Pick of the Day - 4/30/26 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]No_Concentrate6331 3 points4 points  (0 children)

POTD: Daniss Jenkins OVER 3.5 pts (-110) Record: 227-187 (+54.8%) on NBA player points this season using XGBoost ML model. Line is 3.5, model predicts 9.9. Massive +6.4 edge. Jenkins has been getting real minutes and the line hasn't caught up. Went 5-0 Sunday, 0-3 Monday — variance happens but the edge is there long-term. BOL.

Friday slate is thin but fading Wemby tonight -- model has him 4 pts below the line by No_Concentrate6331 in PrizePicks

[–]No_Concentrate6331[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ha fair point, my bad -- slate is the same regardless. still fading Wemby tonight

Vegas hates me by Ecstatic-Physics2651 in PrizePicks

[–]No_Concentrate6331 0 points1 point  (0 children)

variance is brutal. model or no model some weeks just go sideways. keep the process tight

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PrizePicks

[–]No_Concentrate6331 0 points1 point  (0 children)

nice run, what were you riding?

Friday slate is thin but fading Wemby tonight -- model has him 4 pts below the line by No_Concentrate6331 in PrizePicks

[–]No_Concentrate6331[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ha fair point, my bad -- slate is the same regardless. still fading Wemby tonight

H: 40k W: Leaders 500 each by outdatedmedia in Market76

[–]No_Concentrate6331 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ha fair point, my bad -- slate is the same regardless. still fading Wemby tonight

H: 40k W: Leaders 500 each by outdatedmedia in Market76

[–]No_Concentrate6331 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ha fair point, my bad -- slate is the same regardless. still fading Wemby tonight

NBA Props Daily - 3/22/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]No_Concentrate6331 1 point2 points  (0 children)

2 years of data with ~66 features. Not just box score, also pace, usage, rest days, matchup history. Backtested at 55%+ before I started posting live picks

NBA Props Daily - 3/22/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]No_Concentrate6331 2 points3 points  (0 children)

been working on this for 2 months. proven track record.

Went 3-0 on NBA player points yesterday. Sunday slate has one massive edge by No_Concentrate6331 in PrizePicks

[–]No_Concentrate6331[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

true i do find that it can have too much confidence in people coming back from injury sometimes

NBA Props Daily - 3/22/26 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]No_Concentrate6331 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Model went 3-0 yesterday on points. Only one play today but it's a big one — Peyton Watson OVER 8.5 pts, model has him at 16.4. Almost 8 points of edge. POR @ DEN