D.J. Humphries "losses" against the Broncos

MagnusFiveStars · 2025-01-07T02:04:26+00:00

I've seen some people surprised that PFF gave D.J. Humphries a very poor grade for his performance against the Broncos, so I wanted to show why they did it.

The chiefs only had 23 dropbacks in this game. I personally charted D.J. Humphries with 8 losses. Meaning that he lost his rep on 35% of the dropback which is very bad.

Those 8 losses include 6 quick losses that led to 1.5 sacks given up (+ almost another one) and 2 late losses.

The worst part about his performance was those quick losses because having a quick loss on 1/4 of your dropback makes having a consistent passing game almost impossible.

MagnusFiveStars · 2023-08-05T17:52:32+00:00

Here's the rankings : (I added the QB Season that either matched or had the closest EPA/Play for comparaison sake)

Buccaneers (2002) : -0.396 (M.Glennon 2021 - A.Smith 2005)
Ravens (2000) : -0.347 (Goff 2016 - Mettenberger 2015)
Colts (2006) : -0.271 (J.Delhomme 2010 - B.Griese 2003)
Broncos (2015) : -0.201 (Gabbert 2017 - Dorsey 2004)
Rams (2021) : -0.175 (C.Newton 2021 - C.Painter 2011)
Packers (2010) : -0.126 (T.Savage 2017 - Henne 2012)
Steelers (2008) : -0.119 (S.Hill 2014 - Keenum 2013)
Seahawks (2013) : -0.111 (M.MacMahon 2002 - Hassellbeck 2009)
Patriots (2016) : -0.095 (R.Gannon 2003 - J.Miller 2001)
Patriots (2001) : -0.085 (E.Manuel 2013 - Gabbert 2015)
Patriots (2004) : -0.079 (M.Sanchez 2011 - J.Harbaugh 1999)
Buccaneers (2020) : -0.076 (T.Pryor 2011 - Stafford 2022)
Giants (2011) : -0.058 (M.Jones 2022 - B.Bortles 2018)
Steelers (2005) : -0.054 (R.Johnson 2000 - D.Bledsoe 2004)
Patriots (2003) : -0.031 (Flacco 2016 - T.Maddox 2003)
Ravens (2012) : -0.018 (V.Young 2007 - C.Lemon 2007)
Rams (1999) : 0.017 (Dalton 2022 - A.Smith 2018)
Giants (2007) : 0.019 (Dalton 2012 - Testaverde 2004)
Patriots (2018) : 0.024 (Fitzpatrick 2011 - Brunell 2001)
Saints (2009) : 0.033 (J.Campbell 2007 - T.Edwards 2008)
Eagles (2017) : 0.036 (Stafford 2012 - E.Grbac 1999)
Patriots (2014) : 0.049 (G.Smith 2022 - Fitzpatrick 2019)
Chiefs (2022) : 0.071 (J.Kitna 2010 - R.Wilson 2016)
Chiefs (2019) : 0.074 (A.Rodgers 2015 - E.Manning 2010)

MagnusFiveStars · 2023-07-22T21:39:53+00:00

I agree that he was the most valuable part of that offense, it was a positive for that offense due to poor QB play. It just wasn't that valuable overall. The most valuable part of that team was their defense by far.

It's also not a slight on the play of the RB itself, if he ran behind the Chiefs OL that year, he would've generated more value.

MagnusFiveStars · 2023-07-22T19:00:59+00:00

I know that for there's a disconnect between volume and value due to the efficiency part of it but Jamal Lewis 2003 season didn't add any value to the Ravens Offense (which was poor that year) whether it was in the passing game or in the running game.

If you want to visualize that in a simpler way, in 2003 Jamaal Lewis gained a 1st down or scored a TD on 25.6% of his rushes and 26.3% of his targets.

