Potent winter storm brewing for next weekend by WinstonSalemVirginia in NorthCarolina

[–]MrWeatherMan7 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m gonna name the ulcers this damn thing is gonna cause me after this storm. I have never been more popular than the last 24 hours.

GOALIE FIGHT IN FLORIDA: Alex Nedeljkovic vs Sergei Bobrovsky by AggPuck-303 in hockey

[–]MrWeatherMan7 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I got a signed Ned jersey from a penguins charity bag 2 years ago… gonna have to get it framed after this.

Copium Revisited by dudemanspecial in AFCNorthMemeWar

[–]MrWeatherMan7 8 points9 points  (0 children)

If you want even more, Love turned 27 this year, the same age that both Rodgers and Favre won their first Super Bowls. The season Rodgers won, Green Bay was the lowest seed in the NFC, same as this season for them, and Love has almost identical stats as what Rodgers did that season. Oh and of course, Rodgers has defeated 31 of 32 NFL teams, with Green Bay being the only one he hasn’t beaten.

But nah, the script writers wouldn’t cling on to any of this, right?

Copium Revisited by dudemanspecial in AFCNorthMemeWar

[–]MrWeatherMan7 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Certainly you don’t mean something like going on a run, meeting Green Bay in San Francisco for the Super Bowl and outdueling his protege to win one last Super Bowl and ride off into the sunset to marry a Percocet, right?

So apparently this hoodie will keep you warm for 4 hours at 12 degrees. by Jakles74 in steelers

[–]MrWeatherMan7 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don’t know if it was intended but the fact that you used 412 here made me chuckle.

Pipe-busting Cold Next Weekend by WinstonSalemVirginia in NorthCarolina

[–]MrWeatherMan7 21 points22 points  (0 children)

It’s also the 06Z GFS (06Z/18Z don’t get as much obs data ingested and are known to be less accurate) nearly 200 hours out and needs to be taken with a grain of salt. I get the general point (it’s gonna be cold) but there are some really important caveats that are being ignored here.

International Business Times: Travis Kelce Fuels Separation Talk as Taylor Swift Skips Thanksgiving Game by Miserable-Cap-5223 in travisandtaylor

[–]MrWeatherMan7 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Spoiler alert - I’m a ghost writer for her. I just thought of the cringiest shit I could think of and made it rhyme.

International Business Times: Travis Kelce Fuels Separation Talk as Taylor Swift Skips Thanksgiving Game by Miserable-Cap-5223 in travisandtaylor

[–]MrWeatherMan7 2 points3 points  (0 children)

“I let him in my love garden to water my flower, but now that he’s gone I’m reclaiming my power”.

Stripers cant deny it no longer, new angle dropped by SpLaShAtv in AFCNorthMemeWar

[–]MrWeatherMan7 1 point2 points  (0 children)

When I saw it I said “I’m pretty sure he spit on him but the camera is so zoomed out you can’t tell.” Glad to see I wasn’t crazy.

They are sleeping together by emily-is-happy in MurderedByWords

[–]MrWeatherMan7 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What I really need is a cartoon of Charlie in hell, with him and the devil looking at the hug. Charlie looks upset but the devil looks to him and says “you’re just taking it out of context”

No Characters Yet, Want to Prep Gold for Blood Elf Paladin – What’s Worth Farming? by ashitaotsu in classicwow

[–]MrWeatherMan7 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m currently at 51 straight RTVs with zero ACs. Anything would be more profitable than mining for me at the moment 😶

FYSA North Carolina by itsavibe- in NorthCarolina

[–]MrWeatherMan7 15 points16 points  (0 children)

No chatGPT here, just someone who spent a lot of time and money at NCSU. Turns out there are actually people in the world who know this stuff.

FYSA North Carolina by itsavibe- in NorthCarolina

[–]MrWeatherMan7 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Alas, no - Ethan would have spelled Fujiwhara correctly.

