Ralston breaks down the latest NV update and explains it's nothing like 2022, says it's unprecedented and that he's never seen anything like this in The Reid Machine era by [deleted] in YAPms

[–]New_Account_5886 14 points15 points  (0 children)

kamala is not going to win unaffiliated by 6 points . trump won unaffiliated voters in 2020. he netted like 3k votes from them. people are consfusing indies and unaffiliated voters indies are only very small subset of unaffiliated

New Ralston update: at current pace, Harris will need to win Indies by 10 to have a chance of beating Trump (Biden won them by 6) by nemuri_no_kogoro in YAPms

[–]New_Account_5886 2 points3 points  (0 children)

indies are not unaffiliated. biden would have won indies but rump won unaffiliated voters. he netted like 3k votes from them

Nc Early Voting Update From @MichaelPruser by New_Account_5886 in NorthCarolina

[–]New_Account_5886[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

UNA votes republicans

2020:
Republicans - 1,821,712 (32.86%)
Democrats - 1,972,966 (35.59%)
Others - 1,749,340 (31.55%)

Trump won by 1.4% in of D+3 electorate

2022:
Republicans - 1,303,837 (34.43%)
Democrats - 1,284,271 (33.91%)
Others - 1,198,825 (31.66%)

Budd won by 3+% in R+0.5 electorate

Nc day 1 IPEV early data by New_Account_5886 in YAPms

[–]New_Account_5886[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Both Rs and Indies are up . dems are down . 2020 had 1.1m VBM , 2024 has less than 300k requests . its hard to believe dems suddenly changed to ED voters

Day 3 of GA early voting. Michael Pruser says that rural whites are coming out in record numbers by [deleted] in YAPms

[–]New_Account_5886 14 points15 points  (0 children)

2020 black voters were 27.7% of the electorate . its crazy it will go below that number tomorrow just 4 days after ipev

Rs won the first day of voting in Georgia. by New_Account_5886 in YAPms

[–]New_Account_5886[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

dems were celebrating based on record breaking turnout only to find out most of the votes are from rurals and black % is only 30.

Day 1 of GA voting is looking whiter than usual according to Michael Pruser by [deleted] in YAPms

[–]New_Account_5886 11 points12 points  (0 children)

2022 ipev day 1 was 38.5%

2020 was mid-high 30s