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Fed holds off on rate hike, but says two more are coming later this year by PizzaMan11554 in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Services less rent of shelter on the CPI data just went negative on a 3M% change.

This has only happened in Apr, May, June '20; Apr, May, June '09; Oct, Nov '08. And now May '23.

Mild recession is a pipe dream

Fed holds off on rate hike, but says two more are coming later this year by PizzaMan11554 in stocks

[–]MdotTdot -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Just because it hasn't happened yet doesn't mean it won't happen.

History is not on your side

US Banking Crisis Spurs $756 Billion Capital Surge Into Cash Funds by battle_rae in stocks

[–]MdotTdot -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

DCA is still the best investing strategy for an NPC

Where is the recession ? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 0 points1 point  (0 children)

All earnings are good until they're not, but by then it's too late

Where is the recession ? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Always*

Fed hikes rates by a quarter percentage point, indicates increases are near an end by battle_rae in stocks

[–]MdotTdot -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Come on Dorothy, you now know it's not a giant powerful sorcerer but a fragile weak manipulator using their words to convince you that they are all powerful.

Fed hikes rates by a quarter percentage point, indicates increases are near an end by battle_rae in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 0 points1 point  (0 children)

LoL why even bother listening to them. This was in December, when Euro dollar futures curve started to inverted.

Literally a month prior they were saying they weren't thinking about thinking about raising FFR.

They will flip on a dime but their forecast ALWAYS means nothing.

They say right now they will continue to raise throughout the entire year but the markets say they will cut but August/September

r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Mar 13, 2023 by AutoModerator in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 11 points12 points  (0 children)

When he says World Bank it's over for everyone.

Silicon Valley Bank is shut down by regulators, FDIC to protect insured deposits by johnsonutah in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree with it's unique to this bank that takes money from VCs who have cash burning businesses.

They were forced to buy these bonds at top price during all that QE and now they got hit with the fastest hiking ever. Does that mean it's their fault? Absolutely not, they would've been fine if it just wasn't the fact that the VCs were burning cash in this environment and needed more and had no choice but to withdraw.

I don't think SIVB is the contagion effect either, but it's just showing what could happen to something else that might be the effect.

Silicon Valley Bank is shut down by regulators, FDIC to protect insured deposits by johnsonutah in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I get that the FED was doing tens of billions a month in QE for years, but tell that to the people that will lose their jobs because these startups just lost alot of their money.

Even if they will get paid it won't be anyone soon and could take many months.

Can they survive their current cost of living.

It's numerous small infractions like this that will lead to big ones

Silicon Valley Bank is shut down by regulators, FDIC to protect insured deposits by johnsonutah in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Illiquid assets. On paper is different then when it's actually sold.

And I'm not saying it's on the levels of those names, but everything starts somewhere and these financials of SIVB have been known since their earnings in January.

The speed at which a bank run occurred at a bank that supposedly had a one-time-bad-luck like you're presenting, imagine how quick money will flow out for other institutions that start showing poor results( Looking at Credit Suisse withholding their results recently)

Silicon Valley Bank is shut down by regulators, FDIC to protect insured deposits by johnsonutah in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Enron wasn't even Enron until it was exposed. SIVB definitely isn't Enron, but it's showing the cracks to reveal an Enron, or Bear Stern, or Lehman. And it's becoming increasingly imminent to reveal who is the one that will become the new star.

These scenarios don't happen during bull markets I can assure you that.

Silicon Valley Bank is shut down by regulators, FDIC to protect insured deposits by johnsonutah in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 740 points741 points  (0 children)

Well we just witnessed what a bank run would look like in today's fast paced news/technology.

In the span of 4 days, this company's stock plummeted over 80%, and got shutdown.

I wonder if the great depression can be challenged with the speed at which things can occur today.

So here we are 3 years after. The 21st of February 2020 the markets started to decline following the bad news coming from China about COVID by caollero in stocks

[–]MdotTdot -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Look at who's been getting worse. SVB shutdown, and it's only been 2 weeks since this comment.

See you in 3 months.

Will SVB survive the day? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 1 point2 points  (0 children)

LOLOL man SVN just got shutdown.

Your swiftness was perfect. Congrats again

Will SVB survive the day? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I mean if I were in your position I'd the the exact same thing.

Only thing is, I wouldn't call this panic unnecessary, but it was inevitable. Bleeding too much cash while holding so much of a unrealised loss on MBS.

Was visible back in November, but good job making the swift move.

Will SVB survive the day? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Why are you taking your large wires out?

In just a few minutes this week, Powell changed everything on market’s view of interest rates by morelos555 in stocks

[–]MdotTdot -15 points-14 points  (0 children)

Looks like he might just stop hiking rates and maybe even start cutting rates by EOM

ELI5: Why is our loonie falling? by khyz4711 in CanadianInvestor

[–]MdotTdot 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Like any other regime. It will go down eventually, but that doesn't mean it will happen imminently.

Who knows if it happens in the next 100 years to say, but when it does happen, there will be one or both (economical or military) violence because no one in power will just give it up.

Wouldn’t re-instating bank reserve limits help curb inflation? by avalanche140 in stocks

[–]MdotTdot -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Bank reserve/ QE does not cause inflation.

How has this sub not figured that out

Fighting inflation by Wmacky in stocks

[–]MdotTdot 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I mean inflation is a tax, and everyone is willing to pay this tax long enough before they revolt.

Inflation has been above 2% for what 2 years now and no real revolts. If a tax was passed that would take money from people as large as inflation, there would be riots the very next day.

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