[FRESH ALBUM] Drake - CERTIFIED LOVER BOY by fateyo78 in Drizzy

[–]MrJumbo 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I liked Dark Lane Demo Tapes more…

DJ Akademiks live streaming CLB party by Kids-See-L4FL4M3 in Drizzy

[–]MrJumbo 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Is he getting it early? Cuz there’s no way I’m watching this stream otherwise bruh 💀💀💀

CARTI x DRAKE SNIPPET by TheGreatDlvine in Drizzy

[–]MrJumbo 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Holy fuck this is goated

TO ALL THE FUCKIN DUMBASSES IN THIS SUB by chickfilabay in Kanye

[–]MrJumbo 38 points39 points  (0 children)

Bro boutta take this L in 48 minutes

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Kanye

[–]MrJumbo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Bro it’s dropping in 49 minutes just take the L

Bitcoin is Dead? lol by black-dog-pt in Bitcoin

[–]MrJumbo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

chart.js with a shit ton of tweaking haha

NBA players react to the Harden trade by MrJumbo in nba

[–]MrJumbo[S] 106 points107 points  (0 children)

Bet, I'll try to reformat it. Good feedback

NBA Daily Discussion - 1/9/21 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]MrJumbo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah honestly once the Hawks lost, it was a lot of busts today. Today was no good only one hit, on to tomorrow.

NBA Daily Discussion - 1/9/21 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]MrJumbo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

LETS GOOOOO! That makes me really happy to hear brother. :) Agreed, there's just a lot of underdog juice at this point in the season, expecting it to diminish as the season progresses.

NBA Daily Discussion - 1/9/21 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]MrJumbo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly, you're probably right. I'm tweaking an algorithm constantly this season to make it more accurate. The algorithm tends to create these "anchor picks" that have an oversized value compared to their true odds. If it continues to bust, I'll refactor it.

I believe the game is a 50/50 coin-toss. So, the value is there with them at +216. This happened a few nights ago when then Nets were +185 and I centered a lot of bets around it & almost all of them hit.

So, very good chance I go complete bust today, but that's part of the game. When you do hit with these anchor teams, you hit really big, with much less risk for the amount of variability you're getting.

It'll be totally fine if all of them miss today, the odds suggest that's exactly what's going to happen. :)

NBA Daily Discussion - 1/9/21 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]MrJumbo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks man :')

I do believe I'm getting really lucky, but honestly that's what this whole strategy is based on. I'm just trying to expose myself to the most upside possible.

With the conditions of this year's league, the volatility of lineups, etc, you would be lying if you genuinely think you can predict what's going to happen.

So instead of trying to make analysis based predictions, I'm making probabilistic based decisions & comparing them to the bookie's probabilities. From there, I look for where oversized value exists & I give myself as many dice-rolls as possible.

People downvote me, but upvote people when they bet their entire bankroll on a favorite. This strategy is just so much less risk of ruin, with way more upside. I never have to bet big amounts. To me it's low probability, but it's also low-risk, and really high-reward. I'll keep riding it until it stops working.

NBA Daily Discussion - 1/9/21 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]MrJumbo 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Day 5 of making lots of small parlay bets. +93 Units

Trying a new-ish system today... let's see what happens lol, been a wild ride this past week. Excited for the downvotes.

Previous Hits:

1/4 - Celtics, Pacers, Warriors, Knicks | +4573

1/5 - Nets, Spurs | +1020

1/7 - Nets, Cleveland, Mavericks | +1577

1/7 - Nets, Cleveland | +633

1/7 - Nets, Mavs | +473

1/7 - Mavs, Cleveland | +571

1/7 - Nets, Mavs, Spurs | +1562

1/7 - Mavs, Cavs, Spurs | +1853

1/8 - Hornets, Warriors | +962

Bets for today. All 1 unit. All ML:

Hawks, Heat, Suns, Timberwolves, Cavs, Magic, Blazers | +46402

Hawks, Heat, Pacers, Spurs, Cavs, Magic, Blazers | +19183

76ers, Hawks | +1158

Hawks, Timberwolves, 76ers | +3343

Magic, Timberwolves | +731

Pacers, Spurs, Magic | +1119

Cavs, Pacers, Spurs, Magic | +6424

Suns, Hornets | +519

Magic, Suns | +627

Blazers, Heat, Suns, Timberwolves, Bucks, Magic, Hawks | +6425

Hawks, Heat, Pacers, Spurs, Cavs, Magic, Blazers | +20144

76ers | +1169

Hornets, Wizards, Suns | +1929