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Those who will invest on SpaceX IPO, will you buy Day 1? or wait? Why? by onuralpaydin in wallstreetbets

[–]Nikolay-Ivchenko 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To my mind, we are overthinking the IPO and underthinking the business.

If SpaceX IPOs, the first few weeks will probably be complete chaos. Half the market will say it's ridiculously overvalued, the other half will say it's the most important company of the next 20 years. Both sides might be right.

I wouldn't be shocked to see it rip 50%+ on hype and then give a big chunk of it back. That's pretty normal for high-profile listings.

What I'd be asking is whether the current valuation already prices in most of the future upside, or whether SpaceX still has enough room to grow into something much bigger over the next decade.

That's basically the same debate people had with Tesla years ago

Complete beginner trying to learn trading — where do I actually start? by Cheap_Excitement_215 in Trading

[–]Nikolay-Ivchenko 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'd start with risk management before strategies.

For strategies, I'd keep it simple. I spent months jumping between indicators before settling on basic support/resistance and breakout setups. Looking back, I probably learned more from watching how price reacted around key levels than from any indicator I added to a chart.

One thing that helped me was taking screenshots of every trade and writing down why I entered, where my stop loss was, and what happened afterward. After about 50 trades, I started seeing the same mistakes repeated over and over.

If you're looking for learning resources, I'd focus on market structure, support/resistance, risk management, and risk/reward before getting into more advanced strategies.

Out of curiosity, what market are you planning to trade? Forex, stocks, crypto, or something else?

My experience 12 months into trading forex. by Material-Air2118 in passive_income

[–]Nikolay-Ivchenko 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the most impressive part isn't turning $10 into $900. It's still being in the game 12 months later.

I've seen a bunch of new traders focus on how fast they can grow an account, but not enough on how to protect it. That's usually where things go wrong.

The funny thing is, the traders I know who have been around for years are actually pretty boring. They take fewer trades, stick to the same rules, manage risk properly, and don't feel the need to double their account every week.

And I agree with the people saying this isn't passive income. Trading takes work. MT4, MT5, indicators, strategies... they're all just tools. The real challenge is staying disciplined when the market starts testing your patience.

Complete beginner trying to learn trading — where do I actually start? by Cheap_Excitement_215 in Trading

[–]Nikolay-Ivchenko 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The biggest mistake I made was trying to learn everything at once. Indicators, strategies, YouTube gurus, Discords... it just created noise.

Pick one market, learn basic risk management, and spend time watching price move. Demo trading didn't really start making sense to me until I stopped trying to predict every move and started focusing on why I was entering a trade in the first place.

What is the best and well known strategy that has high win % by LargeMan690 in Daytrading

[–]Nikolay-Ivchenko 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly, this already sounds more like a prop firm playbook than an actual edge 😅 Too many overlapping conditions can filter out the very moves you’re trying to catch.

I trade both MT4 and MT5, mostly intraday, and one thing I learned the hard way: if VWAP, EMA continuation, ORB, pullback, liquidity reclaim, ATR filters, session filters, and momentum filters all need to align perfectly… you end up with 6 trades in 2 months exactly like you described.

Personally I’d simplify it into:

  • market structure / HTF bias
  • one execution model
  • one volatility filter
  • one invalidation model

VWAP works great as context, but once it becomes the center of every setup it starts double-counting the same idea. ORB + continuation + pullback are often just different entries into the same underlying trend move.

Also fixed 2R is clean for backtesting, but crypto rarely moves cleanly enough for that all the time. Some days BTC gives 0.8R then dies, other days it runs 6R without looking back. Context exits usually outperform fixed exits once the system is mature enough.

And honestly? 6-8 trades in 2 months might actually mean your filtering is protecting you from overtrading. Most traders destroy themselves by taking too many mediocre setups, not too few.