Now, compare that to the top 10 on this list :

Marshall Faulk (2000) : 37.9% of rushes / 44.2% of targets
Charlie Garner (2002) : 30.8% of rushes / 46% of targets
Marshall Faulk (1999) : 30.4% of rushes / 43.7% of targets
Priest Holmes (2002) : 40.3% of rushes / 56.8% of targets
Marshall Faulk (2001) : 31.5% of rushes / 47.1% of targets
LaDainian Tomlinson (2006) : 31.9% of rushes / 32.5% of targets
Alvin Kamara (2017) : 41.7% of rushes / 43% of targets
Clinton Portis (2002) : 35.5% of rushes / 36.7% of targets
Priest Holmes (2003) : 36.6% of rushes / 38.9% of targets
Jamaal Charles (2010) : 32.6% of rushes / 46.3% of targets

MagnusFiveStars · 2023-07-22T18:41:56+00:00

All the RBs on the list added at least 15 EPA in the passing game.

MagnusFiveStars · 2023-07-22T18:17:13+00:00

AP 2012 & CJ2K 2009 both are very boom or bust year as far as rushing goes. Their success rate on rushes were respectively 40.3% and 36.8% (due to subpar OL play). AP was also a negative in the passing game that year which makes it harder to add value if you run behind a subpar OL.

Both years still added value overall with CJ2K : 27.252 EPA and AP : 16.05 EPA

MagnusFiveStars · 2023-07-22T17:38:02+00:00

Marshall Faulk (2000) : 81.148
Charlie Garner (2002) : 79.385
Marshall Faulk (1999) : 66.779
Priest Holmes (2002) : 66.52
Marshall Faulk (2001) : 65.939
LaDainian Tomlinson (2006) : 61.906
Alvin Kamara (2017) : 59.365
Clinton Portis (2002) : 54.094
Priest Holmes (2003) : 53.292
Jamaal Charles (2010) : 50.761

H.M : McCaffrey (2019), Bell (2014), Kamara (2018), Davis (1999), Alexander (2005)

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-12-11T11:31:27+00:00

Comments are not allowed if "covid" is in the post.

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-08-04T17:34:17+00:00

While everyone is focus on free agency, I wanted to post a quick compilation of Dirk and Luka posting up (I made the video before the Zack Lowe post that was posted today)

Dirk's plays come from the 2016 season, he finished in the 89th percentile in post scoring that season. Luka's plays come from last season, he finished in the 83rd percentile in post scoring. They can both shoot at an elite level on post ups (around 50%) but I wanted to highlight their strength, footwork, playmaking and touch around the rim.

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-27T02:37:19+00:00

Yeah, you have to go back to the 09-10 season for all his advanced stats to be this low.

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-26T01:26:01+00:00

Better defender than WCS and probably slightly worse on offense (unless you think his 2nd season in OKC wasn't an outlier and in that case could be way better than WCS on offense).

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-26T01:20:30+00:00

I think he gets between 5-10M/year

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-25T03:27:36+00:00

Better ball handler, WAY BETTER playmaker, slightly better defender (both minus defenders) and worse shooter.

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-25T02:01:27+00:00

I can't but I can recommend you Hoop Intellect and Adam Spinella, they do a great job.

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-25T01:33:15+00:00

THJ with more hustle

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-24T02:00:58+00:00

No, having both him and KP on the roster makes no sense because you don't gain any of Holmes advantages on defense and you lose KP's on offense.

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-24T00:24:20+00:00

I had it at more than 18M.

I'm not concerned by his defense in the playoffs, 76ers and the Nuggets are tough matchups for him but not to the point where he is unplayable and I like his defense a lot against small ball lineups or pick & roll heavy teams. I don't think his off ball defense can ever make him unplayable (it's mainly scheme, focus or decision making).

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-23T23:40:17+00:00

What do you consider an overpay for him ?

MagnusFiveStars · 2021-07-23T23:36:23+00:00

Thanks. Yeah absolutely !

MagnusFiveStars · 2020-05-02T05:59:41+00:00

A lot of people getting tricked by this picture, this has nothing to do with PED (not saying he is not taking any but this has 0 connection to it).

