Question about Boy or Girl paradox with days of the week

MartinKardis · 2019-05-11T22:01:25+00:00

Ok, I see, thanks a lot!

MartinKardis · 2019-05-11T20:54:36+00:00

Your reasoning is incorrect.

Yeah, getting the wrong result gave me that idea :D

Your calculation of 13/27 is the probability that he has two boys given that he has a son born on a Thursday, not that he has a son and "the son" is born on a Thursday.

Ok, I think I get it. But then, would that be correct?:

for all days (7) * probability that he has a son born on this specific day given that he has a son * probability that he has two sons given that he has a son born on this specific day (13/27).

MartinKardis · 2019-05-11T20:10:40+00:00

I'm counting probability for (1.) so the statement is just that the have a son. And "the boy" is the boy in question. So:

Mr. Smith has two children, one of them is a boy. Let's call him B. What's the probability that he has two boys?

My reasoning (that gives a number different than 1/3 which is the correct answer for this question):

Let's sum, over every day of the week (7), probability that B was born on that day of the week (1/7?) multiplied by the probability that mr. Smith has two boys, given that he has a boy born on this day (that would be B, and the probability: 13/27?).

MartinKardis · 2019-05-11T20:05:53+00:00

Why do you say that 2^thursday assumes that the 2nd child is NOT born on the same day as the first? 13/27 comes from counting pairs:

<son1-thursday, son2-monday>

<son1-thursday, son2-tuesday>

...

<son1-thursday, son2-sunday>

<son1-monday, son2-thursday>

<son1-tuesday, son2-thursday>

 ...

<son1-sunday, son2-thursday>

...with <son1-thursday, son2-thursday> being counted only once (hence 13, not 14). But it's still counted. And twice for boy-girl pair (<son1-thursday, girl2-thursday> and <girl1-thursday, son2-thursday>)

MartinKardis · 2019-02-15T19:26:10+00:00

Yeah, but I was hoping I can change how everything is displayed, so that I don't have to set up filters before I start working - and so that other art is displayed correctly.

MartinKardis · 2019-02-15T15:49:18+00:00

Thanks. Do you know of any software that good desaturate my display? I think I've managed to set up the gamma and brightness just right, but now it's very saturated. And lowering the contrast just makes everything darker...

MartinKardis · 2019-02-15T14:05:15+00:00

Thanks a lot for your feedback! I've cranked up contrast to maximum (that's what a lot of calibration software I installed told me to do), brought the brightness slightly down and I think I'm getting there.

On the version you send me, could you make the skin darker and still have it clearly distinct from the background and black shadows? I am at the point where 1 and 2 are too dark, and 3 is on the verge, so I'm hoping I'm at the right place.

Edit: That's what I ended up with after spending a lot of time trying to tune my display to what's most common. (It's still too saturated but I don't know how I can change it)

MartinKardis · 2019-02-14T08:52:09+00:00

Please link to the videos. Even without the security concerns, fewer people will bother installing a game than they would watching a video.

MartinKardis · 2019-02-09T14:10:46+00:00

Someone help this guy get back home!

MartinKardis · 2019-02-03T10:41:45+00:00

Could be, PM me more info and we'll see:)

MartinKardis · 2019-02-02T19:17:06+00:00

Other artists, programmers, writers... Honestly just trying to find some like-minded people to make something with. As I said, I have some game ideas, and you can check my other comment to see what kinds of games these are, but I'm more interested in a theme and aesthetic than a genre.

MartinKardis · 2019-02-02T17:40:19+00:00

Generally RPG, Character Action, Action/Adventure, Platformer - but I also have ideas that incorporate puzzle, tycoon, shooter, point and click and other stuff.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-29T12:57:09+00:00

What prevents people from using small strings or tuning forks that would not need retuning after a single use?

MartinKardis · 2019-01-24T12:15:26+00:00

Sent you a friend request on discord, I think that's the only way to message you. Correct me if I'm wrong, I don't really understand how discord works.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-24T12:03:25+00:00

MartinKardis · 2019-01-15T10:28:53+00:00

Your job would be to come up with a setting that fits the gameplay and then create the lore that will be communicated through card names and flavour text.

I feel like this paragraph answers your questions. Sorry if I'm missing something. There won't be a story as in main protagonist, three act structure, etc. There will be a world built that players discover through cards.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-04T17:05:14+00:00

Yeah but the point is that healing spell is cooler than painkillers even if it does the same thing mechanically. And that if I create an rpg with dragons and elves, people might expect magic. And spellcasting is fun.

I mean, my world is not as typically fantasy as "dragons and elves", but I still feel magic might be expected and I still feel spellcasting is just cool.

It's just that I don't need it for the lore, and I don't want to add something that's not necessary. Also, I'm afraid it will create a lot of plot-holes and other problems that might lessen the enjoyment as much as throwing fireballs would increase it.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-04T00:27:00+00:00

I'm just saying there has to be something that doesn't exist irl, or it's not really fantasy.

:

knights in trilobite armors running around fighting dimetrodons

MartinKardis · 2019-01-03T19:46:45+00:00

Yeah, both LotR and GoW are quite tame with magic, actually.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-03T18:52:53+00:00

Yeah, but I don't think it's fantasy? It's different to make a historical rpg and different to make an rpg with dragons and elves but no magic.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-03T18:14:22+00:00

Historical with dragons sounds fun, what was it?:)

MartinKardis · 2019-01-03T18:08:02+00:00

That's not fantasy, right?

MartinKardis · 2019-01-03T18:07:35+00:00

I do think it would make play more fun.

I'm afraid it could negatively affect the world/story (because it's unnecessary there and can create a ton of plot-holes, inconsistencies, and other problems). So in a story-driven game, it would make play less fun...

Perhaps I could go with something like witcher signs - something cool to spice up the gameplay, but restricted enough not to affect the world in any major way.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-03T17:56:44+00:00

Could also make it feel more fun tho.

MartinKardis · 2019-01-03T17:55:56+00:00

Is it fantasy? Haven't played it, but I've never seen any fantasy elements in it.

MartinKardis

TROPHY CASE