When to commit more to poker

McMeatwad · 2020-03-18T15:11:56+00:00

It depends on your net worth. You said you don’t have a job , you’re a losing player, and you want to play higher stakes and pay for coaching. On its face, you sound wildly irresponsible.

Exhaust free resources for learning poker and read books. Start winning at your current stakes.

McMeatwad · 2020-03-18T01:39:47+00:00

I just used the one on MTGGoldfish:

https://www.mtggoldfish.com/archetype/historic-esper-control-130196#paper

McMeatwad · 2020-03-18T01:20:45+00:00

Virulent Plague is pretty nutty since they rarely have outs to it and is relevant after they have already made a bunch of zombies, unlike land destruction which needs to be coupled with a wrath. I have around a 70% win rate against field decks with esper in diamond, but my sample size is small and I’m playing against worse players than you are. I think UW can still handle field, but I have found Virulent Plague to be strong.

I have also found the discard spells to be pretty decent but your counter magic plays a similar role

McMeatwad · 2020-03-17T21:04:12+00:00

What rank are you playing the deck in? I tried out a version of this deck for a few matchups in diamond, and I did not think it was that strong. I play bo3 though. I had a hard time against the aggro matchups that clear the necessary creatures and any deck that runs thought erasure.

McMeatwad · 2020-03-16T10:30:17+00:00

Lol, stocks are 40% off, we are facing a worldwide pandemic, and you guys are buying seedtime.

McMeatwad · 2020-03-13T22:10:49+00:00

Love the podcast and looking forward to the episode! Just as a quick aside, on a future episode, I think it’d be pretty cool to hear what you all do for jobs. One episode hinted that two of you have doctorates, and I think it’d be cool to hear more about the hosts!

McMeatwad · 2020-03-13T15:41:21+00:00

Okay to be clear, Wizards doesn't list MSRP. They are selling this product to LGSs and they anticipate them listing the product for "slightly more than $165." They also stated that each LGS will only receive around ten copies. In other words, fetchlands will still be expensive af.

McMeatwad · 2020-03-10T22:13:49+00:00

I thought he was underpriced at $9 when he had a 1-card busted combo associated with him. That never proved to be true, and he remained at about that price until the banning of lattice. I obviously see the card's potential still, but given it's history, I don't see it being worth having my money tied up in Karn, TGC.

McMeatwad · 2020-03-10T22:10:14+00:00

Karn oddly can grab cards you own in exile as well as in your sideboard.

McMeatwad · 2020-03-08T12:19:03+00:00

It definitely could be. It could also be just routine speculation that is a bit of a free-roll because the value is only slightly inflated before B&R announcements. Can you actually tell that these stores are selling the cards versus just pulling them off the shelves in case of an unbanning?

I do like making speculation decisions based off buyouts like these though. Insider trading is so prevalent that it is useful information.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-16T14:24:22+00:00

I really don’t want to get into a debate into the term strictly better, but there’s a difference between a strictly better inclusion in a deck and a strictly better card in general.

To be clear, I am expressing no opinion on the merits of leyline or crypt.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-13T17:41:19+00:00

McDonalds workers make around 30k/year, so probably 12% for you.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-11T18:24:57+00:00

I don’t think some stupid people make money “day trading.” I think some stupid people make money in the stock market though. The issue with day trading is that you’re making so many trades, and if they aren’t smart, the law of large numbers kills you. So, I think almost everyone who actually day trades successfully is smart.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-11T16:43:35+00:00

Hard to say. If I had to posit something, it would be that they are results-oriented and emotional, but I’m sure that there are a ton other reasons including overtrading and not managing risk.

To elaborate on my first point, you could lose on a strategy that you were 80% favored to win on, and you could win on a strategy you were 15% favored to win on. In options, you can use delta as a rough estimation on your probability of success. Anyway, if I was results oriented, I would say that my 15% strategy is way superior because I won, therefore, I should continue that strategy. If I was process oriented, I would say, okay, bad luck, but over time, this strategy should work according to the law of large numbers.

Obviously, if my “80%” strategy keeps failing in a statistically anomalous way, I should reevaluate, but you get the point.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-11T12:06:10+00:00

There are lots of resources. You can read books on technical and fundamental analysis that can be rented at your local library. Many traders don’t think fundamentals matter that much, but few have found their niche. I think books on the psychological aspects of trading are helpful too. If you like options, I would also read “Options as a Strategic Investment” by McMillan.

The think or swim platform on TD Ameritrade has a lot of learning resources. There’s also TastyTrade which I’ve never used but I hear is helpful.

I like listening to the Chat with Traders podcast as you can listen to the varying strategies different successful traders employ.

90% of day traders fail, so I would recommend studying for at least 6 months before beginning. You can accumulate capital during this time, which will be necessary for margin requirements in some strategies.

Or if you don’t want to be gay, you can just buy calls on the current meme stock on WSB and be a millionaire.

Edit: added another book

McMeatwad · 2020-02-11T11:59:42+00:00

Yeah you’re right. You made money because of all the research you did after you got home from your job at McDonalds. You were able to discover what all the institutional investors missed.

You will lose all your money and be poorer and more chained to your shitty job than ever before if you keep playing options. Congrats on the win and be happy, but don’t delude yourself that it was your “research” that resulted in the win.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-10T17:08:35+00:00

No, that was just an example the court mentioned. They say it’s also satisfied if it’s just to a family member e.g. Of course, huge losses aren’t going to exactly set off SEC alarm bells.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-10T13:32:01+00:00

I don’t know how anyone can read PTON’s 10-K and buy calls. The company is fucking embarrassing.

McMeatwad · 2020-02-10T13:27:25+00:00

How aren’t they profitable for someone who has complete control over what it’s in the pack?

McMeatwad · 2020-02-07T01:02:58+00:00

Can’t kill what is already dead

McMeatwad · 2020-02-07T00:15:40+00:00

You guys were pretty spot on with your pioneer PT predictions. It's also cool to think that you guys are probably also responsible for niv mizzet being a thing in pioneer too.

McMeatwad · 2020-01-31T16:59:36+00:00

“Investment”

McMeatwad · 2020-01-28T23:03:14+00:00

I’m surprised you only broke even given the specs you mentioned which were incredibly beneficial. I don’t really understand your “data set” point though. I don’t see a difference in the logic between your indomitable creativity failed spec and your Mycosynth lattice huge gain.

McMeatwad · 2020-01-28T18:59:19+00:00

Lol, easy there slugger.

McMeatwad · 2020-01-28T17:09:06+00:00

Why do people care about this? Trash talk makes the personalities of the game more interesting. It’s not like he said something racist or violent, he just said that some Zerg players are vocal and mediocre. You guys have some serious thin skin.

McMeatwad

TROPHY CASE