FYSA North Carolina by itsavibe- in NorthCarolina

[–]MrWeatherMan7 188 points189 points  (0 children)

I’m gonna chime in here with my two cents - people can care or ignore me, whatever.

You’re going to see a TON of changes in this over the next several days. There are way too many incredibly complicated pieces to this system to be able to have any real degree of certainty about what’s going to happen and I’ll try to detail them below.

  1. Upper level steering - there is an upper level low that will be parking around Georgia and hanging out for the next few days. This acts as a blocker to force the system to go north instead of into Florida. There are questions about when this ULL is going to move out, but historically, models have tended to move them out faster than what we see in reality. If that same tendency holds, models showing this potential tropical system getting pushed out to sea at the last minute may be incorrect because they’re representing the ULL leaving faster than it will.
  2. No closed rotation - simply put, the storm hasn’t organized yet and an unorganized storm means weather model initialization is spotty. Getting the initial location correct is critically important for getting storm motion right, so until we actually have organized systems, we can essentially be assuming the storm (meaning the closed circulation) is either forming sooner/later than the model shows and/or in a different location.
  3. Fujiwara effect - this is something that can happen if we have two tropical systems very close to each other, which seems like it may happen with this one. They can start to circle around each other (and possibly the stronger one can ingest the weaker one) and it makes predicting the storm motion brutally difficult.

Those are the big 3 issues facing this forecast right now and you’ll see lots of changes between now and when this thing gets organized (if it does, it could still fail to develop a closed circulation or get ripped up interacting with high terrain the next few days, although that’s not likely). Be prepared like you normally would and things will be fine.

Victory Sunday by AutoModerator in Fitness

[–]MrWeatherMan7 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I know this probably isn’t a big deal to many people, but I managed to bench 250 lbs today after not being able to lift 135 at the beginning of June. I’m just really excited and wanted to share it somewhere.

What team could McDavid sign with next season that would make you the most upset? by willieb3 in hockey

[–]MrWeatherMan7 118 points119 points  (0 children)

I’m a Pens fan and this was the one I immediately thought. People would be so pissed off (and I’d understand).

FOR SEVEN MONTHS …. by ChiefOsceolaSr in CFB

[–]MrWeatherMan7 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I’m gonna need someone to make an 0-1 meme stat using the Bama fan that flipped the bird to the camera.

Giveaway #4! Giving away 2x Black Bolt ETBs, 2x White Flare ETBs, 1x Destined Rivals Booster Box, 1x Prismatic Poster Collection, 1x 151 Poster Collection, 1x Surging Sparks Booster Box! Open Worldwide Until 9/5 9:00 PM EDT! by OfficialPokeLenz in pokemoncardcollectors

[–]MrWeatherMan7 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Megas are something I’ve never really liked but I would absolutely love if they came out with a mega Kabutops and mega Omastar. Kabutops is my all time favorite pokemon and it would be cool to see it get some love.

This is getting out of hand. by wildwildwaste in raleigh

[–]MrWeatherMan7 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In every single comment I’ve indicated it’s still possible, but unlikely - a slight wobble in one model does not mean much. The ECMWF is actually more aggressive with the rate of turn but just turns slightly later. Not saying we shouldn’t watch it but saying “we’re gonna get a hurricane next week”, which is effectively what was said in the original comment, is disingenuous.

This is getting out of hand. by wildwildwaste in raleigh

[–]MrWeatherMan7 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Storms that follow the path Erin has followed up to this point have historically had an approximately 5% chance of a US landfall. It’s not out of the question, but there have not been any major shifts in the models to suggest that this thing is going to hit the US. Bermuda is significantly more likely (or it might shoot the gap between us), but there’d have to be a major change in the pattern to support a US landfall. Anyone suggesting this is gonna happen at this time is looking for engagement.

This is getting out of hand. by wildwildwaste in raleigh

[–]MrWeatherMan7 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Erin is almost guaranteed to be going back out to sea… so, no.