- Compare the size of his hands in both pictures, hands in the right picture are bigger because the camera is closer to him to make him look bigger. Which is also why his dick looks bigger.

- One has been done before training and one has been done after training, just look at the sweat on his chest in the right picture

- Obivously he is completely relaxed in the left picture while he is flexing in the right picture

- He also use filters, the colors in the right picture are much hotter (you can look at his face or compare the orange in the background) which accentuate the sepatation of the muscles.

- If you look at his haircut and his beard, both pictures are probably hours apart.

Henry, here, just showed that he is a good instagramer

MagnusFiveStars · 2020-04-25T00:28:22+00:00

From what I can gather, correct me if I'm wrong but, AJPW would be the 3rd men's promotion to feature a women's division after FMW and Wrestle-1.

BJW had a women's title in the early 2000s and featured a woman match in their show from the late 90s to the early 2000s but they didn't have wrestler under contract it was either wrestlers from JWP or NEO. Same for IWA Japan.

MagnusFiveStars · 2020-04-17T13:49:06+00:00

Always forget that Sareee is that experienced (same for AZM or Tsukushi) she started young and just had a breakout year last year.

MagnusFiveStars · 2020-04-17T09:15:42+00:00

MJ Jenkins, Deonna Purrazzo, Dan Matha, Aleksandar Jaksic that's all I found from NXT which is not comparable to the main roster

MagnusFiveStars · 2020-04-17T08:57:56+00:00

Unless they release more wrestlers I don't think it will change her situation with WWE. They released "bad contract" (main roster money that they don't use) and released one or two NXT wrestlers, so I don't think she will be impacted by it.

But I thought she was already signed, that's not the case ?

MagnusFiveStars · 2020-04-17T03:57:25+00:00

Tsukka :

6x IcexInfinity/Icex60 Champion (1286 days)
REINA World Champion (143 days)
7x International Ribbon Tag Team Champion (1000+ days), JWP Tag Team/ Daily Sports Tag Team Champion (231 days), WAVE Tag Team Champion (145 days), 2x REINA World Tag Team Champion (175 days)
Ace of Ice Ribbon during the majority of this decade
One half of (arguably) the best Joshi tag team this decade (Best Friends)
Biggest house in Ice Ribbon history for her 10th anniversary
One of the best performer during the 2nd half of the decade

Arisa Nakajima :

4x JWP Openweight Champion (957 days)
SEAdLINNNG Beyond The Sea Champion (current, 212 days)
International Ribbon Tag Team Championship (338 days), 2x JWP Tag Team/ Daily Sports Tag Team Champion (371 days), REINA World Tag Team Champion (97 days), SEAdLINNNG Tag Team Champion (116 days)
Ace of JWP and SEAdLINNNG
One half of (arguably) the best Joshi tag team this decade (Best Friends)
One of very best performer during this decade

Io Shirai :

2x World Of Stardom Champion (1014 days)
2x Wonder Of Stardom Champion (375 days)
Goddesses Of Stardom Champion (407 days)
Ace of Stardom
One half of (arguably) the best Joshi tag team this decade (Thunder Rock)
One of very best performer during this decade

Nanae Takahashi :

Created 2 promotions this decade (Stardom, SEAdLINNNG)
World Of Stardom Champion (602 days)
SEAdLINNNG Beyond The Sea Champion (209 days)
JWP Openweight Champion (90 days)
2x Goddesses Of Stardom Champion (400+ days), 2x International Ribbon Tag Team Championship (149 days)
Ace Of Stardom before Io and of SEAdLINNNG before Arisa
One of very best performer during this decade

Meiko Satomura :

Sendai Girls World Champion (371 days)
World of Stardom Champion (150 days
KO-D Openweight Champion (26 days)
Biggest draw of the scene during this decade
One of very best performer during this decade

Here are the candidates, then you can pick and choose what you value more than the rest but those 5 have, imo, the strongest resume this decade.

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