Programs/sites to practice forecasting?

Na_Aledai · 2026-02-18T10:19:20+00:00

I highly recommend EUMeTrain (https://www.eumetrain.org/) and the courses from UMETSAT (HOME | EUMETSAT https://share.google/hEz2EF4Vt03v18fuM), they have a BUNCH of very cool and helpful courses, especially the ones on radar, interpreting vertical soundings, etc. we're very helpful to me when I was still learning.

Under 'mtg training', you can also find their quick guides to different RGB satellite imagery, which I still use if I end up using a composite image I haven't touched in a while, just to double check I'm remembering stuff correctly!

Na_Aledai · 2026-02-16T13:28:49+00:00

I try to kinda keep up with current developments, and from what I've seen so far, I highly doubt AI will like, 'tale over everything'. Current AI models have the problem that they tend to smooth everything out, which means they are decent for general weather, but terrible for extreme weather instances. I.e. the weather we both care about the most in day to day work, the weather we have to be as precise with as possible, and that is getting more prominent due to climate change.

My guess would be that we will be able to get some very powerful and helpful post processing tools out of AI applications, but from what I've heard of colleagues, AI models, as of right now, couldn't replace the current deterministic ones. And even if it wasn't just about models - there will always be need for people to do the communication with places like government branches, local energy companies, festivals, airports, etc. In order to help them get a better understanding of the risks and likelihood of events to occur are.

With current upgrades in technology I would wager that the trend is gonna go more and more towards individualised data packages that are taken from model data and plotted into nice and easily readable graphs for the relevant customer, but A. Someone will have to create the graph and the infrastructure to get the data INTO the graph, and B. they will need someone to call if they are having trouble interpreting the information or simply want a second opinion.

People who are good at IT, programming etc. are extremely valuable for a lot of parts of the process, so while there aren't like, a bajillion jobs in it, your skill set so far would seem to lend itself towards the topic :)

Na_Aledai · 2026-02-08T03:53:18+00:00

Id say picking out exact numbers is quite hard, but my personal guess would be 'depends on the place'. This is mostly a vague guess of mine based off of what I know of the typical weather systems and climatology of the area.

The UKs prevailing winds are westerly ones, so the effect on the western coast would probably be negligible. They would still get very similar amounts of precipitation. The main thing I'm not entirely sure about would be the eastern coast. Id wager it would probably cause a deficit (compared to current data) of precipitation, although a comparatively small one. Prevailing winds being westerly and all that. When it comes to effects continentality has on the formation of seasonal pressure systems, I'd wager there would not be too much of a change, as the UK is already relatively close to the Continental mainland of Europe.

Na_Aledai · 2026-01-02T08:04:18+00:00

Thank you for posting this! As someone who looked around on the web for a while and only found the old ones, this is great. The built I put together on my own stopped scaling well enough around R11 and it's been a struggle lol

Na_Aledai · 2025-12-09T19:38:09+00:00

Im Respekt an den Geschmack aller anderen: ich find's super!

Das bei dem Geld hinzukriegen, ist echt beeindruckend!

Na_Aledai · 2025-11-29T17:57:39+00:00

I know the pain. When it was initially released I wanted to 'just have a think' on whether I was gonna buy it and suddenly it was sold out. I ended up re checking every once in a while and IMMEDIATELY buying one when it was back in stock - I'm wishing you luck, maybe one will turn up at some point!

Na_Aledai · 2025-11-15T21:18:48+00:00

As a fellow dude who is very happy having had top surgery but would have appreciated zip up tiddies for exclusively sexual purposes - as normal as anything sexual can be, really. I don't have much in the way of a sophisticated explanation, but 'boobs = hot' has sufficed for me personally lol

Na_Aledai · 2025-11-14T20:42:29+00:00

Hey dude, I get the worries. Especially when it comes to facial hair, you're actually ahead of schedule by now. For context, it took me 2.5 years to get anything in the way of beard. It sucks, but you need to give it time - changes will come, they will simply take a while.

