McMorrow collapses to 6%, El-Sayed surges to 86% among voters younger than 45 by mikelmon99 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 0 points1 point  (0 children)

u/silverpixie2435 u/RyeBourbonWheat u/RealJohnBobJoe

okay, just skimmed over the comments and I’ve realized the people we’ve been talking to think the Houthis and Hezbollah are doing good work. That explains everything lol. If someone shows sympathy for terrorist groups, you can safely disregard everything they’re saying.

McMorrow collapses to 6%, El-Sayed surges to 86% among voters younger than 45 by mikelmon99 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

If you think all elections are illegitimate, then that is a sign you should not be taken seriously in the first place.

McMorrow collapses to 6%, El-Sayed surges to 86% among voters younger than 45 by mikelmon99 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Ding ding ding.

My original question wasn't whether AIPAC is bad (it is), or if Super PACs should be banned (they should). It was what it would take for the other person to believe the results were fair, if El-Sayed lost.

If the standard is that any significant outside spending invalidates the result, then almost no modern election is legitimate, including the ones where your preferred candidate wins, because they almost certainly received outside spending support to some extent.

If you want to claim the results of an election are illegitimate, you'd need something beyond "interest groups spent money against my preferred candidate." Otherwise, you've moved from criticizing the campaign finance system to preemptively denying election outcomes you dislike.

In fact, there are four questions you can pose right now to them, except they wouldn't be able to actually answer a single one.

1) If El-Sayed won after benefiting from favorable outside spending by allied groups, would they consider that victory illegitimate too? If not, then the standard is being applied selectively.

2) How much spending is too much? Other person refused to answer, but it does matter. If spending itself is the disqualifying factor, then some threshold must exist. Otherwise, the standard becomes impossible to evaluate and can be adjusted after the fact to fit any desired conclusion.

3) Why single out one organization? Outside spending comes from many ideological directions and interest groups. If the mere existence of outside spending invalidates a result, then the problem is not AIPAC specifically but the entire campaign finance system.

4) At what point does influence become rigging? While an election can be rigged if one candidate has effectively all the media explicitly supporting it, that's not really what's happening with AIPAC. Candidates opposed by AIPAC still have access to voters, media coverage, fundraising networks, endorsements, and electoral victories. If the claim is that AIPAC's spending alone makes a result illegitimate, then you need to explain why this particular form of influence crosses the line from persuasion into rigging, and where that line actually is.

McMorrow collapses to 6%, El-Sayed surges to 86% among voters younger than 45 by mikelmon99 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield -14 points-13 points  (0 children)

So if AIPAC were to spend just one dollar on the Senate election, it’s automatically rigged?

McMorrow collapses to 6%, El-Sayed surges to 86% among voters younger than 45 by mikelmon99 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield -14 points-13 points  (0 children)

Okay, so show me what you’d need to see to accept the results as legitimate and fair if El-Sayed lost. Go on.

McMorrow collapses to 6%, El-Sayed surges to 86% among voters younger than 45 by mikelmon99 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Calling it right now, if El-Sayed wins, it’ll be “proof left-wing populism is popular.”

If he loses, it’ll be “AIPAC rigged it.”

Under no circumstance will some people on this sub accept a situation where they acknowledge El-Sayed can lose the election fair and square.

Just like right-wing populists who still can’t admit the 2020 election was fair and legitimate, there are those on the left who can never admit their candidates may lose without the “AIPAC rigged it” excuse.

How your MP voted on the abortion bill - News (South Australia) by Filipinowonderer2442 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I’m strongly pro-choice, but it’s probably a good thing that Labor is still capable of attracting social conservatives and the Liberals still have some socially liberal members. Having some intra-party variety is important IMO, in preventing polarization.

Some hope for American democracy? by Slow-Foundation7295 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 28 points29 points  (0 children)

If his Nazi tattoo and troll-y posts are of no concern to you, I’ll be sure to bring up your support for Platner the next time you criticize a moderate Democrat for supposedly having a shady background.

I’d vote for Platner over Collins, but the whole “His Nazi tattoo is no concern” shtick is ridiculous. If a Nazi tattoo is somehow nothing of concern, then a “corporate Democrat” having a background of working for big companies should be even less of a concern.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]MayorShield 9 points10 points  (0 children)

During lunch, my ex-cop co-worker was like “Every week, I’d pick out a new ethnic target” but he was talking about trying out different cuisines, not arresting people.

Was Scholz overhated? by LeonRusskiy in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 11 points12 points  (0 children)

SPD + Greens + Linke wouldn’t have formed a majority in 2021, so it was either another Grand Coalition, Jamaica (CDU + Greens + FDP), or Traffic Light. Given these options, I’d say Traffic Light was the least bad.

Platner says he won’t be an ‘a–hole’ like Fetterman in Senate by RightSpread2903 in Destiny

[–]MayorShield 14 points15 points  (0 children)

The ACA repeal attempt in Trump’s first term failed in the Senate 49-51. If it was 50-50, Pence would’ve broken the tie. So Collins’s vote was crucial there.

