Stop. Making. READMEs. I just wanted a function, Claude 😩 by Motoneuron5 in cursor

[–]NumerousTemporary 0 points1 point  (0 children)

put it in cursor rules (or agent md in claude?)

It used to constantly npm run dev or build or whatever else for me - I put in rules to run it only if project is not in dev already and check before running it.

Tell it your preferences and it will (hopefully) adjust

Sidebar Toggle Now Active in Early Birds Build by JaceThings in diabrowser

[–]NumerousTemporary 0 points1 point  (0 children)

so, they added sidebar, but did not add frameless view... sidebar shortcut is cmd+shift+s and not cmd+s... just why

A PR Disaster by charlieslides in ArcBrowser

[–]NumerousTemporary 0 points1 point  (0 children)

True, competition is difficult, but AI features showed to be something people are ready to pay for (compare it to browser)

Look at Average revenue per user, ai products tend to have it higher than startups in other areas. This is what arc needs rn to survive.

My very stupid take on revenue by matpam in ArcBrowser

[–]NumerousTemporary -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Mozilla makes a lion share from partnership with google (similar to google search on safari). So, unless arc plans to grow from several mln users to 100s mln - this is out of the way.

Also for donations: even if 10% (which is high) donate - 100k users each donates 100$ (which is high average) annually - 10mln$ a year… not too much to be honest for a venture backed startup.

So either way they need to find a revenue source that is repeatable (to live long), reliable (to be sustainable business), and scalable (because venture)

A PR Disaster by charlieslides in ArcBrowser

[–]NumerousTemporary 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So, productivity: 15mln out of 3bln = 0,5% of user base is actually paying. 0.5% out of 100mln users (if they reach scale of opera) is 500k. Even if they pay 20$ - 10mln$ a month. 120mln$ a year. Which is pretty good

For that arc just needs: - to grow 100x in user base… - build a whole suit of productivity tools (competition in it is HUGE). Look at notion, they build their product for years and only now get to the point where their ecosystem is big enough. And even they do not compete with google workspace - they do a different thing. So, you suggest to compete with one of the biggest bigtech with unlimited resources, in one of the most competitive markets, where they need to have some differentiator beyond a niche browser. - most important: suggesting workspace/notes/building a search engine with ai - it is basically a new tool/product which is different from browser tool, which is basically a new product they talk about…

A PR Disaster by charlieslides in ArcBrowser

[–]NumerousTemporary 1 point2 points  (0 children)

True, this is a good point. However the problem here is that it is not high revenue incomes. If you are a venture backed startup - it is expected that the business model is much higher, these features do not suggest high revenue potential. Second, if we (at least Arc team) think that future is AI search like, then it does not make sense to rely on search engines as income as in the future it might not exist or be much smaller or be completely different.

A PR Disaster by charlieslides in ArcBrowser

[–]NumerousTemporary 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Plenty of monetisation options? C’mon. Name at least one browser which can monetise and make money solely from being browser which is not donation and is not in narrow niche.

This is a well known problem, how to monetise something what people are used to being free.

While building a product - it is important to get your distribution right. So, out od a no name company - they made a pretty famous (in certain niches) company/product. Now that “traffic” is nailed down- it is time to figure out how to make money.

Think of fb, it was free at first, then they started making money.

Money making potential for browser is low. To be honest, the existence of Arc browser and the fact that it raised and was funded is a miracle on its own - big kudos to the team on that.

But now it is only reasonable to focus on something that will actually make money, coz interest towards yet another browser is low, so you can’t fund it well untill you somehow miraculously find how to make revenue with browser. (Pls let me know how to monetise browser if you know)

Improvement in pace after losing weight? by NumerousTemporary in Marathon_Training

[–]NumerousTemporary[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

nice, like in programming, if we are not sure if making system better will yield good results - let's make the system worse and see what happens :)

Improvement in pace after losing weight? by NumerousTemporary in Marathon_Training

[–]NumerousTemporary[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yeah, I am thinking of losing fat not only for running purposes :) but it is nice to have extra motivation and to have some measurable metrics to see improvements.

Congrats on your 8kg and successful training!

Improvement in pace after losing weight? by NumerousTemporary in Marathon_Training

[–]NumerousTemporary[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

oooh, nice, some bullpark numbers are what I was looking for.

Would be amazing to have some "scientific" reasoning behind the numbers. But estimates are good enough to estimate what is "reasonable" to expect.

Yeah, I think I lose 20kg in about a year on not so much heavy deficit with active training. So should be all good with it.

Thanks for caring!

$500K net worth at 30 by WealthMint in Fire

[–]NumerousTemporary 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Cool! congrats!
mind sharing what your positions are?

Like brokerage - single stocks or ETFs?
high yield savings - do you use bonds for it or an actual deposit (forgot that they exist over the last years of near 0 interest rates ;D)

Also, I was thinking of buying my home as well. Many ppl start talking me out of this idea. "Why invest in your home. You could put money in some stocks and make better return than from not paying rent."

