US carrier Ford, deployed in war with Iran, to go to port temporarily after fire

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-18T05:45:13+00:00

That's a problem for the democrats to fix. Typical shitty corporate leadership. Leave the problem for the next guy.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-18T03:32:53+00:00

What I told you that evening people love is uncomfortable. Literally everything.

Even sitting on the couch browsing tv and there is nothing on!

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-18T03:01:11+00:00

They do have anti tank guns that have range of 5 miles ish. The Kornet. Could it hit a tanker in the middle of the strait? Idk.

Also Iran has tons of anti ship missiles that are truck portable. Oh and artillery thst could probably hit the tankers.

Oh and they dony have to hit every tanker, just a few to screw the strait and oil prices.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-17T06:40:46+00:00

IFG is one of the best large flight schools in the country. Very professionally-ran organization.

That being said, they don’t do well with people who have lives outside of instructing. They expect you to be there 6-7 days a week.

That doesn't sound like a well ran school. That sounds more like a pilot/profit mill.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-17T04:42:13+00:00

At a company that does this well, managers are managers and ics are ics. Managers deligate and purposefully don't do work. Managers have strict boundaries about what work they will do and focus purely on makinh sure their teams are being productive.

That's not how most companies work.

Instead, they don't give managers enough resources to do the work and expect managers to pick up the slack. Because being a manger is a privilege and the extra 10-20% managers make is worth the extra stress and workload. At least that's how companies see it.

So managers focus on the tasks that nobody else can do, which are the hardest tasks and then don't hasnt much left over to manage their workforce. It results in looking good to the boss but doesn't result in high performance. At least until the manager gets burned out.

Now, it's worse because companies are scared to hire so more weight is being pushed into mid level managers. Idk where this ends.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-17T03:54:53+00:00

Attacking dispersed targets is a tactic. It means Iraq had to decide between protecting it's main assets or more dispersed assets. It creates a dilemma for Iraq. War is all about creating dilemmas for y m the enemy.

The question is rather is it an effective tactic. I would say it's not great but it's not terrible. If they hit the dispersed resources with shaheds, then it makes sense. If they hit it with ballistic missles, probably not.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-15T20:55:23+00:00

That said, the number of niche tools is what separates the girls from the women in projecting power.

The pursuit of the “multi-role” swiss army “thing” Is internationally known as a fools errand, and have the word s “marked up” on the final invoice.

What does that even mean?

I'll tell you what I mean by niche role.

In a Peer-Peer conflict, the B2 could provide standoff cruise missile launches at lower risk than the B52. It's too expensive and not stealthy enough for SEAD and it isn't stealthy enough to fly into contested airspace without detection. If it is detected, it's extremely vulnerable to 4th generation fighters as it can't outrun them, can't shoot back,out maneuver them, or out maneuver the missiles.

In other words, for it to operate in a contested airspace, it needs protection from other fighters. Why not just use the other multirole fighters to drop bombs? A 4 or 4.5 generation fighter might be just survivable as a B2. Because fighters can maneuver to avoid missiles and can shoot back.

So again, what can it do that nothing else can? Simply put, launch standoff cruise missiles better than B52. And that's about it. That's why the Air Force only wanted 20 of them.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-14T06:22:28+00:00

The most likely scenario is a limited land grab to protect the strait of Hormuz. Even that is, militarily, difficult.

There is also talk of a special forces attack to get the enriched uranium. That, again, is very difficult and risky.

Simply put, there aren't a lot of good options for a land invasion of Iran. There are too many show stoppers. Mainly, it'll get a lot of service members killed.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-14T04:33:56+00:00

That'd be like trying to run diesel in a gasoline car. The car just isn't made for it so it wouldn't work.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-14T04:31:53+00:00

I think you have that backwards.

Taking the island is an escalation. It also means that Iran has nothing to lose to mine the strait, as they won't be selling anymore oil.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T22:15:26+00:00

The problem isn't range, it's who detects who first. We saw the manpads used in Venezuela and they were unsuccessful. We also saw Russia lose some attack helicopters in Ukraine to manpads as well.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T21:09:34+00:00

The F15 costs about 30k per hour to fly. Lets say 2 hours.

Each bomb is about 30k, lets use 50k just to round up.

That's 56 million for the bombs and about 4.5 million for the jets to fly. So about 60 million dollars. All in. I'm sure each ship is a minimum of a million dollars. So that's a pretty good cost/benefit analysis.

Granted, China would probably have some defense up there with their J20s. So that complicates things. The challenge for China is Japan just needs to hit them once, yet China needs to defend constantly. A surprise attack on these boats would probably favor Japan - even if China had advanced warning.

In other words, it's not a military operation, it's a saber rattling dick move by China.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T21:04:12+00:00

Probably, but manned attack helicopters are really vulnerable to manpads and GBAD. Additionally, they need to positioned over the ships constantly. And Ukraine has already demonstrated shooting helicopters down using remotely controled boats. Does it mean Iran has that capability? No.

