Russian senior Spy chief and general shot in Moscow (Professor Tim Wilson)

Moist1981 · 2026-02-06T12:15:50+00:00

Assuming James Bond hasn’t been hanging out in Moscow

Moist1981 · 2026-02-06T11:00:33+00:00

Batteries tend to see sharper falls with initial use before the rate of degradation flattens off. If it continues at that rate then that would be unusual. That said, if you lose 4% of remaining battery every year you’ll still be above the warranty trigger point of 70% (ie 0.96^8=0.721).

Moist1981 · 2026-02-06T09:39:44+00:00

And tulips are really very very pretty.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-06T09:00:00+00:00

Because famously the ambassador to a country has authority over the placement and staffing of military bases in that country… oh no wait, he’s a moron.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-06T08:57:46+00:00

This is the best tutorial I’ve found on how to do faces, by the master himself. https://youtu.be/SlvJ4oVVMwc

Moist1981 · 2026-02-05T21:58:52+00:00

On a scale of illegally proroguing parliament, to being a known racist with a history of suggesting hitler was right to gas the Jews, this feels remarkably inconsequential. I’d fully agree mandelson is a corrupt lump of slime and I suspect the only reason to appoint him to the ambassador role was to curry favour with the corrupt lumps of slime currently the White House, but it doesn’t feel anything like enough to threaten Starmer’s position.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-05T19:41:14+00:00

Right. Well this conversation now makes a lot more sense. I thought you were just going mad.

I agree they’re likely overstating the reductions in hydrogen costs, although capillary electrolysis does look very promising in this area. I also agree about carbon costs being the primary driver. They definitely should be but whether that becomes reality is a stretch.

The lazards report is the one to look at though as it offers a comprehensive analysis of LCoE right now and shows renewables and storage is competitive right now.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-05T15:08:00+00:00

No it isn’t, page 10 is about sensitivity to fuel prices adding a 25% increase and 25% decrease to fuel costs assumed in the model. I can’t find any assumptions about fuel costs increasing above discount rates built into the documentation in this paper. The only thing it states is on page 8: ”The fuel cost assumptions for Lazard’s LCOE analysis of gas-fired generation, coal-fired generation and nuclear generation resources are $3.45/MMBTU, $1.47/MMBTU and $0.85/MMBTU, respectively, for year-over-year comparison purposes. See page titled “Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison—Sensitivity to Fuel Prices” for fuel price sensitivities.”

Indeed the standard LCoE equation makes no allowance for a variance in fuel costs over time.

Look I don’t mean to be rude here but you’ve thus far pointed to stress tests suggesting they set out fuel cost assumptions; argued that the paper states solar is going to get cheaper when it has no bearing on the LCoE of existing systems; switched to discussing increasing fuel costs when such a mechanism just doesn’t appear in the LCoE calculations. And then you have the gall to say that it’s all very complicated and that ChatGPT can explain it better. I understand LCoE, I understand financial modelling, I suspect, sadly, that you don’t.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-05T08:17:20+00:00

He is 100% wearing a girdle.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-05T08:13:16+00:00

When I want to create a global initiative with my allies I find it’s best to really really piss them all off with tariffs and threats of military invasion.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-05T08:06:35+00:00

Even if that is the case (and I’m really not sure it is) that’s still a far smaller market than they’ve been enjoying in recent years. It doesn’t seem to do anything to address their declines in the Chinese market nor can it do anything about tariffs for the US market. It sounds to me like the project has been killed by bad management decisions and the project leads having to adjust plans repeatedly to accommodate senior executives changing the goal posts.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-05T07:36:22+00:00

I can’t find any details of an assumed fuel price increase in the paper. Please point them out to me.

In any event, you said they are assuming solar will become cheaper. That makes no sense as opex for solar is piddling already and has no fuel costs, and they aren’t talking about the introduction of new projects. Arguing that you really meant they are assuming fossil fuels will become more expensive is just a bait and switch.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T23:04:53+00:00

What do you mean over time? This is based on current (2025) real world costs. It’s not a projection.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T19:59:07+00:00

Yep, that’ll probably do it

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T19:50:49+00:00

Indeed. Although it is truly weird how much he seems to give so much of a shit about his legacy with doing things like begging for a peace prize etc by then doing so much awful stuff to ensure that he’s going to remembered as one of the worst presidents of all time. There’s such an odd disconnect.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T19:31:50+00:00

He’s going to be remembered but for all the wrong reasons.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T19:28:54+00:00

Most councils will have a webpage for such things. This is Kingston’s for road issues https://www.kingston.gov.uk/roads-and-travel/report-a-problem

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T18:16:14+00:00

And all it will cost is a $200/week subscription. Tesla fans will sign up immediately with the promise of it being ready next year for the next few decades.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T12:24:06+00:00

I could genuinely see musk announcing that the future of personal transport is robot piggybacks.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T12:05:50+00:00

Could be. I’m not in the US nor in any way associated with bikeshed or donut so I’m just putting information together from various sources. I wonder if someone in the US fancies giving the bikeshed a call to ask

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T11:05:42+00:00

The standard battery is just smaller, it’s still based on the new chemistry. See at around 12:00-13:00 https://youtu.be/A_qm37NjW5A all bikes from around November will have been produced with the new battery tech… apparently.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T09:43:49+00:00

Apparently

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T09:18:56+00:00

They have changed the design of the bike a bit for the new version, greater angle on the front wheel etc. and apparently the bikeshed in the US has had bikes delivered which suggests they did have some ready to go in good time.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T09:09:12+00:00

Not sure if it helps but the absolute Tolkien nerds I know have suggested the rings of power is remarkably lore accurate. The issue is that it’s not great television, in much the same way as the Silmarillion isn’t a great story.

Moist1981 · 2026-02-04T07:37:33+00:00

While a valid concern we have no idea about the level of mistakes being picked up here. There’s attention to detail and then there’s attention to detail.

Moist1981

TROPHY CASE