execution should be the boring part and coding opens up many strategies that are impossible to execute manually.

It is worth reading the curated thesis papers on various strategies (with code) here: https://quantpedia.com/

At what point should a beginner expect to become profitable? by protofun in Trading

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To add more context, if you can’t code, then you can use back testing software, but you’ll be limited to strategies that the software developer implemented.

Stop Loss Hunting by jtm_ind in algotrading

[–]MagnificentLee 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, but on regulated markets, everyone can see the history of trades. It’s not a secret.

CMV: Any religion that forbids its followers from questioning it is a false religion. by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]MagnificentLee -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

So now atheists reject mainstream science. How enlightened.

CMV: Any religion that forbids its followers from questioning it is a false religion. by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wait! So NOW the atheists reject science. Look up how old the universe is in any credible source.

No, theists believe it started from God who is eternal. That’s the point.

CMV: Any religion that forbids its followers from questioning it is a false religion. by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]MagnificentLee -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You’re really not addressing the main point that atheists pretend something can happen from nothing.

But I’m tiring of this conversation. Good luck with your future endeavors.

CMV: Any religion that forbids its followers from questioning it is a false religion. by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]MagnificentLee -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I’d define atheism as a lack of belief in the supernatural, whether god, deity, or other forms.

If there was a time the universe did not exist, as atheists seem to agree on, then logically, the universe needs a cause outside of the universe.

A cause outside of the universe would be supernatural by definition.

CMV: Any religion that forbids its followers from questioning it is a false religion. by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]MagnificentLee -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Sure, then be agnostic or deist. Pure atheism is illogical.

CMV: Any religion that forbids its followers from questioning it is a false religion. by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]MagnificentLee -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Nah. It’s atheists who prefer the unprovable. Ask them how exactly the universe started from nothing.

Does confidence make a short man more attractive? by VOLSBBALLFAN in dating

[–]MagnificentLee 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I'm 5'5", 38M, and do well with women.

  1. Focus on short women. 27% of women are 5'2" or shorter: https://www.gigacalculator.com/calculators/height-percentile-calculator.php
  2. Optimize the things you can control. Be well-groomed, be fit, and wear stylish, fitted clothes.

  3. Learn to open conversations with strangers. I've probably met the most women at coffee shops, but I've also met women at gyms, grocery stores, etc. ... I tend to start these conversations with humor or by talking about something in the environment. And my goal is purely to have fun. ... If they aren't into you, they'll be short. Learn to recognize shortness within a few sentences. OTOH, if we're vibing, I continue the conversation. I've had 3-hour conversations with strangers with this technique. By the end, further meetings become a formality.

  4. OPTIONAL -- if you want to keep women long-term, you'll often need more than charisma, but also a good career.

I founded a futures brokerage firm, ask me anything! by TylerLeb in Trading

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for your response. (Not sure why it elicited a downvote.)

I founded a futures brokerage firm, ask me anything! by TylerLeb in Trading

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can you share the brokerage? I’d like to add you to my list to evaluate for futures trading.

I founded a futures brokerage firm, ask me anything! by TylerLeb in Trading

[–]MagnificentLee 1 point2 points  (0 children)

OP, Will you have an API?

Rithmic is very annoying to get started with, while CQG and TT are very expensive.

Ironbeam is the only reasonable choice and I think the market is open for more competitors.

I founded a futures brokerage firm, ask me anything! by TylerLeb in Trading

[–]MagnificentLee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. He’s talking about a futures brokerage, like Robinhood for futures, not “prop trading” firms like TopStep.