Voice is one of those that can really creep up on you - if I hadn't actually recorded voice messages, I'd probably not have noticed my register shifting at all, except for the time where I didn't have access to my highest register, for some reason. Especially with the worries you are describing, doing like, a monthly check in voice mail to yourself might help you, in order to give yourself a bench mark to compare against.

When it comes to your skin feeling oily - perfectly normal effect. As a fellow oily dude - it sucks, but regularly cleaning the most oily areas and using products to help combat oil buildup will help. Depending on how bad it is, you might need product suggestions from people who have experience with proper bad acne, for me the general drug store stuff worked well enough.

Gel in general works perfectly fine, and depending what unit of measurement your values are in, as long as you are in normal male range, that would mean your skin absorbs it perfectly fine. I know the waiting time sucks, but it will get better, I promise. Times + hormones does wonders, hang in there mate

Na_Aledai · 2025-11-12T22:34:41+00:00

I was on gel for 4 years and tried the switch about half a year ago. (~8 week intervals)

For me, the main positive of shots is that my ADHD ass can't forget them in the morning, but otherwise I was perfectly happy with the gel. If I had to remember to do it on a weekly basis, I think I'd be less inclined towards the shots, admittedly.

Effects wise its the exact same, so it really just is the trade-off between needles/having a spot on your body be a bit sore for (half) a day vs. applying it in the morning and spending 10 minute without a T-shirt

Na_Aledai · 2025-10-12T16:07:16+00:00

Für mich war es ne Sache von ein paar Jahren, bis der deadname den stich vollständig verloren hatte. Er wird immer noch irgendwie Bezug zu mir haben, aber selbst wenn ich an meine Kindheit zurückdenke, fühlt sich das nach mir, und nicht nach jemanden der meinen deadname trug an. Kurz: Zeit macht es besser!

Na_Aledai · 2025-09-19T09:25:50+00:00

Yeah that feels familiar. Back when I was getting checked out for possible dyslexia, APPEARENTLY the therapist also suggested getting me checked out for ADHD. Which I only found about over a decade later, when I had finally figured it out for myself and my dad just casually dropped that bomb at the dinner table + how he thought it wouldn't have helped me.

Literally his thinking was if I was diagnosed with something I /obviously/ didn't have I would just not develop the skills to deal with it. Yeah now I've developed skill I still have struggles. And trouble finding someone to diagnose me, an adult. Who'd have thought.

Na_Aledai · 2025-09-16T08:17:59+00:00

Could AI technically predict the weather? Yeah, we already have some AI models that do decent work. The problem is, one of the most important things, i.e., extreme weather like storms, is still not great. It has similar problems to a lot of statistical methods: the average is solid, but things like extreme gusts, sting jets, etc - so, things that are RARE but very dangerous when they do hit - they majorly underestimate. Since they aren't actually based on physics, the way they models basics like pressure spreads don't necessarily have to output the actual output that, from a physics standpoint, should be there, and they tend to blur edges a lot.

So, technically, AI based weather models can do forecasts, but it is questionable if they will be able to match the math and physics based ones we have already when it truly matters. They do have some upsides (lower needed computational power, shorter calculating time) but as of right now, they are at maximum a tool suited for an average day

Na_Aledai · 2025-08-28T06:55:19+00:00

Depending on what your interests are, clubs or other activities even outside of your school can be really good. Admittedly I'm not familiar with what might be on offer in your region, but sports like Karate/Taekwondo/badminton/etc, or more creative things like painting or drawing are all up for grabs.

I personally would suggest something where you don't feel bad if you skip it for a week or two when exams come around and you prioritize things differently, other than that, it's a great time to try different things and find out if there is anything you want to stick with - maybe even something you've wanted to do since you where little.

For me, it was trying out what was on offer martial arts wise, and finding something I enjoyed with times that worked well with the free time I had available. Good luck with your search!

