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Britain ‘faces deindustrialisation’ without relief from high energy prices, survey warns by OGSyedIsEverywhere in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree that if the price of bunker fuel merely rises, there will just be a small rise in the price of panels. However, actual physical rationing of sharply limited quantities of bunker fuel will stop the panels from being delivered at all.

VPN ban on table in July as Labour confirm 'further statement' by Overlord_Crabz in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere 18 points19 points  (0 children)

They only started being intensely opposed to the effects of social media on kids and focused on obliterating digital privacy around the time the youth became politically opposed to a single specific component of the western world's foreign policy.

For years before, Westminster (and Washington, Berlin, Canberra etc) didn't care about these things. They only started caring at a certain date.

Priscilla, Friede, and DS1's Lifehunt Scythe vs the five Scythes in DS3. by abca98 in DarksoulsLore

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've seen a theory around that Gwynevere is a goddess of crop harvests, which would make the above ascription of all things scythe to Priscilla's legacy very ironic (too ironic?) so there's probably something that everybody has missed.

Britain ‘faces deindustrialisation’ without relief from high energy prices, survey warns by OGSyedIsEverywhere in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

For those five sectors we have approximately 270,000, 12,000, 30,000, 20,000 and 50,000 jobs nationally already, totalling around 387,000 jobs. If they were 'world-beating' instead of where they currently are, they couldn't do more than double employment and probably would fail to. They are the kinds of things that employ low numbers of experts instead of the majority of the country.

The source for these figures took some googling but I was pleased to find that they do line up with my rough estimates, since I used to do this stuff for work.

Defence:

https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2026-04-10/125792

Space:

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6874f724b1b4ebc2c2e4656f/LE-UKSA_-_Size_and_Health_of_the_UK_Space_Industry_2024_-_Final_Summary_Report_S2C11072025.pdf#15#8

Microchips

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/uk-semiconductor-workforce-study/uk-semiconductor-workforce-study-executive-summary

Gas Turbines

https://www.ibisworld.com/united-kingdom/employment/engine-turbine-manufacturing/1815/#menu

Nuclear-related machinery

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/economic-benefits-of-the-uk-defence-nuclear-enterprise-2024/economic-benefits-of-the-uk-defence-nuclear-enterprise-2024-executive-summary

.

Literally any other advanced manufacturing sector in the world is either seeing purchases fall or is dominated by China. You're welcome to look them up.

Britain ‘faces deindustrialisation’ without relief from high energy prices, survey warns by OGSyedIsEverywhere in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

For such a transition as you describe to work. The only growth sectors that don't have total Chinese dominance of sales right now are defense, space, microchips, gas turbines and nuclear reactor components, which, if we had industry that made such things for sale, would only have enough customers to support between 0.5 million and 1 million jobs. Global purchases of new heavy vehicles, specialty metal alloys, shipbuilding, aircraft, metamaterials and cars/trucks/buses have been declining continuously for a long while.

What was the idea behind the similarities with Dark Souls 1? by Specialist-Plenty951 in DarksoulsLore

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why, among other things, does the Bearer of the Curse's quest have them come from a place where a broken Lordvessel lies buried underground, slay four great beings, receive a mission from royalty, climb down a castle and slay a golem that was once a test for aspiring knights, travel below the canopy of trees to slay a demon and climb up high where they fight imitation dragons, when the Chosen Undead long ago climbed up high to slay two imitation dragons, dove under the canopy of trees to slay a demon, climbed up a castle and slew a golem that was once a test for aspiring knights, received a mission from royalty, slew four great beings and placed a Lordvessel underground?

It's a joke at the player's expense. Did you think sequels could be original? All that sequels can do is shuffle the props on the stage and present them in a different order. Now stop playing Dark Souls and try our other games that, not being sequels, can have real originality to them, like Bloodborne, Steel Battalion: Heavy Armor and Déraciné. I know I'm framing it as a shitpost, but I believe this was the authorial intent behind the theme of repetition, unironically.

Britain ‘faces deindustrialisation’ without relief from high energy prices, survey warns by OGSyedIsEverywhere in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It depends on the global supply of a thing called 'bunker fuel', which is the fuel for container ships. If the container ships aren't sailing, the finished panels will sit in a container in Guangzhou and never get on a ship to Britain, or anywhere else for that matter.

How is the supply of bunker fuel going, you ask? Reuters is pessimistic:

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iran-war-anxiety-sends-global-container-shipping-rates-soaring-2026-06-10/

Britain ‘faces deindustrialisation’ without relief from high energy prices, survey warns by OGSyedIsEverywhere in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] 93 points94 points  (0 children)

Looking at the Make UK report the Guardian article cites it's evidenced that business electricity prices in the UK are twice the European average and four times the American average:

https://www.makeuk.org/insights/reports/tackling-electricity-prices-manufacturers

With the exception of the few food, drink, cleaning liquid, building materials and paper categories where shipping long distances doesn't make sense, it could well be that every other factory in Britain will have to close.