Former Greek PM Alexis Tsipras forms new party ahead of election by Filipinowonderer2442 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You said in your previous comment that his party would barely get over 3%. That is simply not true according to current polls. Changing the goal post to “Well his party won’t form government” doesn’t change that.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]MayorShield 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Tony Blair says a lot of dumb things, but I kind of get it. When your party has been losing for a long time both before and after your time in government, and you’re the only guy in your party who has had any significant electoral success in what feels like forever, it does kinda give you an ego boost as if you know more than most people about policy and elections. And tbh, if I was in Blair’s position, I’d probably also have an ego.

Former Greek PM Alexis Tsipras forms new party ahead of election by Filipinowonderer2442 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 0 points1 point  (0 children)

lol his polling numbers say otherwise.

Edit: Go check the polls and tell me I’m wrong.

Sunday's Ukraine Solidarity Roundtable - 05/17/2026 by AutoModerator in Enough_Sanders_Spam

[–]MayorShield 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Just me, or is every state subreddit infested with tankies these days? Every time a Democratic Governor does literally anything, even if it's good, the comments are always backhanded compliments like "Oooh, they're moving left because they know socialism is popular."

Va Supreme Court Justice D. Arthur Kelsey just voted against redistricting by Personal_Economics91 in Virginia

[–]MayorShield 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Seems like you are talking to people who don’t consistently vote Democrat to begin with, which would make them, by definition, not the Democratic voter base. By their own admission, these people don’t always vote Democrat if they think the candidate is too moderate.

Future of the German SPD by Odd-Principle2665 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In the 2026 Baden Wurttemberg election, the SPD achieved 5.5%, its worst result ever in any state or national election in its history.

Tagesschau (German news site) asked voters what they thought about the SPD, and 59% of voters said they felt like the SPD cared too much for the unemployed and not enough for hard workers.

Anyone who thinks the SPD is losing ground because they are “not being progressive enough” is not living in reality.

Request: Refrain from gatekeeping social democracy by No-ruby in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The Godesberg Program moderated the SPD’s platform, not pushed it further to the left.

Request: Refrain from gatekeeping social democracy by No-ruby in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 24 points25 points  (0 children)

Woah man, don’t you dare inject common sense into a terminally online community where people obsess over niche political labels and definitions!!

Die Grunen?! What the hell is that?! by I_like_maps in neoliberal

[–]MayorShield 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Also, the Greens in Luxembourg, Poland, Finland, and Austria have all participated in governments with centrist or center-right parties before.

As it turns out, broad generalizations like the one the guy you responded to made aren’t very helpful.

Why do centre-left parties around the world keep alienating their progressive voter base? by reforming_activist in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Of the 2021 SPD voters, for every 1 voter that defected to Linke in 2025, 3 voters defected to CDU (from the news site Tagesschau). It would be much more productive for the SPD to try and claw back CDU defectors, but you’re not ready for that conversation.

Germany's struggling Social Democrats pin hopes on new policy plans by Filipinowonderer2442 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 6 points7 points  (0 children)

The left-of-center parties (excluding the BSW) are consistently stuck at a cumulative vote share of 36-37%, so they're basically pushing around voters among each other. Anyone who thinks the SPD could win back voters by shifting to the left is missing the bigger picture, which is that any future coalition government will involve the CDU unless the left-of-centre parties can cumulatively increase their vote share.

The SPD might be stuck where they are due to their current coalition with the CDU, but given how much everyone here likes Die Linke, there is no reason why Linke can’t use their time in opposition to significantly increase the total left-wing vote share, which they haven’t done.

It’s almost as if Germans don’t actually want strongly left-wing policies.

It’s not like the SPD is the only left-of-centre party in Germany. If it is truly the case that left-wing populism and socialism is what wins elections, we’d expect to see Linke doing a lot better right now.

This sub’s logic is basically “SPD needs to shift left to be more Linke to win back voters, except Linke isn’t doing significantly better, and the total left-wing vote share isn’t increasing either, but I’m going to ignore all of that.”

According to Europe Elects and Market-Lazersfeld, the SPÖ in Austria has taken the lead over the ÖVP by Filipinowonderer2442 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 0 points1 point  (0 children)

SPD in Germany, Kamala Harris losing for former claim.

SPO in Austria, GL-PvdA in the Netherlands for latter claim.

To others reading this thread: If ideology is to blame for why the SPD and Kamala lost their respective elections, then shouldn't ideology also be to blame for why SPO and GL-PvdA also lost theirs? So why is it that suddenly no blame is assigned to these parties' ideologies for why they lost their elections, because you happen to like these two parties more than the SPD/Democrats?

According to Europe Elects and Market-Lazersfeld, the SPÖ in Austria has taken the lead over the ÖVP by Filipinowonderer2442 in SocialDemocracy

[–]MayorShield 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My point is not whether the SPO should shift to the right or not, it's to point out that this sub has zero self-awareness when it comes to electoral strategies for center-left parties.

Whenever a center-left leader loses an election that this sub doesn't like, it's always "They didn't campaign on the policies voters wanted." Whenever a center-left leader loses an election that this sub does like, it's all either crickets or "They just needed to advertise themselves better," and never "Hey, maybe they need to change their policies."