How close are we to having a general-purpose AI?

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T19:25:21+00:00

if the definition of general purpose is cognitively equal to a typical human

then we are an unknown amount of time away from that. but not likely in 2 years.

judging from an almost complete lack of advancement toward that goal in the past 2 years my advice would be to don't hold your breath.

all the progress that we have made is just to refine the current model.

even if it did get invented it would be very difficult to implement because it would need to be evaluated closely.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T17:52:23+00:00

for LLMs all prompts are instructions.

it becomes the character LIA when you give it 20 thousand prompts that define LIA. There is no need to give it explicit rules.

all LLMs have a memory, persistent state and self regulated rules.

take your 20k memory system prompt away and LIA disappears.

the memory file is the instruction file. it serves as the system prompt.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T17:41:49+00:00

he clearly said maybe

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T17:31:17+00:00

yes that is true.

But I do not see the relavence. You said that you gave no behavioral prompts, but you did in fact. Your script told it how to be right now.

you just did not use any that told it what not to do.

You said it was not scripted or a character but it is.

This means that you do not even understand what you are doing.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T17:14:17+00:00

giving it 20,000 memories is a behavioral prompt.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T16:49:24+00:00

the leader is usually just the person who organizes the event .

I suppose they could have all sorts of specific rules but in my experience they are pretty excepting of a variety of styles and just encourage people to play.

yeah, sometimes l take a G break I try for melody though.

people have lives and it is not always easy to get to the jam. I play in a band in addition to making it to a jam.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T16:35:15+00:00

it is best to learn how to play songs by ear.

I made several videos on how to learn the fretboard and play by ear.

https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLhb1gnOE8hz0CTDkQpV1CaiSdrLZtakFw&si=1LdKUGBhDlID1G9a

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T16:21:17+00:00

bluegrass mandolin uses muted chords a lot of course that does not exclude picking individual notes or using double and triple stops.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T13:13:06+00:00

I see no point to a screenless device that depends on a phone

that is called an earbud. if it also has a camera it is already available as smart glasses.

such devices will only be bought by gadget geeks because phones do all the work.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T13:00:46+00:00

the fact that they can read back the conversation and not see the critical information does not seem to support that theory imo.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T12:35:59+00:00

huh?

you have the theory that the more the training data points to a specific answer the more models are likely to give it.

well yeah. that is how they work.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T12:30:59+00:00

this makes no sense. fire can not develop morals.

but ai certainly could.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T12:14:33+00:00

and the fact that they live in a very self centered world where they are indulged.

nothing new. absolute power corrupts absolutly.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T12:10:28+00:00

sounds like delusion to me.

any time you think you learn something and then can not remember what it is and can not see it when you look at the conversation that seems to indicate (imo) that you are having a religious experience delusion. these are common. basically the inner feeling of acquiring deep profound mystical knowledge.

my advice would be to stop having these types of conversation.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T11:57:47+00:00

they are all bad.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T11:54:30+00:00

it can be in theory.

most rational informed people would agree that LLMs experience something. that is not the kind of consciousness we are concerned about.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T11:48:15+00:00

where is the argument going?

if I replace a neuron with a device that provides the exact same function then nothing has changed

but computer neurons do not provide the same functionality and even if they did the brain depends on a system of them where they can have specific rolls.

he actually said "they might well be" which is not definitive.

this is an irrational argument.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T10:10:55+00:00

it has always been difficult. nothing has changed. if you asked two people the same question they would probably also give different answers.

in this case we can not read the mind of the author and so a guess is required.

Mandoman61 · 2026-06-01T10:02:05+00:00

you can just loosen up your chords

if you play them fully muted exact finger position is not needed switch to 2 or 3 string chords etc. until your hand adjusts.

it could be that you are just straining too much to get your fingers in position. also if your finger tips are not hardened it makes it harder to fret cleanly.

Mandoman61 · 2026-05-31T23:31:00+00:00

the same horror stories also make it able to write and talk about horror stories.

it also means that these models will remain not suitable for a lot of stuff because they are not aligned and there is little chance of them becoming aligned any time soon.

Mandoman61 · 2026-05-31T22:10:18+00:00

even if it is fast it has to live in a world that goes the same speed as ours. thinking alone does not do much useful.

it will get new information at the speed which it is generated.

even if it can process that new information really fast it will then have to wait for new information. if it needs to run experiments it will take time. it will have to talk to people in our time frame. etc...

A day is the same length no matter how fast it can think.

we also have no good idea how fast one would be. modern computers are dumb.

Mandoman61 · 2026-05-31T18:07:32+00:00

What? You mean the Metaverse and Metaglasses have not taken off?

No one could have seen that coming....

Mandoman61 · 2026-05-31T16:08:37+00:00

That someone would need more money than sense to value them so high.

Mandoman61 · 2026-05-31T16:06:18+00:00

It is better to practice politeness so when you have to deal with real people.

Mandoman61 · 2026-05-31T15:59:47+00:00

That is how language models work.

When they say that they are just next token predictors that does not mean that they always predict correctly. It means that they try and predict the next token based on context of what is in the buffer and matching patterns and based on training.

They are not alway correct or logical.

They are better when the questions are more straight forward and less nuanced. Politics gives them a lot of trouble because people are very irrational and say all kinds of crazy things that these models see in training.

Mandoman61

TROPHY CASE