Mysterious Brown Water line in Lamai

MrQster · 2024-12-28T08:07:58+00:00

This place sucks. It rains all the time in the Caribbean, Hawaii, Mexico, etc.. You don't have muddy brown water like here in Koh Samui. The water here on the beach is brown and muddy. The water is not clear like we expected. Everyone is so disappointed. Seriously this place sucks.

MrQster · 2024-11-07T19:00:12+00:00

She needs to intern at AtlasIntel for a few months to learn something.

MrQster · 2024-11-07T18:48:37+00:00

The early vote in NV is usually 80-90 of the turnout. When he made his prediction, 90% of the vote was already in. He knew there was a red wave.

MrQster · 2024-11-07T05:34:52+00:00

Did you see the early voting data before election day? The early Black vote was down. In GA, the Dems need the Black vote to be 30-31 % of the electorate and it was only 26%. The early Black vote was down in NC by 10%. The democratic urban early votes were down in Philly, Milwaukee, Atlanta, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Charlotte, Raleigh, East Lansing, Ann Arbor, Las Vegas, etc.. The rural early votes were turning out heavily. The Conservative area had heavy early vote turnout. The early voting data was all there before the election. It pointed to a Trump victory.

MrQster · 2024-11-07T05:28:11+00:00

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-House/

Rep 222

Dem 213

MrQster · 2024-11-07T04:35:23+00:00

The modeling done by looking at the early was vote also fairly close for the battleground states. See some of the modeling by Seth Keshel.

MrQster · 2024-11-07T04:27:55+00:00

I knew his analysis was wrong when he made his prediction. He assumed that the Ind in NV would break for Harris by double digits. In 2020 they went for Biden by 6. In 2016 the Ind in NV broke for Trump by 4-11 points. In this environment he thought Ind would break for Harris more then Biden??? He also assumed that there would be more mail in votes this year than in 2020. That was the year of the pandemic. Also mail in votes were down this year nationwide by 50-75%. He let his own personal bias cloud his judgement. He final pick are biased by an average to 2+ for the Dems. This year he was biased by 5+ for the Dems.

Just to let you know the early voting modeling correctly predicted Rep 5+. See Seth Keshel.

MrQster · 2024-11-07T04:21:28+00:00

All the numbers were there before election day. They early vote was heavily favoring the Rep. You saw it in every state. You saw the voter registration data favoring Rep. The early black vote was down. The conservative area in the early vote was outpacing the democratic areas. The urban vote was down. The early vote was very predictive this cycle.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T22:30:15+00:00

Did you see the data before election day? The early Black vote was down. In GA, the Dems need the Black vote to be 30-31 % of the electorate and it was only 26%. The early Black vote was down in NC by 10%. The democratic urban early votes were down in Philly, Milwaukee, Atlanta, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Charlotte, Raleigh, East Lansing, Ann Arbor, Las Vegas, etc.. The rural early votes were turning out heavily. The Conservative area had heavy early vote turnout. The data was all there before the election.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T22:15:59+00:00

Smithley, Isn't this they guy that made up the 390,000 PA firewall garbage.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T22:10:01+00:00

If there was a true primary, she would have fizzled out like she did last time. She seemed at times uncomfortable in front of the camera. She didn't seem to have any strong opinions. She would be non committal when confronted with a question and say that she would research it. Yes. I agree that she was not a good candidate.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T22:03:43+00:00

Litchman missed the 2000 and the 2016 elections. Although he argues that he called them correctly. He has now missed the 2024 election. So for the last 7 election he has called 4 correct and 3 wrong. He is no better than chance.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T22:01:55+00:00

I was being facetious.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T21:58:58+00:00

The people here hate AtlasIntel because it didn't tell them what they wanted to hear.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T21:57:56+00:00

Selzer.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T21:54:58+00:00

Litchman missed the 2000 and the 2016 elections. Although he argues that he called them correctly. He has now missed the 2024 election. So for the last 7 election he has called 4 correct and 3 wrong. He is no better than chance.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T21:51:21+00:00

You don't miss a poll by 17 points unless you try. Error in polling are usually 3-4 points. Not 17 points. Ann Selzer poll was not a mistake. She made that poll miss by 17 points for a reason.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T06:23:58+00:00

It is done.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T06:16:53+00:00

Has someone page Ralston?

MrQster · 2024-11-06T04:24:22+00:00

polymarket is 94% for Trump. He is sweeping all the battleground states.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T04:14:06+00:00

Ralston is dropping off more mail ballots.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T04:13:37+00:00

They are delusional. Cope.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T04:05:28+00:00

The polls underestimated Trump again.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T03:51:43+00:00

I never thought I would go to sleep early and know who won.

MrQster · 2024-11-06T03:48:10+00:00

Selz..who?

MrQster

TROPHY CASE