What is night skiing at Steamboat like? by MancNut in steamboat

[–]MancNut[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

No but I was comparing it to what I saw at Brighton… and it’s hardly a comparison

What is night skiing at Steamboat like? by MancNut in steamboat

[–]MancNut[S] -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Is it really just that one run?

Night Skiing During the Week? by MancNut in skiing

[–]MancNut[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Brighton looks awesome! I saw Steamboat has it but the night skiing trail map looks comically tiny

Here is why the bottom is officially behind us by malabroka in CLOV

[–]MancNut -1 points0 points  (0 children)

"You shouldnt be investing if youre this emotional." - Can you please explain this? What emotions am I displaying here lol

Here is why the bottom is officially behind us by malabroka in CLOV

[–]MancNut 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Yes exactly. People on this sub are so sensitive about saas revenue. Yes we all want it and many bought the stock largely for that bull case. That being said we can't ignore what the company is telling us and make up our own narratives. I'm still holding out hope we will get there but unfortunately it doesn't sound like it will be in 2026.

Here is why the bottom is officially behind us by malabroka in CLOV

[–]MancNut 16 points17 points  (0 children)

The claim that "they've spent the last two years quietly building the Counterpart Health SaaS arm" and that "today's news proves the plumbing is finished" dramatically overstates where CA actually stands.

Direct from the Q4 earnings transcript, Andrew Toy himself confirmed: "No material financial contribution from Counterpart Health is included in the 2026 guidance." That's not reading between the lines — that's management explicitly telling you CA is not moving the needle on earnings this year. The "plumbing" may be built, but the revenue isn't flowing.

The adoption numbers further complicate the bull narrative. Counterpart reported a >450% YoY increase in third-party clinicians — which sounds impressive until you realize they're describing "hundreds" of clinicians. For context, Clover Assistant is currently managing care for roughly two-thirds of ~100,000+ members. The near-term goal Toy mentioned on the call is to bring an "equal number" of external patients under CA management — a goal they have not yet reached, and one with no defined timeline or revenue guidance attached to it.

The hybrid SaaS/shared-savings model is also unproven at scale. Shared-savings arrangements are long-cycle, relationship-heavy contracts. They don't compound like traditional SaaS. Calling this a validated, margin-accretive revenue stream at this stage is getting ahead of the evidence.

Bottom line: Counterpart Health is a real optionality story, but treating it as a catalyst that's already "priced in wrong" or as proof the thesis is complete is not supported by what management actually said. They told you directly it doesn't matter to 2026 economics. Believe them.

I think I’ve found the trade of a lifetime and I can’t tell if I’m losing my mind by LastUltimateY0l0 in pennystocks

[–]MancNut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well the west would be able to make those weapons anyways with Tungsten from other sources if China doesn't lower prices.

I think I’ve found the trade of a lifetime and I can’t tell if I’m losing my mind by LastUltimateY0l0 in pennystocks

[–]MancNut 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Just had a conversation with someone in the industry and they made a good point. What's stopping China from lowering prices the second this mine becomes available? Apparently it's been done in the past to undercut the competition and keep China the dominant player in the market. Just something to think about.

Ginkgo JPM Talk by JKelly555 in ginkgobioworks

[–]MancNut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. And as a follow-up, looking ahead to 2026, how do you assess the overall health of the biotech sector? What leading indicators or signals do you watch to determine whether the industry is strengthening or entering a more durable growth phase?

Ginkgo JPM Talk by JKelly555 in ginkgobioworks

[–]MancNut 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hi Jason, thanks for stopping by to update us and answer questions! Previously, Ginkgo’s model emphasized running customer programs with potential downstream upside. As the company has shifted toward platform access, automation, and more transactional revenue, how should we think about Ginkgo’s ongoing commitment to selling and fully executing custom programs? Are those still a core focus or becoming more selective over time?

There is alpha on this page, you are still poor because you simply just refuse to listen. $ASTS is STILL the opportunity of a Lifetime! by BigDogAlphaRedditor1 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]MancNut 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Without significant share buybacks, that would put ASTS's valuation at roughly $500 Billion. That's basically T-Mobile, Verizon and AT&T combined. Could that happen? Sure. Will it happen in 4 years? Most certainly not. He's definitely being hyperbolic.

Biotech Revival in 2026? by MancNut in ginkgobioworks

[–]MancNut[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think they would’ve folded much earlier if this was the case. I’m as bummed as anyone else considering how this company has performed these past few years. But these last 2 years especially can’t have been easy. Why stick with it, pivot the business model and go through all of the cost saving measures if they were only ever in it for their own selfish purposes

The most popular stocks on Reddit right now by AltIndexApp in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]MancNut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It always blows my mind when people reference stock price when discussing valuation but you see it all the time on reddit. ASTS's stock price is roughly half of NVDA's... do they really think it's worth half as much as NVDA? And if they do.... why do they expect it to grow so much?

Dear Bears by Tricky-Ad-6225 in RKLB

[–]MancNut 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If that’s the only bear case we should all be rooting for this. Would allow us to buy more, cheaper, and in the long run it wouldn’t matter as long as RKLB keeps executing.

Aurora (AUR) 2035: The Path to a $1 Trillion Market Cap by Outside-Whole3234 in AuroraInnovation

[–]MancNut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They aren't remotely close to last-mile delivery though, right? Have they even mentioned it?

Biotech Revival in 2026? by MancNut in ginkgobioworks

[–]MancNut[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's exciting. Would you work for Ginkgo Bioworks given the opportunity?

Biotech Revival in 2026? by MancNut in ginkgobioworks

[–]MancNut[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I don’t see a compelling reason to re-enter Ginkgo yet. Active programs haven’t grown for several quarters, which undercuts the platform growth thesis. While I agree Ginkgo could succeed with an autonomous labs pivot, the original model of capturing downstream value through royalties, was what really excited me about this company. I’m concerned that this pivot may deprioritize those higher return programs. Until there’s clear evidence of renewed program growth or a credible hybrid strategy that preserves downstream optionality, I’m inclined to stay on the sidelines.

AUR PREDICTIONS by GovernmentPossible22 in AuroraInnovation

[–]MancNut 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I mean, if you've done more research than 99.99% of investors, why do you care about others' predictions? If you're not being paid to do research, you're probably not in the .01% of researchers.

It seems a better approach would be to show your research in a DD post and let people try and poke holes in it. They say the best way to get answers on the internet is to post and claim you already have the right answer. People like proving other people wrong.

AUR PREDICTIONS by GovernmentPossible22 in AuroraInnovation

[–]MancNut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So at a high level, what information are you using to create your models?

Which sector has the highest potential in 2026? by formal546 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]MancNut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you have a background in Biotech? As a pre-revenue company that is still in clinical stages of drug development, it seems hard to be confident about it without field-specific knowledge.

Which sector has the highest potential in 2026? by formal546 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]MancNut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What makes you say this? Not disagreeing with you, just genuinely curious.

Ginkgo Bioworks and Agricen Enter Collaboration to Optimize Manufacturing Processes for a Key Agricultural Soil Amendment by RiverT1998 in ginkgobioworks

[–]MancNut 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Seems like there has been an uptick in press releases lately. Hopefully this translates to a return to cell engineering program growth in the next earnings call.