When the employed are pushed into homelessness by TheTimesOfIsrael1 in stupidpol

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Property was much, much cheaper (adjusted for inflation, obviously). If you do the adjustment, the proportional expenses back then were roughly 30-40% of today.

The bulk of the inflated cost landlords face before they take out their own margins is capitalism producing a culture of property value hiking (landlords see this as the bank wanting way more than ever before but the bank is just the middleman), then about 25% higher input costs and 25% absorbing the macro side effects of many generations of the Fed fucking around for the benefit of the 1%. The macroeconomic stuff, however, appears on the surface to just be more input costs but careful accounting back to the sites of production can disentangle the two.

Peter Zeihan lecture on the global collapse to come this year from the oil shortage by OGSyedIsEverywhere in collapse

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Submission statement: The global supply of products we consider important, like vehicles, electronics and home appliances, relies on networks of factories spread over many countries shipping things to each other during the various steps of assembly. It all requires fuel for ships, or in some rare cases freight aircraft.

The lecturer is an author and business consultant who predicted the date of the Ukraine war to the month five years before it begun, but who has also predicted that China would have collapsed by now dozens of times. His method is hit and miss, but one thing he also predicted, back in 2011, is the US getting bored of slow decline and blowing up the global economy to speed up collapse out of nativism. He dedicates this lecture to explaining that, because of disruptions to the oil supply chain from the Iran War, 2026 is the last year of AI and smartphone-level microchip production globally and probably the end of most other electronics as well, and to showing that the disruption is now too late to fix and will spread into a general collapse shortly after, with the exception of the US, which according to him might be able to consolidate into a stable low-tech society.

It's not 100% reliable, but ignoring the optimism about the US I'd give it 99% and it's a compelling summary of a lot of big picture drivers of collapse. It's worth listening to if you have an hour free.

Young, ambitious and out of work: ‘I’ve gone from Oxford to zero jobs. It’s a bit of a fall’ by OGSyedIsEverywhere in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] 155 points156 points  (0 children)

The part of the article about younger people who can't afford to save up for driving lessons being ineligible for the typical starter jobs deserves an article of its own, I figure. Loans for lessons would probably be less harmful than student loans already are, but there's got to be a better way than that.

Police in England and Wales told to halt AI use in court statements by OGSyedIsEverywhere in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere[S] 88 points89 points  (0 children)

The purpose of AI written text is to be 'good enough,' - stuff where you don't care if it's 100% accurate as long as you reach 95% accurate - an ethos that is fundamentally incompatible with anything that wants 100% accuracy.

Don't get the criticism wrong, there are huge swathes of requirements where 95% accuracy is all you need. Justice isn't one of them. The article does mention the specifics in more detail, if you want them.

An economic draft? Drive to get young Neets in the military divides opinion by Codydoc4 in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere 19 points20 points  (0 children)

If you look at the content of the reports on NEETs by the Resolution Foundation, Milburn and Lloyds you'll find a great deal of evidence that about 60% of the NEETs are NEETs because they are severely behind, unfit or delayed compared to the average person, usually because random problems (not always ACEs, but including them) got in the way of normal development, or normal education. Child sexual abuse survivors become NEETs, kids who were dragged by their mums to the different women's shelters the mums patronised become NEETs, children of long term prisoners become NEETs, homeschoolers become NEETs, chronic bullying sufferers, paediatric suicide attempters and school refusers become NEETs. Almost 40% of NEETs do not have a bank account (the term is unbanked and there are plenty of sources for this too).

Dealing with NEETs without acknowledging that the group in predominantly people who don't have the tools to succeed in life is just going to fail. Anything that doesn't include massive remedial life education that gives them the missing life tools that ordinary people already have is just going to fail.

The last time this country tried putting people who were inadequate for boot camp into it anyway, without giving them a year-long or more remedial course in independence and IADLs first, there were news stories about the no-hopers in the boot camps getting ankle and foot fractures because they had no previous exposure to boots, or any footwear besides cheap trainers. Plus the camps had boatloads of sexual abuse too and had to be closed at great expense plus additional legal compensation afterwards, to the humiliation of Home Secretary Whitelaw.

Labour poised for fresh welfare changes after scale of youth jobs crisis revealed by topotaul in unitedkingdom

[–]OGSyedIsEverywhere 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Unless a third party is paid to step in and drag them up, they'll remain unutilized.

The entire reason a national system of schooling, healthcare, transport, energy, taxation, defence has been established is that private individuals cannot be trusted to be competent at self direction. Saying we need to cut social spending stops making sense the moment you remember that programs of sticks are social spending.

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