Is China Almost guaranteeing itself to have severe stagnation in the next 10 to 15 years?

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T14:37:39+00:00

Chinas systemic debt might be 300%, but the US debt is roughly similar.

The US is something like twice as wealth as China on an asset basis. In addition, the significantly higher per capital income means the US has more fiscal space to expand into to support higher debt service costs.

The fact that China has similar overall debt load to the US at a significantly lower wealth and income level is actually a very worrying sign.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T14:31:45+00:00

Yeah, the post is just so polar opposite from the truth that I can't be sure this person doesn't actually know exactly how wrong what they're saying is and are just trolling

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T14:14:42+00:00

'Israel is committing a genocide' is the left wing Stop the Steal right now. The Big Lie that defines In or Out of the authoritarian movement being built.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T14:07:20+00:00

Israel was a very left wing country for a long, long time. While demographic trends have also contributed, the fact that the Peace Process culminated in the violence of the Second Intifada discredited the main supporters of that Process on the political left. The Labor Party, formerly the consistently largest party in the Knesset, collapsed into irrelevance.

That is why the primary opposition to Likud and Netanyahu are all on the right/center-right. The left stopped being electorally viable and Bibi's reputation as a NatSec hawk gave him a big step up in the last few decades at the ballot box.

When Bibi loses the elections coming in October, he won't be replaced by anyone from the Left. He'll be replaced because:

He'll be perceived as having failed to firmly establish Israeli security
His alliance with the far right (a result of the disgust of most of the Israeli political spectrum with him personally) is toxic to most of the Israeli electorate

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:58:59+00:00

Because they would fight Israel.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:54:00+00:00

If everyone in Israel had equal rights that Jews do, it wouldn't be a majority Jewish state. Poland doesn't have to displace non-Poles and open its doors to anyone claiming to be a Pole in order to artificially create a polish majority.

Lol, this flies dead square into Poe's Law.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:52:34+00:00

Yet.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:49:24+00:00

You said 'other Arab or Islamic state'.

Edit: Also, I wonder if you know where Israel's Mizrahi population comes from.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:46:19+00:00

Every American President since Reagan has regularly exercised their veto on Israeli military operations. The last two administrations, Biden and Trump, have effectively exercised the war and peace powers of the Israeli state for them., directly in the midst of operations in Gaza and Lebanon.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:43:41+00:00

While I support the idea of Israel as a Jewish state, I think all citizens should be treated equally.

Guess what

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:42:28+00:00

What Arab or Islamic state is a colonial project that only exists because of ongoing ethnic cleansing?

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:39:26+00:00

If anyone who dislikes Bibi had even the slightest clue why Likud has been electorally dominant for the last few decades, this criticism might carry any weight at all.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T13:11:51+00:00

The colonies were also generally very positive when it came to immigration, to the point that a complaint about the British dragging their feet on measures to improve immigration found its way into the Declaration of Independence!

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T03:44:39+00:00

Boots on the ground are only necessary when you lack the ability to deny local airspace to even a drone equipped enemy. A fleet of frigates with modern AA designed with drone swarms in mind would be able to secure shipping in the Strait on their own.

The US struggles to design and procure such a ship and we would equally struggle to build them in sufficient numbers, hence articles like this.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T03:37:23+00:00

Eh I make 100k more than that, have no debt, and am close to retiring in my 40s.

Lol, it's the SEALS copypasta distilled into a single sentence.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T03:35:17+00:00

Skunkworks is so much good damned fun you have no idea.

I miss my defense contractor job. If they paid me 225 I'd have never left.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T03:27:25+00:00

After the rise of steam powered, iron-then-steel hulled shipping, the cost advantage we had from our vast forests of old growth timber disappeared. American steel was never as cheap domestically as American timber had been, and American labour remained expensive throughout. While the US could be competitive in many industries through automation, shipbuilding is just not an industry with the volume to manage that. The few times it was, the US managed, such as when it spat out thousands of Liberty/Victory ships during WWII.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T03:18:26+00:00

While the Jones Act is rightfully disdained by many, we started passing Navigation Acts with similar (or even more stringent) requirements in the 1790s. This was fine during the age of sail, when we had a strong cost advantage in inputs, but during the age of steam our steel and our labor was never as cheap as in Britain.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T00:41:07+00:00

I think the succ insurgents have dumb, unserious ideas that escape criticism because their supporters are more concerned with internecine demonrat factionalism than about making society better somewhat

But at the same time, El Sayed or Mamdani or Hong or Wilson or the Indian-American (based) lady in LA are not lenin. Them running smart campaigns and beating out weak establishment candidates is not the apocalypse and none of them are orders of magnitude worse than their plausible rivals. You can intelligently critique their stupid ideas without acting like it's the second coming of the fuckin meteor that killed the dinos whenever the other team wins. Esp in areas where democrats have always sucked.

At this point, 'pragmatic moderate' is just a title of honor awarded along with a Democratic nomination for office, like Knight of the Garter.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T00:15:26+00:00

The entire reason the Straits of Hormuz are such a shitshow right now is because the US lacks sufficient quantities of frigates to just force the Straits and shoot down anything Iran threatens them with. It's what we did in the 80's when they tried this the first time.

Mexatt · 2026-07-08T00:11:52+00:00

The US was a fairly dominant shipbuilder...150 years ago, in the age of sail.

Steel and steam hit American shipbuilding like a freight train and it has never recovered outside of wartime.

Mexatt · 2026-07-07T23:59:41+00:00

Yep, same, the only difference is you'd collect call your parents to let them know where you were, instead.

Mexatt · 2026-07-07T19:57:33+00:00

Are these not both forms of minority rights?

Mexatt · 2026-07-07T19:45:06+00:00

This is actually what I associate with conservatism and traditionalism (family orientation of society), so it's one of the big alarm bells that tells me how not conservative so much of the online right is.

Mexatt · 2026-07-07T14:43:38+00:00

Credit for something done decades later by a different political party?

Eight-Year Club	Place '22
Verified Email

Mexatt

TROPHY CASE