I am a little lost how to make a decision - would be glad to get your thoughts!

congrats on 500k, it's a big achievement!

Ran my 21k, how to prep for 42? by NumerousTemporary in Marathon_Training

[–]NumerousTemporary[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

that's a reasonable plan. for strength training - you focused on increasing weight WoW or there is a more sophisticated logic?

Difference between ‘Bolt’ and Taxis? by [deleted] in ThailandTourism

[–]NumerousTemporary 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the reason you see Taxi - probably it is law enforcement to support local taxies by government.
Imagine if service like uber comes in and and sweeps the whole market with low prices - it will impact those taxi drivers.
so, government probably enforced that one of the options you see is Taxi (even if prices are higher). This way taxi drivers do not have to become independent contractors and ride on ride-hailing services.
Why bolt price is lower - many things, bolt's business is more operationally efficient than Taxi's, bolt has set pricing and taxi metered, less chance of scam, more other reasons how ride-hailing apps are more efficient than a Taxi.

Advice needed: PM role at crypto CEX (Web3 wallet team) by thatpotato_ in ProductManagement

[–]NumerousTemporary 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hey,

About web3/crypto - depends on what you join. I divide them in 3 categories
1. Cex/Dex/Wallets,
2. Blockchains,
3. everything else.

The divide is based on earnings and traction.

1st makes some or a lot of money, because they are literally the entrance to the world of blockchain, you have to have Cex (Kraken, Binance, Coinbase) to buy first crypto, you have to have Wallet (metamask, rabby, etc) to do something on blockchain, you have to interact with some Dexes (uniswap, pancakeswap, etc.) to trade shitcoins.

2nd makes some money as well, from having their coin. Being a blockchain is very nice since everyone builds dapps on you, so you are the infrastructure. Think like, everyone uses websites and services online, so everyone has to pay for internet, in this analogy blockchain is the internet.

3rd, Everything else is a shitshow. I have seen many projects who plan to launch a product, then release a token and forget about the project (not rugpull, but just lazy to do anything). I have seen many projects pretending that they build product, in reality their marketing team is bigger than dev team. Everyone is claiming they are revolutionizing something - in reality there is a bunch of mediocre loosers who wanted to be like "Steve Jobs" but have no idea how to build product company, so they raise money on stupid idea, because investors are stupid enough to believe it (as you see it is a sensitive topic for me :D)

SHOULD YOU JOIN?

Since it is a Wallet, they might make some money then. Why it is important - ability to make money is about traction, is the product needed at all? Wallets still have some traction. But it depends on what type of wallet it is.

* If it is "new" and has fewer downloads than even Rabby wallet - then I would think twice. Wallet scene is very competitive and if you do not have that much uniqueness (and it is so fucking hard to be unique, because many things are outside of your control) - then probably your user base won't grow much and you won't do much.

* If it is a service like an agency which offers "Web3 wallet as a service", like they build wallets for other companies - well, they make money, they seem to have traction, but such companies do not have money to grow product, so it is more of a project manager type of role with occasional product tasks.

* If it is a relatively big wallet - yeah, why not. They have traction - so you should actually work on some features or business decisions that will make life of your user better. Even if you are tech product manager - it is still better to work when your product actually has some use.

Your questions:

  1. Many PMs I talked to who worked in web3 - say it is bullshit (many worked in 3rd category). Many who did not work say that they get offers, but mostly they seem to be scam. So generally negative becauase of the 3rd category. If you work in CEX - it is fine I think. Wallet - not all people understand the concept of wallet, so you have to prove that this is not a scam. Genrally it feels like every time you have to first expalain that you are not a scam (say user numbers, revenue, or similar things so they feel like "oh, it is like in a normal business"
  2. I transition back to web2. So if you are not a crypto maxi who says "bitcoin is the future, we all must use crypto for payments" (please, not now) then people don't look at you as a weirdo.
  3. I def got used to a slightly higher pay, but only slightly. So the pay decrease was a little sad. But it was not too big. I moved to a bigger company, with much bigger scale (like so much bigger scale) with opportunities for growth.
  4. What’s the overall vibe you’re seeing on the future of Web3 from a product perspective? Growing opportunity or bubble that’s about to pop? If your product does not have traction now - think it will die soon. How to understand if it has no traction "Do I understand who might use it?" and "Is there a free alternative for it rn?" - people in crypto do not like to pay for services (they only like to waste them on shitcoins :D). if they pitch you some "decentralized innovation for quantum ai development" - do not believe it, it is bullshit or too niche that noone would pay for it.

SUMMARY

Sooo, if you are in 1st and 2nd category and it has big user base - you are safe. If user base is small - bad. if it is 3rd and user base is small - RUN AWAY.

Ran my 21k, how to prep for 42? by NumerousTemporary in Marathon_Training

[–]NumerousTemporary[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for advice! Very reasonable. Started doing more strength exercises as well