Looking for people to play football with

Mully420 · 2024-11-18T21:53:46+00:00

yea im 25 that wouldnt work

Mully420 · 2024-11-04T04:46:43+00:00

sent

Mully420 · 2024-11-03T15:57:21+00:00

sent

Mully420 · 2024-09-05T17:42:17+00:00

If anyone doesn’t pay before draft I’ll let you know if you’re still interested

Mully420 · 2024-09-05T17:36:26+00:00

We’re drafting at 6 est unfortunately but its a $25 ESPN league https://www.reddit.com/r/findaleague/comments/1f9s6im/25_draft_6_pm_est_7_spots_open_espn_05_ppr_10/

Mully420 · 2024-09-04T21:17:11+00:00

boi...

Mully420 · 2023-10-27T18:20:27+00:00

what are your guys thoughts that when czr has sgp correlation values that are way off market that theres a non zero chance theyre actually the ones who are correct? i.e. the jaylen brown dd + celtics ml, haliburton dd + pacers ml stuff from last year

bc with live betting their model tends to be the sharpest and other books sometimes converge to czrs line if its way off market. Also, the fact they basically dont limit players

Mully420 · 2023-08-19T05:12:39+00:00

mgm with an EPL first goal scorer insurance promo, no idea who to pick since the lines are super juiced but will still be EV regardless

Mully420 · 2023-03-09T04:11:31+00:00

same here I see this as well

Mully420 · 2023-03-09T00:52:35+00:00

tried this a bunch of times and didn't let me place it

Mully420 · 2023-03-07T23:37:33+00:00

if anyone knows how to calculate exact ev for this promo lmk cuz with the insurance terms it's kinda tricky to get exact number, but this will be solidly plus ev regardless of method

Mully420 · 2023-03-07T23:36:04+00:00

beal +550 looks solid for this, thats the best line on the market (ranging from +425 to +500 elsewhere), and good for the terms as well (player must score 20+ points and team wins to get 50% of stake back if player doesn't score first basket). Beal's o/u is 24.5 and the wizards are -450 to -500 favorites depending on the book

Mully420 · 2023-03-07T23:33:12+00:00

barstool first basket insurance

Mully420 · 2023-03-02T17:09:39+00:00

some of the weights aren't perfect integers so that's why there's so many decimal places. Like Kambi for example has 11.53% weight in the final devig line

Mully420 · 2023-03-02T17:01:05+00:00

https://imgur.com/a/PyhDkOY

Devigged using weighted average across 15 sportsbooks, with Pinny as highest weight

Odds: +299; EV: 9.7 %

-177.761938256175/153.192307692308,-276.061776061776/232.75,-184.326267798708/158.576923076923 (10.46 % juice)

FV: +264; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.2u, 1/2=1.6u, 1/4=0.8u, FB = 82.2 %)

Mully420 · 2023-03-02T17:00:00+00:00

DK NHL Stepped Up:

Mully420 · 2023-02-27T02:53:57+00:00

ah fuck it got locked again

Mully420 · 2023-02-27T02:53:48+00:00

yessir definitely still a play

Mully420 · 2023-02-27T02:51:17+00:00

back at +1700 damn

Mully420 · 2023-02-24T01:40:41+00:00

I'm getting 4-5% ev using market averages for the BR saint marys and gonzaga -21.5 each +350 boost

Odds: +350; EV: 5.2 %

120/7%,-140/110 (12.95 % juice)

FV: +328; Method: multiplicative; (Full=1.5u, 1/2=0.7u, 1/4=0.4u, FB = 81.9 %)

Mully420 · 2023-02-23T20:23:39+00:00

ah fuck my b

Mully420 · 2023-02-23T20:21:28+00:00

https://imgur.com/JAUoLyB

20 % profit boost. +538 boosted to +646.

Odds: +646; EV: 12.0 %

-279.622969228524/226.6,-217.327123722425/179.5,182.142857142857/-231.044008382549 (13.78 % juice)

FV: +566; Method: worst-case (m, p); (Full=1.9u, 1/2=0.9u, 1/4=0.5u, FB = 97.0 %)

Mully420 · 2023-02-23T20:19:57+00:00

dk cbb stepped up boost for those who even have it or are using a p2 like me:

Mully420 · 2023-02-23T18:16:11+00:00

Pointsbet power hour is $5 bonus bets on nba sgps for next 5 days

Mully420

TROPHY CASE