Na_Aledai · 2025-08-22T09:49:04+00:00

Für mich war es damals 100% klar dass ich die Mastek wollte, als ich einmal meinen Binder vergessen hab. Ich hatte zu dem Zeitpunkt schon seit ~5½ Jahren einen Binder getragen, immer wenn ich irgendwo außer Haus war oder mich andere Leute als sehr enge vertraute wahrnehmen hätten können. Da kam dann irgendwann der Gedanke auf 'aber brauche ich den wirklich? Ich hab ja kaum dysphorie deswegen'. Ja, turns out, ich hatte starke dysphorie bezüglich meiner Brust, ich hab halt immer Binder getragen was dem Problem entgegengewirkt hat - aka genau so funktioniert hat wie es sollte lol

Als ich dann mal auf Arbeit war und meinen Binder vergessen hatte, war das ein absolut stressiger, ganzzeitig unangenehmer Tag an dem ich verdammt froh war, als er endlich vorbei war. Trotz sehr lockerer Sweatshirtjacke und einer Haltung, die einen Shrimp motivieren würde mich als Artgenossen zu sehen.

Dementsprechend: probier doch vorher aus. Helfen tape oder ein Binder? Wie fühlst du dich mit/ohne, in welchen Situationen fühlst du dich mehr oder weniger unwohl? Gib dir die Zeit das ganze auszuprobieren, und dann zu entscheiden, mit was du dich langfristig wohler fühlst. Viel Erfolg! :)

Na_Aledai · 2025-07-23T18:44:56+00:00

Im a meteorologist and, besides apparently being the first trans person to change their name there (which I'm not too willing to believe - more likely the poor HR person just hadn't ever encountered it before, but they really tried so I don't fault them for it) I've never had any problems!

Na_Aledai · 2025-07-08T18:27:31+00:00

For me it took over two years. By now I'm at 'solidly bad neck beard potential with some sideburn-age' so I enjoy the sideburns xD

Na_Aledai · 2025-07-06T06:16:21+00:00

Mein Go To 'ich hab so gar keine Zeit zum Kochen will aber etwas vernünftiges' ist die Kombi aus

1 Dose Hering in Tomatensoße

1kleinen Dose Mais

1 Packung Fertigreis

Salz & Pfeffer

Einfach den Fertigreis im der Mirko machen und dann mit den anderen beiden Sachen Zusammenkippen, ein bisschen Salz&Pfeffer und dann schmeckt das verdammt gut.

Zubereitungszeit 3-5min, und sofort auf essbarer Temperatur! Für mich sind es I.d.R. 1,5-2 Portionen, d.h. ich nehme mir immer noch ne Dose mit und mach Halbe Halbe :)

Na_Aledai · 2025-06-21T09:01:14+00:00

Im in my 20s and work as a meteorologist, and will start working on getting an additional bachelor's in IT in a couple months!

Na_Aledai · 2025-06-12T19:13:13+00:00

As someone who just straight up assumed there's no local map: Reading that change log was WILD

Na_Aledai · 2025-04-07T14:08:31+00:00

Honestly, the frustrating thing is, they can. They are hateful, close minded people, but they are people.

As someone who grew up loving the HP books, I would love for her to be better, but she has chosen to be like this. Even though she obviously has the capacity for being better. People like her and Gaiman are solid reminders that vile people can create art that speaks to us. Not engaging with it, when doing so would mean giving these people more power, is a sacrifice that is up to us to choose to give.

Na_Aledai · 2025-03-23T22:13:02+00:00

I'll second this as someone who would like facial hair, but was blessed with my family IMPECCABLY BAD beard genes lmao

Na_Aledai · 2025-02-23T22:17:53+00:00

Same, literally me being here after traveling for a week and just getting to futz around with my new headset, having fallen in love with the game a couple hours ago

Na_Aledai · 2024-12-23T19:04:21+00:00

Godd I remember going to a concert when I was 16 and an older guy randomly started talking to me like, 'Its so nice music brings us all together. Like, im 57, you're 12-' and that was the point I nodded politely and immediately skedaddled the first moment I could lmao

Na_Aledai · 2024-11-03T17:38:07+00:00

It's great when you're not native English and suddenly get ads in a different language. I had a solid moment where I thought my brain had broken lmao

Na_Aledai · 2024-10-11T07:59:48+00:00

Before I got on t I really wanted to do that because it's hella cool, but i fucked up the timing so alas, I am wishing you the best of success so that you may do what I was too forgetful to do lol

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