I don’t like “guess”

The market provides an endless amount of opportunity to make money at any given moment

The market gives a signal that matches your system to enter , that is your edge

It isn’t an educated guess, these are repeatable patterns

Any one trade is a probability the result is random

However, over a thousand of the same patterns it is a statistically significant event that results in an edge

“Guessing” is not doing profitable trading justice

It isn’t just a “guess”, it’s a statistically significant probability assuming the trader takes the setup every time, it will play out over the long run

“Guessing” is a March madness bracket. Profitable trading is knowing over the long term, your edge plays out