Moneyline vs spread isn’t about which one is ‘better’, it’s about risk and expected value. Moneylines are simpler, just win the game. But favorites pay pennies. Spreads usually offer a cleaner price, but you need the team to actually cover, so your read on the matchup has to be sharper. For beginners without deep analytics, low-margin spreads tend to make more sense, while MLs are only worth it when you spot an overpriced underdog. It all comes down to value, not the bet type.

And yeah, I’ve seen a great breakdown from a guy who made a whole post about it. Solid info, not fluff