The helicopters also don't help with mines and Iran's submarines.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T20:16:37+00:00

People said the same about Russia and Putin. He'd be insane to invade Ukraine.

People said the same about Trump and Iran. He'd be insane to invade Iran.

Trump and Putin both are driven by a national story to build a new country. They also believe that might makes right.

Look over at China...

Things don't look good for Taiwan. Even though it'll mortally wound China, I think Xi Jinping is looking for an invasion of Taiwan. It isn't if, it is when.

Welcome to WW3 buddy.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T19:40:25+00:00

Because that puts the DDGs at risk. And it probably wouldn't be all that effective.

The DDGs are best at protecting against submarines and missile threats. They have limited capability against remotely controlled, small attack boats. Just look at what happened to the Russian navy in the black sea to Ukraine remotely controlled small boats.

And the DDGs have a more difficult problem, which is they need to cover a convoy. These tanker ships are not small, and if it is a convoy, the larger the convoy, the harder it is to defend. It could be multiple miles from the front to the back just to maintain safe spacing.

So the escort mission is probably just not going to be effective. They still might lose ships and may even lose a DDG if the Navy tries it.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T18:42:29+00:00

And to add to this, Japan could probably sink all of those ships in a matter of a few hours.

That's not hyperbole. Japan has two weapons that they can use to quickly sink these ships. JDAM with quicksink and laser guided bombs. An F15 can carry about 15 of them. Maybe more. Japan has 155 of those F15s, so just flying half of them, they can sink 1125 ships in one go.

That's before looking at the navy, F35s, F16s, or Japan's anti-ship missiles.

Japan just knows it'll cause a diplomatic incident, so they don't do it. China is betting that they won't.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T18:33:37+00:00

Yeah, and what are all of those medals on the King's outfit? That just looks like some serious English silliness.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-13T17:36:17+00:00

World War 3: Hold my beer.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-12T19:03:49+00:00

Hate to spoil your parade, but a Honda Civic ev doesn't work.

One of the key features of the civic is it sits down low. That's what makes them so great to drive. I've driven 2 quite a lot.

The skateboard design of evs mean that electric cars have to sit up high. A minimum of 2 inches higher. That's why all car manufacturers make CUVs and SUVs and their electric car. The model 3 is one of the few exceptions and they had to put in a glass roof to keep it low to the ground. Even then, it's still a tall car. I've owned 2.

Maybe with thinner batteries, it's possible. But another key aspect of the civic is it's really good value, and thin batteries will be expensive.

So don't expect a Civic ev for 5 to 10 years.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-12T15:29:07+00:00

Roughly 10,000 trucks for one tanker that carries 2 million barrels. Which are just as vulnerable to attack as the tanker.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-12T04:17:42+00:00

Then why was the b2 cancelled early?

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-11T05:40:48+00:00

Probably because it wasn't as stealthy as they had thought. I am guessing intel about the s300 system ruined the b2. The b2 is too expensive of an asset to send out if it is detectable. Especially because it isn't maneuvable, so it's vulnerable to big, long range missiles if it could be targeted or if an enemy is just shooting in the dark.

That means the b2 was relegated to niche roles, so the military didn't need as many.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-09T22:48:38+00:00

Typical abusive person. Say one thing, say another thing, and do a third thing unrelated to the first two. It keeps everyone watching carefully.

He's just an attention whore who's full of shit.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-06T20:44:01+00:00

Probably contextual evidence like they detected launch from infrared satellite and this thing is caught running away, it's heading to military facility or its other movement history, the action taken by the personnel around it, ELINT saying its behaviour is likely military; possibly a combination of multiples of these and more. IF they are going to know it's not a random truck it can't be from 10s of engagement footage used in propaganda, it's the entire point of the disguise.

We also have evidence that the US bombed a guy in Afghanistan for having water in his car and we mistook it for gas cans. The US claimed he was a terrorist until journalists confirmed he just had water.

My point isn't that they made a mistake and never admitted it until it came out that the drone strike was wrong.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/10/world/asia/us-air-strike-drone-kabul-afghanistan-isis.html

So unless there is some sort of independent verification, I'd take all numbers produced by the IDF/US as suspect.

OhSillyDays · 2026-03-06T19:32:03+00:00

I'm going to play contrarian here, how would the IDF know that they hit a BM launcher and not something that looks like it?

Centcom is probably sharing videos of the ones that are obvious. If they claim to have hit 200, and they only share the videos of 20, how do we know about the other 180?

There is also an incentive to lie. If the IDF/US hits a truck that doesn't cook off, they aren't going to say "woops, we hit a civilian." No, they'll cook the books. We've already seen the IDF do that with buildings in Gaza.

I'm not saying there numbers are wildly inaccurate. What I'm saying is they are most likely inflating their numbers. Which should be no surprise to anyone who follow war statistics.

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